Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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296
FNUS72 KMLB 241840
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Malabar East 6...Brevard EEL
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
240 PM EDT Fri Jul 24 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 EDT on July 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Steady east-northeast breezes will persist through the rest of
the afternoon behind the sea breeze. There are a few showers east
of the burn site in the Atlantic, so we will hold onto a low-
medium chance for showers through early evening. Otherwise,
dispersion will become poor as winds decrease this evening.

HYSPLIT will arrive via a separate email message.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 12 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 13 mph.
Dispersion index....29.

TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48  46  43
Weather cov.....CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30  20  20
Temp............88  89  87
RH..............72  68  72
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..13  13  12
20 FT wind gust.16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 2.1 2.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E
Transp wind spd.13  13  13
Dispersion idx..30  28  29

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 10 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 13 mph shifting to the south 5 to 7
                    mph overnight.
Dispersion index....23 decreasing to 3 early in the evening.
LVORI...............4 increasing to 6 in the late evening and
                    overnight.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........39     30     30     26     19     23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
Temp............86     83     81     80     79     78
RH..............72     80     82     85     88     91
20 ft wind......E 10   E 7    E 3    SE 2   SE 2   S 2
20 ft wind gust.14     10     7      6      5      3
Mix hgt (ft)....1600   700    500    400    400    400
Transport wind..E 13   E 9    E 7    SE 7   SE 6   S 5
Dispersion idx..26     4      3      3      3      2
LVORI...........3      4      5      5      6      6

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 3000 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 7 mph shifting to the east 9 to 12
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 18 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........25        13        38        50
Weather cov.....                              CHANCE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                              CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).10        10        0         30
Temp............77        82        89        89
RH..............94        85        68        68
20 FT wind......SW 2G3    SW 2G5    E 5G8     E 10G13
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1500      3000      1800
Transport wind..S 5       SW 5      SW 5      E 10
Dispersion idx..2         8         17        22

$$
Forecaster...Heil
Requested by...Evan Hall
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2618070.1/MLB
.DELDT 07/24/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Evan.Hall@brevardfl.gov