Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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093
FXUS62 KMLB 050525
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
125 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 124 AM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024

Light and variable morning winds (interior) will transition
onshore (ERLY). Maintain VCSH for coastal terminals KTIX northward
with trend focusing inland during the afternoon. ISOLD convective
coverage at best with warm temps aloft and meager deep moisture.
Generally VFR prevailing with brief MVFR invof convection. Onshore
winds become light again in the evening, but still a bit elevated
along the coast (5-10 kts) and cannot rule out ISOLD shower
activity for coastal terminals tonight.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 834 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024

Isolated showers remain confined to the Atlantic waters as of this
evening, as activity over land has diminished beyond sunset.
Current forecast remains on track with no changes necessary.
Isolated sprinkles may move onshore to the Treasure Coast this
evening and early tonight, but limited impacts are expected. Lows
tonight in the mid to upper 70s.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 300 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024

Increasing long period swells from distant Major Hurricane Kirk
will create poor to hazardous boating conditions Saturday night
through the early part of next week. East winds 10-15 knots will
support combined seas 4-5 FT Sat building 5-6 FT Sun and up to 7
ft offshore Sun night-Tue. NE winds strengthen near 20 knots over
the Volusia and Brevard Atlc waters Tue night- Wed where seas
build 8-12 FT. Isolated to scattered showers and storms through
Sat then numerous showers and scattered storms Sun-Wed as deep
moisture spreads east from the Gulf of Mexico. NHC is monitoring
the Gulf for possible tropical development early next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  87  75  83  73 /  20  40  60  50
MCO  89  76  84  73 /  20  20  50  50
MLB  87  77  85  74 /  20  20  50  60
VRB  88  76  86  74 /  20  30  50  60
LEE  89  75  82  73 /  20  20  60  40
SFB  88  75  83  73 /  20  30  60  50
ORL  90  76  84  74 /  20  20  60  50
FPR  87  76  85  74 /  20  30  50  60

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Schaper
AVIATION...Sedlock