Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
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977 FXUS62 KMLB 232354 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 654 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 224 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024 - Below normal temperatures linger through tonight, with a gradual warming trend forecast Sunday and into next week. - Remaining dry over the next several days, with fire sensitive conditions remaining in place through Sunday. && .PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... Issued at 224 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024 Current-Sunday...Sunny skies this afternoon with temperatures observed in the 60s. Temperatures quickly fall into the 50s after sunset further cooling into the low to mid 40s across much of the area by early tomorrow morning. A few degrees warmer overnight across southern St Lucie and Martin counties. Winds become light and variable through the period as surface high pressure slides eastward across the state. Afternoon temperatures begin a warming trend tomorrow climbing into the low to mid 70s. Sunny skies and dry conditions persist. Mon-Sat (previous)...Mainly zonal flow aloft continues through much of the upcoming week. Weak high pressure a mainstay across the area, though a weak front is forecast to push into north FL mid-week and becomes diffuse. The next formidable front may not cross into central FL until around Fri afternoon-Fri night. We continue to keep conditions dry thru the period. The warming trend started on Sun will continue with U70s to around 80F (M70s Volusia coast Mon) for Mon-Wed and L80s on Thanksgiving Day. Temps may then drop again slightly into Fri depending on timing of frontal passage. Mins in the 50s for much of the interior with some L60s gradually returning E of I-95 and possibly M-U60s by Thu morning for immediate St. Lucie/Martin counties. Generally light winds thru the period. && .MARINE... Issued at 224 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024 Tonight-Wednesday...Favorable boating conditions are forecast through the period. Seas of 3-5 ft offshore tonight will continue to subside becoming widely 1-2 ft by Sunday night. Weak surface high pressure will promote light and variable winds across the waters each day. Dry conditions persist. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFs) Issued at 651 PM EST Sat Nov 23 2024 VFR and favorable flying conditions prevail through the TAF period. Winds becoming light and variable as the center of high pressure shifts east over the Florida peninsula. A weak sea breeze turning winds onshore 5-10 kts around 19Z Sunday at KMLB-KSUA is forecast. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 43 73 51 77 / 0 0 0 0 MCO 46 74 54 78 / 0 0 0 0 MLB 46 74 55 78 / 0 0 0 0 VRB 46 75 57 78 / 0 0 0 0 LEE 45 73 50 78 / 0 0 0 0 SFB 45 74 51 78 / 0 0 0 0 ORL 47 75 54 80 / 0 0 0 0 FPR 43 75 55 78 / 0 0 0 0 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Law AVIATION...Haley