Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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242
FNUS72 KMLB 120744
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Malabar West Unit 2...Brevard EEL
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
244 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on November 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure situated across the Florida peninsula will keep
conditions dry near the burn site, with no rain forecast for the
foreseeable future. Winds are forecast to remain light out of the
north at 5 to 10 mph today and again tomorrow, though some
variability in wind direction cannot be ruled out when the winds
are this light. Due to the lighter winds, smoke dispersions are
also anticipated to be poor near the burn site. Minimum RH values
are forecast to be in the 50 to 55% range both today and again on
Thursday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 9 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    northeast 7 to 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 3100 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 34 in the afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 16 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18  11  12  19  25  25  19  17  11  18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............53  58  63  65  67  68  69  69  69  68
RH..............75  71  65  62  60  60  58  57  56  57
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  N
20 FT wind spd..9   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  9   7
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  14  15  15  15  14  13  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.0 1.5 2.3 2.8 3.1 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  10  10  10  10  10  9   7
Dispersion idx..6   16  22  27  32  34  33  33  30  16
LVORI...........4   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming northwest 5 to 8
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 6 mph shifting to the northwest 5 to
                    12 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Dispersion index....5.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........22     26     28     19     25     14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............65     62     59     56     55     53
RH..............61     66     71     73     69     70
20 ft wind......N 6    N 5    NW 5   NW 6   NW 6   NW 8
20 ft wind gust.9      7      8      9      12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....600    400    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..N 6    NE 5   NW 5   NW 7   NW 8   NW 10
Dispersion idx..7      2      2      3      4      6
LVORI...........3      3      3      3      3      3

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 2800 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 30.
LVORI...............3 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........9      1      5      6      6      5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............53     57     66     70     72     72
RH..............70     64     53     52     52     53
20 ft wind......NW 8   NW 8   N 9    N 10   N 10   N 9
20 ft wind gust.12     13     13     14     14     13
Mix hgt (ft)....400    600    1600   2400   2800   2400
Transport wind..NW 12  NW 12  N 12   N 10   N 10   N 9
Dispersion idx..6      8      23     29     30     29
LVORI...........3      3      2      2      1      2

$$
Forecaster...Tollefsen
Requested by...Evan Hall
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525646.0/MLB
.DELDT 11/12/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Evan.Hall@brevardfl.gov