Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
248
FNUS72 KMLB 280813
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for SFWMD - Reedy Creek- 5,6...South Florida Water Management District
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
413 AM EDT Mon Jul 28 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on July 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...Unusually hot today and Tuesday with max temps in the upper 90s
and peak heat indices 108 to 112. Light and variable winds early this morning
will become northeast to east by Noon. Isolated storms late in the day and
early evening may produce gusty outflow winds well away from the parent storm.
Deep mixing layer will help produce Good dispersion.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly Sunny.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 6 mph shifting to the northeast to east
                    6 to 8 mph late in the morning.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 50.
LVORI...............7 decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........27  18  19  8   3   1   2   6   8   9   13  11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
Temp............78  77  80  84  88  91  93  94  96  96  95  95
RH..............88  90  88  80  68  62  56  54  49  48  48  48
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   NE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   3   5   6   7   8   9   9   10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.2 2.1 3.0 4.1 5.0 5.5 5.8 5.9 6.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   5   3   6   6   8   7   6   7   6
Dispersion idx..2   2   3   7   11  17  30  47  46  45  54  47
LVORI...........7   7   6   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast around
                    5 mph overnight becoming light. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early
                    in the evening.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 9 mph shifting to the south 6 to 9
                    mph overnight.
Dispersion index....38 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............2 increasing to 6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........11     13     19     7      5      4
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20     10     0      0      0      0
Temp............94     89     84     81     79     78
RH..............51     61     70     77     85     88
20 ft wind......E 6    E 6    SE 5   SE 5   SE 5   S 3
20 ft wind gust.10     10     8      7      7      7
Mix hgt (ft)....4700   500    500    500    400    400
Transport wind..E 7    E 9    SE 8   S 8    S 8    S 7
Dispersion idx..38     5      4      4      4      3
LVORI...........1      3      3      3      5      6

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly Sunny. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph early
                    in the morning, then becoming light late in the
                    morning becoming south around 5 mph late in the
                    morning becoming light becoming south around 5
                    mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 6 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 27.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........1         2         4         14
Weather cov.....                              CHANCE
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                              CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).0         10        10        40
Temp............77        84        92        95
RH..............90        80        60        49
20 FT wind......SE 3G7    S 3G7     S 5G8     SE 3G8
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1400      4000      5800
Transport wind..S 6       S 6       S 5       SE 3
Dispersion idx..3         10        23        28
LVORI...........6         4         2         2

$$
Forecaster...Kelly
Requested by...David Schutt
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2518722.0/MLB
.DELDT 07/28/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dschutt@sfwmd.gov