Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
155
FNUS72 KMLB 040838
FWSMLB
Spot Forecast for WBTWMA - Unit 20B...FWC
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
438 AM EDT Mon Aug 4 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on August 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
Light southwest winds this morning and early afternoon are
forecast to veer east-southeast after 3-4 PM as the sea breeze
moves over the burn site. While shower and storm chances are
highest just to the west of the site this afternoon and evening,
an equal chance for storms is forecast (~50 percent). Outside of
storms, it will remain hot and humid with heat indices approaching
104-107. Fair to generally good smoke dispersion is anticipated.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the
afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
late in the afternoon, then showers and
thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in
the afternoon, then shifting to the southeast
around 7 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 15 late in the morning, then
increasing to 28 late in the morning increasing
to 42 in the afternoon decreasing to 35.
LVORI...............7 increasing to 9 early in the morning, then
decreasing to 6 early in the morning decreasing
to 4 late in the morning decreasing to 1.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........27 26 24 31 38 46 46 46 70
Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 10 10 20 30 40 50 60
Temp............81 87 89 90 92 92 92 93 90
RH..............88 72 66 64 58 58 56 56 62
20 FT wind dir..S S SW S S S S SE SE
20 FT wind spd..2 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 7
20 FT wind gust.5 6 7 7 7 7 8 9 10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 2.0 3.2 4.2 5.1 5.5 5.4 5.4 3.6
Transp wind dir.S S S S S SW S S S
Transp wind spd.6 6 7 8 7 7 6 6 8
Dispersion idx..9 15 28 43 45 46 39 37 35
LVORI...........4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely early in the evening, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms early in
the evening. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 77.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the late
evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....25 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............4 increasing to 8.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
Sky (%).........70 47 48 43 32 22
Weather cov.....LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60 30 20 10 0 0
Temp............89 82 79 79 78 77
RH..............64 82 91 91 94 94
20 ft wind......SE 7 SE 6 SE 5 SE 3 S 3 S 2
20 ft wind gust.9 9 7 6 5 5
Mix hgt (ft)....2500 800 400 400 400 400
Transport wind..S 8 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 5
Dispersion idx..25 5 4 3 3 2
LVORI...........3 4 6 6 7 8
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming mostly
cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 4300 ft AGL late in
the morning, then increasing to 5500 ft AGL
late in the afternoon decreasing to 2900 ft AGL
late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast
7 to 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 30.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 2.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
Sky (%).........15 13 25 70
Weather cov..... LIKELY
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ LIKELY
Chc of pcpn (%).0 10 10 70
Temp............77 82 92 92
RH..............94 85 62 58
20 FT wind......S 2G5 S 2G5 S 3G7 SE 6G8
Mix hgt (ft)....400 1500 4300 4600
Transport wind..S 6 S 5 SW 5 SW 6
Dispersion idx..2 9 25 34
LVORI...........8 5 2 1
$$
Forecaster...Schaper
Requested by...Melanie Mancuso
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2519163.0/MLB
.DELDT 08/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Melanie.Mancuso@myfwc.com