Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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Spot Forecast for SFWMD Lox River NW...SFWMD
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
509 AM EDT Fri May 1 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on May 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...The sea breeze is forecast to develop today and
affect the burn site. Light west wind early this morning will
become either NW or SW late this morning before the sea breeze
pushes across the burn area early this afternoon by 2 pm. Dispersion
values will be generally Good behind the sea breeze. On Saturday,
windy and hot with no sea breeze development but dispersion values
will be Excellent.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light west winds this morning becoming east to
                    southeast 6 to 9 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL increasing to 5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest 6 to
                    9 mph late in the morning.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 51.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........38  38  25  15  21  13  14  17  16  14  27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............69  71  74  80  83  86  87  89  89  89  90
RH..............93  90  87  69  61  53  52  47  47  47  45
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   SW  SW  S   ESE ESE SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   6   7   8   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.8   7   7   7   8   9   12  14  15  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.3 2.4 3.5 4.4 4.7 5.2 5.0 4.9 4.6
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.7   5   6   6   6   8   8   9   9   9   9
Dispersion idx..3   4   10  17  26  42  42  51  51  50  48

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 9 mph in the evening becoming
                    light, then becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 16 mph shifting to the southwest 7
                    to 10 mph overnight.
Dispersion index....33 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........35     47     59     33     26     50
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............88     83     79     77     73     71
RH..............50     63     72     71     76     79
20 ft wind......SE 9   S 7    S 6    SW 5   SW 3   SW 3
20 ft wind gust.16     17     15     13     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....2600   500    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..SE 12  S 16   S 15   SW 10  W 7    SW 8
Dispersion idx..33     10     10     5      3      4
LVORI...........1      3      3      3      4      4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 16 mph increasing to southwest 20 to
                    26 mph late in the morning.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 116.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........48        48        51        55
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         10
Temp............70        79        90        93
RH..............84        74        54        47
20 FT wind......SW 5G13   SW 6G15   S 14G21   SW 15G24
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1800      5400      6900
Transport wind..S 9       S 13      SW 22     SW 26
Dispersion idx..6         30        90        120

$$
Forecaster...Kelly
Requested by...James Schuette
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2612269.0/MLB
.DELDT 05/01/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jschuett@sfwmd.gov