Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
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FNUS72 KMLB 260823
FWSMLB
Spot Forecast for Savannas SP14...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
423 AM EDT Fri Sep 26 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on September 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Light southwesterly winds become easterly this afternoon as the
east coast sea breeze develops and moves inland, with a 40 percent
chance of shower and storm development near the burn site,
especially after 2 PM. Any storms that develop may be capable of
producing frequent lightning strikes, wind gusts to 45 to 55 mph,
and heavy downpours. Aside from showers and storm hazards, there
are no fire weather concerns anticipated near the burn site. Winds
are forecast to remain below 15 mph, with minimum RH values around
70 percent. Afternoon smoke dispersion values are forecast to be
poor near the site as a result of weak transport winds. Higher
coverage of showers and storms are anticipated into Saturday near
the burn site, with continued poor dispersions.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the
afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 6 mph late in
the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL increasing to 3300 ft AGL late in
the morning.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast
around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 23.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 3.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28 20 17 22 30 33 39 42 44 40
Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 20 30 30 40 40 30
Temp............75 78 83 85 86 87 87 86 87 85
RH..............100 92 80 77 75 72 71 74 71 75
20 FT wind dir..W SW SW SW S SE E E E SE
20 FT wind spd..1 1 2 2 3 3 6 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.6 6 6 6 6 7 9 10 12 12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.9 1.6 2.5 2.9 3.3 2.8 2.2 1.7 1.5
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW S S S S S SE SE
Transp wind spd.5 5 6 6 6 6 7 8 8 8
Dispersion idx..3 5 12 17 20 23 22 22 20 18
LVORI...........9 6 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then
slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
overnight.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph early in the
evening becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the evening and
overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 10 mph shifting to the south 5
to 8 mph late in the evening.
Dispersion index....19 decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 8.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........40 37 46 24 26 16
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40 30 30 20 20 10
Temp............84 80 79 77 76 75
RH..............77 87 88 93 97 99
20 ft wind......SE 5 SE 3 S 2 S 2 S 2 S 2
20 ft wind gust.9 9 9 9 8 8
Mix hgt (ft)....1700 600 400 400 400 400
Transport wind..SE 9 S 9 S 9 S 8 S 6 S 6
Dispersion idx..19 5 5 4 3 3
LVORI...........3 5 6 6 8 8
.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers
early in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms
early in the morning. Showers likely late in
the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 6 mph late
in the morning, then shifting to the east
around 7 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
in the morning.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 3000 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 7 mph shifting to the east around 8
mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....2 increasing to 25.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 3.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........17 26 23 29 33 38
Weather cov..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).10 40 40 40 60 60
Temp............74 75 83 86 87 86
RH..............100 100 80 76 73 75
20 ft wind......S 2 SW 2 W 3 N 6 E 7 E 7
20 ft wind gust.7 7 7 9 12 12
Mix hgt (ft)....400 400 1600 2500 3000 2400
Transport wind..S 5 SW 5 S 5 S 6 SE 7 E 8
Dispersion idx..2 3 10 18 25 24
LVORI...........9 9 4 3 3 3
$$
Forecaster...Tollefsen
Requested by...Miranda Cunningham
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2522545.0/MLB
.DELDT 09/26/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL miranda.cunningham@floridadep.gov