141
FNUS72 KMLB 121158
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for PS-9 Mile Rx...FFS
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
658 AM EST Wed Feb 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on February 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Patchy fog is forecast this morning in the vicinity of the burn
site. The potential exists for visibility reductions to
1/2 mile and at times to 1/4mile or less. Visibilities are expected
to improve as the fog dissipates by around 9AM. Dry weather is
forecast today with high pressure in place over the western
Atlantic. Light and variable to calm winds this morning are
expected to increase into the late morning and afternoon hours
from the south at around 10-15mph with gusts up to 20mph. An
afternoon high of 81 is forecast with mostly sunny skies. Dispersion
values will be Generally Good to Very Good today. No critical minimum RH
concerns are expected today. However, there is a Moderate Risk for
Significant Fire Potential today.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog late
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL increasing to 4300 ft AGL late in
                    the morning, then decreasing to 2300 ft AGL
                    late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 20 mph.
Dispersion index....13 increasing to 39 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 69 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 46 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48  32  18  14  9   10  9   9   11
Weather cov.....PTY
Weather type....FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............66  69  73  74  77  78  79  81  80
RH..............100 93  79  76  64  62  58  54  56
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   8   10  10  10  9   7
20 FT wind gust.7   8   8   12  15  15  15  13  9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 1.6 2.9 3.4 3.9 4.3 4.1 2.6 2.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  15  20  18  20  18  18  16  14
Dispersion idx..13  39  70  73  72  73  72  65  46
LVORI...........5   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Patchy fog after
                    3 am. Areas of fog after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming south 5 to 6 mph
                    overnight becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....6.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 8.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........16     24     26     28     30     51
Weather cov.....                                   AREAS
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............79     74     70     69     68     68
RH..............60     71     84     87     93     97
20 ft wind......S 6    SW 3   SE 3   S 5    S 6    S 3
20 ft wind gust.8      5      5      7      8      5
Mix hgt (ft)....700    500    400    500    500    500
Transport wind..S 9    SW 7   S 5    S 8    S 12   S 13
Dispersion idx..10     3      2      4      5      7
LVORI...........2      3      5      6      6      7

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Areas of fog
                    early in the morning, then patchy fog early in
                    the morning. Chance of showers in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph,
                    then shifting to the west around 8 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 3000 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 16 mph shifting to the west 10
                    to 12 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....9 increasing to 20 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 31 late in the morning increasing
                    to 41 late in the morning increasing to 50
                    decreasing to 39 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 27.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 3.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........52  54  55  61  55  52  51  62  59  55  53  56
Weather cov.....ARS ARS PTY                 CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG                 RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   30  30  30  30  30
Temp............68  68  68  70  72  76  78  80  81  81  81  79
RH..............93  93  100 97  93  82  76  72  69  68  67  72
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
20 FT wind spd..3   5   5   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  9   8
20 FT wind gust.5   7   7   8   9   12  13  15  15  15  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.5 3.0 2.4 1.9 1.4 1.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.14  13  14  15  16  16  16  15  14  12  10  10
Dispersion idx..7   11  20  31  41  51  53  47  42  37  36  27
LVORI...........6   6   5   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   3

$$
Forecaster...Fehling
Requested by...Colin Bogert
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2502699.1/MLB
.DELDT 02/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL colin.bogert@fdacs.gov