265
FNUS72 KMLB 221132
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Hilochee WMA prescribed burn...FWC
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
732 AM EDT Wed Jul 22 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on July 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

South to southeast wind prevail today, with speeds of 5-10 mph.
No minimum RH concerns. Drier air continues to settle across the
area, keeping shower and storm chances near the burn site around
20 percent late this afternoon, increasing slightly to 30 percent this
evening (around 8-10 PM) with the sea breeze collision near to
just west of the burn site. Any lingering activity will diminish into
the late evening hours. Smoke dispersion values will be good to very
good today. Thursday, will have similar conditions except light
south to southeast winds in the morning will turn east to
southeast and increase to around 5-10 mph in the afternoon with
the east coast sea breeze.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South-southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL increasing to 6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....15 increasing to 57 late in the morning, then
                    increasing 65 early in the afternoon, decreasing
                    to 53 late.
LVORI...............5 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  7   14  13  11  13  13  15  12  19
Weather cov.....                                    SCH
Weather type....                                    RW
Tstm cov........                                    SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20
Temp............78  81  85  88  90  92  93  94  95  94
RH..............94  85  77  70  64  58  52  51  48  48
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   8   9   9   9   8   8   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.12  13  14  15  16  16  15  14  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.7 2.6 3.4 4.1 4.8 5.2 5.8 6.4 6.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.13  14  14  14  13  12  10  9   8   7
Dispersion idx..15  30  45  57  62  65  62  60  58  53
LVORI...........5   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....41 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........30  30  35  37  49  33  38  27  20  14  19  13
Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  30  30  20  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
Temp............93  92  87  84  82  81  80  80  79  78  78  77
RH..............51  54  65  72  79  82  85  85  88  91  88  90
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.10  9   7   7   7   6   6   6   5   5   5   6
Mix hgt (kft)...4.8 2.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   SE  SE  S   S   SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   8   8   8   7   8   7   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..41  22  4   3   3   3   3   4   3   3   3   3
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   6

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 95.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL increasing to 6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 7 mph shifting to the east
                    around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 52.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........17  12  15  25  30  57  45  49  60  77  41  36
Weather cov.....                                        SCH SCH
Weather type....                                        RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                        SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  20  20
Temp............77  76  78  81  86  88  90  92  93  94  95  94
RH..............90  94  94  85  75  68  62  56  52  49  48  49
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   6   7   9   10  10  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.7 2.4 3.2 4.0 4.6 5.0 6.1 6.7 5.8
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   SE  E
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   7   6   6   6   6   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..3   3   4   14  22  24  29  33  36  51  55  49
LVORI...........6   6   6   4   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...Weitlich
Requested by...Loghan Lomneck
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2617939.0/MLB
.DELDT 07/22/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Loghan.Lomneck@myfwc.com