957
FNUS72 KMLB 310758
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for SE15 (SSF)...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
258 AM EST Wed Dec 31 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0500 EST on December 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Sensitive fire weather conditions today and Thursday near the burn
site, with dry conditions and northwesterly flow. Min RH today is
forecast to be near 25 percent, with winds near 8-10 mph, in the
afternoon. Patchy to areas of frost will then be possible overnight,
as lows dip to near 35 degrees and winds slacken. Some improvement
in fire weather conditions is forecast for Thursday, though they
will remain sensitive, with min RH near 30 percent and winds once
again near 8-10 mph. Fair to good dispersion this afternoon is
expected to become generally good Thursday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 2900 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 15 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 41 early in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3 decreasing to 2 in the afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   1   1   0   1   2   2   3   3   4   4   2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............35  33  35  40  45  48  52  54  56  57  57  55
RH..............60  63  61  49  40  35  31  28  27  27  28  31
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   7   8   8   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.12  13  13  13  14  14  15  14  14  14  13  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.8 2.9 2.9 1.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W
Transp wind spd.10  10  10  15  14  12  12  13  12  10  10  9
Dispersion idx..5   6   9   23  27  27  32  41  40  37  37  16
LVORI...........3   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent). Patchy frost overnight.
                    Areas of frost after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....5.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........3   3   1   1   2   3   3   3   3   2   3   2
Weather cov.....                                PTY ARS ARS ARS
Weather type....                                FST FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  49  45  43  42  41  40  38  37  37  36  37
RH..............37  42  49  53  58  61  63  68  70  72  74  70
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   8   9   9   8   8   8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.8   9   8   9   8   8   8   8   9   9   8   8
Dispersion idx..6   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.NEW YEARS DAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Areas of frost early in
                    the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 3800 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 62 in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3 decreasing to 1 late in the morning.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   2   2   2   2   2   3   4   4   4   4   4
Weather cov.....ARS ARS
Weather type....FST FST
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............36  36  38  45  52  56  59  63  63  64  65  62
RH..............72  73  69  55  44  40  36  32  31  31  31  36
20 FT wind dir..W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   6   7   7   8   8   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.7   7   8   9   12  14  15  16  16  16  15  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.3 2.8 3.2 3.6 3.8 3.6 2.8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   9   12  13  14  14  14  14  13  12
Dispersion idx..4   5   9   15  25  36  48  54  60  62  55  39
LVORI...........3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Leahy
Requested by...Antonio Paris
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2528158.0/MLB
.DELDT 12/31/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL antonio.paris@fdacs.gov