Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
575
FNUS72 KMLB 211430
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Gold Springs Rx...FFS
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
1030 AM EDT Mon Jul 21 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on July 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Hot and humid today, with peak heat indices up to near
110 degrees. A Heat Advisory is in effect from Noon to 6 PM today at
the burn site. Near normal coverage of showers and lightning storms is
forecast, as high pressure moves away from the local area. The highest
coverage (60 percent) at the site is forecast generally between 2-6 PM.
A few stronger storms, with wind gusts up to 50 mph, will be possible
along with frequent lightning strikes. Chances increase Tuesday, becoming
around 80 percent, as deeper moisture moves over the area. Higher coverage
of showers and storms will limit peak heat indices Tuesday. No min RH
concerns. Fair dispersion today.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the morning,
                    then showers and thunderstorms likely in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Westerly winds 6 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....Increasing to around 38.
LVORI...............3 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........38  45  57  62  64  67  69
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  30  40  60  60  60  50
Temp............88  90  93  93  91  93  90
RH..............75  68  62  60  62  60  64
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  12  12  12  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 3.1 3.6 3.4 3.0 3.0 3.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   NW  NW  W   W
Transp wind spd.8   9   8   8   8   9   9
Dispersion idx..29  36  36  34  35  34  38
LVORI...........3   3   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Variable cloudiness (40-65 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of showers
                    through the night. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....32 decreasing to 3 to 4.
LVORI...............Increasing to around 6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........69  66  63  61  54  60  54  55  52  47  51  55
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).50  40  40  40  30  30  20  20  20  20  20  30
Temp............88  85  82  81  79  79  78  78  78  77  76  76
RH..............68  75  79  85  88  88  91  91  91  90  94  90
20 FT wind dir..W   NW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   3   3   3   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.10  9   9   8   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   9   8   7   6   6   9   7   8   7   6   6
Dispersion idx..32  12  4   3   3   3   4   3   4   3   3   3
LVORI...........3   3   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6

$$
Forecaster...Sedlock
Requested by...Camaron Greenlund
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2518356.0/MLB
.DELDT 07/21/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL camaron.greenlund@fdacs.gov