Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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Spot Forecast for TM-19 Pile...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
814 AM EDT Tue Oct 14 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on October 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

North-northwest winds around 5-10 mph this morning at the burn site
will veer to the north-northeast and increase to around 10-15 mph this
afternoon. No Min RH concerns, with generally good smoke dispersion
values forecast. Highs will reach around 80 degrees under mostly
clear skies.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 7 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 3400 ft AGL late in
                    the morning.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 44.
LVORI...............6 decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  11  12  13  13  13  13  11  10  8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............70  72  75  77  78  79  78  78  79  78
RH..............87  81  76  71  69  67  69  69  64  67
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   NNE NNE NNE
20 FT wind spd..7   8   10  12  13  14  15  15  15  14
20 FT wind gust.12  13  14  15  16  17  18  18  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.0 2.2 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.2 2.9 2.5
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.8   9   13  14  15  15  16  16  16  15
Dispersion idx..10  15  32  41  42  43  44  42  40  37
LVORI...........6   4   3   2   2   2   2   1   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 16 mph.
Dispersion index....29 decreasing to 12.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........7         6         14        23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         10
Temp............77        75        74        72
RH..............69        71        74        79
20 FT wind......N 13G16   NE 10G16  N 12G17   N 13G18
Mix hgt (ft)....1900      600       600       800
Transport wind..N 14      N 12      N 14      N 15
Dispersion idx..29        9         12        13
LVORI...........3         3         4         4

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 14 to 21 mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 3700 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 22 mph.
Dispersion index....14 increasing to 50.
LVORI...............5 decreasing to 3 in the late morning and
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........35        38        42        44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10        10        10        10
Temp............72        74        77        78
RH..............81        79        76        74
20 FT wind......N 14G20   N 15G21   N 18G22   N 21G23
Mix hgt (ft)....900       2200      3600      3300
Transport wind..N 15      N 16      N 21      N 22
Dispersion idx..14        38        52        50
LVORI...........5         3         3         3

$$
Forecaster...Weitlich
Requested by...Victoria Marshall
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523546.0/MLB
.DELDT 10/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL victoria.marshall@floridaDEP.gov