Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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Spot Forecast for Wekiwa Springs RX Burn...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
436 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on October 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Light north winds this morning at the burn site will veer to the
northeast and increase to around 10 mph this afternoon. Min RH
values will fall into the upper 40 to low 50 percent range after
noon, alongside good smoke dispersion values. Temperatures are
forecast to reach the mid 80s under a mostly clear sky.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL increasing to 5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 17 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 41 late in the morning increasing
                    to 58 early in the afternoon decreasing to 46.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   8   6   4   7   10  14  15  16  17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............65  69  75  78  81  83  83  83  84  81
RH..............97  84  71  64  56  51  51  51  49  54
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   7   8   8   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.7   8   9   10  12  14  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 1.7 3.2 4.3 5.0 5.4 5.2 5.3 4.7
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  N   NE  NE
Transp wind spd.5   5   8   10  12  10  10  12  10  10
Dispersion idx..3   5   17  41  56  60  48  45  45  43
LVORI...........8   5   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....37 decreasing to 8.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........13  9   4   4   3   3   5   7   9   8   8   7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............80  78  73  71  70  69  69  68  67  67  66  66
RH..............56  60  71  76  81  84  84  87  90  87  90  90
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.14  14  13  12  9   8   8   8   8   9   9   10
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   NE  N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.10  10  9   7   7   6   6   6   7   8   8   9
Dispersion idx..37  12  5   4   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4
LVORI...........1   2   3   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 6 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 23 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 39 late in the morning increasing
                    to 55 late in the morning decreasing to 47.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  12  14  17  20  24  31  37  44  42  40  39
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............65  65  66  69  73  77  78  80  81  81  80  80
RH..............93  97  93  87  79  71  69  65  63  63  65  65
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   7   8   8   9   10  10  12  13  13  13
20 FT wind gust.10  12  12  13  15  16  17  17  18  18  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.6 2.7 3.8 4.0 4.3 4.5 4.2 4.0 3.7
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.9   9   10  12  13  14  15  15  15  14  14  13
Dispersion idx..4   5   7   23  39  51  54  56  58  53  48  45
LVORI...........6   6   6   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Schaper
Requested by...Peter Jensen
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523516.0/MLB
.DELDT 10/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL peter.jensen@floridadep.gov