081
FNUS72 KMLB 310921
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for P RX...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
421 AM EST Fri Jan 31 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EST on January 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Patchy to Areas of fog will be possible early this
morning. If it develops, fog should burn off through mid to late
morning. Then, southerly winds up to around 10 mph today with higher
gusts expected. A weak cold front is forecast to reach the burn area
early on Saturday, then stall across south Florida on Sunday. Rain
chances will generally be below 20 percent late overnight into Saturday
morning. Dispersion values will be Generally Good today. Decreasing
winds with frontal passage on Saturday, with Poor dispersion resulting.
Patchy fog will be possible again early Saturday morning ahead of the
front.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy to Areas of fog
                    early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 6 to 10 mph with
                    higher gusts expected.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 3300 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 17 mph.
Dispersion index....Increasing to around 50.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44  37  28  29  35  21  9   6   4   7   8
Weather cov.....ARS
Weather type....FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............57  58  64  68  72  75  78  79  79  80  78
RH..............100 100 93  87  76  69  62  58  56  54  56
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   5   6   7   9   10  10  10  9   8   7
20 FT wind gust.12  12  14  16  17  17  17  16  16  15  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.7 3.2 3.1 3.3 1.5
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
Transp wind spd.10  12  14  17  17  16  16  15  15  15  13
Dispersion idx..8   8   13  28  35  40  44  45  46  50  27
LVORI...........8   8   5   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog after
                    3 am.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light, then becoming southwest
                    5 to 6 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....As low as 5 to 7.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 7.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........5      9      12     27     53     59
Weather cov.....                                   PATCHY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............75     67     64     63     63     62
RH..............62     78     84     90     93     97
20 ft wind......SW 5   S 3    SW 5   SW 6   SW 6   SW 5
20 ft wind gust.12     12     14     16     16     15
Mix hgt (ft)....600    400    400    500    500    500
Transport wind..S 10   S 10   SW 13  SW 15  SW 14  SW 13
Dispersion idx..10     5      6      7      10     8
LVORI...........3      4      4      5      6      7

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 9 mph shifting to the northeast 7 to
                    10 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....Increasing to around 21.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 3.

TIME (EST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........89        84        54        34
Weather cov.....PATCHY
Weather type....FOG       NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10        0         0         0
Temp............61        64        69        69
RH..............100       93        73        68
20 FT wind......SW 3G12   NW 3G9    NE 6G12   NE 7G12
Mix hgt (ft)....500       800       1600      1900
Transport wind..SW 9      N 7       NE 8      NE 10
Dispersion idx..4         7         13        21
LVORI...........9         6         4         3

$$
Forecaster...Sedlock
Requested by...Jason Longfellow
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2501932.0/MLB
.DELDT 01/31/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jason.longfellow@fdacs.gov