Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
231
FNUS72 KMLB 061827
FWSMLB
Spot Forecast for 10TH STREET (64)...Florida Department of Transportation
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
227 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 EDT on May 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...
There will be a chance for showers and storms early in the evening,
with rain chances up to 30-40 percent. Any storms that develop will
may become strong, with the potential to produce strong and erratic
winds, frequent lightning, locally heavy rainfall and hail. However,
this activity will diminish through late evening. Fog is not
forecast overnight, but light winds at the surface may allow any
smoke from the nearby wildfire to settle, limiting visibilities
along any nearby roadways late tonight through early Wednesday
morning. Main concern would be along US-92 due the proximity of
the brush fire to that roadway, and with light winds out of the
south.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
late in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the south
around 5 mph late in the evening, then becoming
light and variable overnight. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms in the
evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 13 mph shifting to the south 6
to 12 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Dispersion index....26 decreasing to 5 early in the evening.
LVORI...............3 increasing to 9.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........51 56 55 54 53 52 46 40 34 35 35 36
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40 30 30 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10
Temp............85 83 81 76 75 74 72 72 72 71 70 70
RH..............61 67 74 87 90 90 97 93 93 97 97 97
20 FT wind dir..E E E S SE S S SE S S S S
20 FT wind spd..8 7 5 5 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.14 12 9 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E SE SE SE S S S S S S SE S
Transp wind spd.12 13 10 10 12 9 8 8 7 7 6 7
Dispersion idx..30 21 6 6 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........2 3 4 5 6 6 7 6 7 8 8 9
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Showers likely
and chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph in the
late morning and afternoon, then shifting to
the north around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 4000 ft AGL late in
the morning, then increasing to 5600 ft AGL
early in the afternoon decreasing to 3300 ft
AGL late in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 7
to 9 mph early in the afternoon, then shifting
to the east 6 to 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 17 early in the morning, then
increasing to 31 late in the morning increasing
to 49 early in the afternoon increasing to 55
decreasing to 47 late in the afternoon
decreasing to 23.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 6 early in the morning, then
decreasing to 3 late in the morning decreasing
to 2 in the afternoon increasing to 3.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........37 37 38 39 41 43 49 56 63 67 72 76
Weather cov..... SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 20 30 40 50 60 70
Temp............69 68 70 75 80 83 85 86 87 87 87 83
RH..............100 100 100 94 79 72 65 63 61 61 63 72
20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S SW SW S S N
20 FT wind spd..2 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.9 10 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 10 12 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.9 4.0 5.0 5.6 5.5 3.3 2.1
Transp wind dir.SE S S S S S S SW SW SW SE E
Transp wind spd.7 8 9 10 9 9 9 9 7 8 7 6
Dispersion idx..3 4 13 21 27 35 49 59 50 47 27 19
LVORI...........9 9 6 5 3 3 1 1 1 1 2 3
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Showers likely
and chance of thunderstorms in the evening,
then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms
overnight.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph early in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms early in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 8 mph shifting to the
southeast 5 to 8 mph in the evening, then
shifting to the south overnight.
Dispersion index....14 decreasing to 3 early in the evening.
LVORI...............4 increasing to 10.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........76 76 76 74 69 64 61 57 54 56 57 59
Weather cov.....LKY CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).70 50 20 20 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 0
Temp............82 80 76 73 73 72 71 69 68 68 68 68
RH..............74 79 87 97 97 97 99 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..E NE E E E SE SE S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.8 8 7 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 6 6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NE E S S SE SE SE S S S S S
Transp wind spd.8 7 5 6 7 8 8 8 7 6 5 5
Dispersion idx..16 11 2 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 2 2
LVORI...........3 4 6 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 10 10
$$
Forecaster...Weitlich
Requested by...Michael Hudson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2513236.0/MLB
.DELDT 05/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan.albin@dot.state.fl.us,michael.hudson@dot.state.fl.us,John.escobedo@dot.state.fl.us,caitlin.west@dot.state.fl.us