754
FXUS62 KMLB 250849
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
349 AM EST Mon Nov 25 2024

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 314 AM EST Mon Nov 25 2024

- Patchy fog possible early this morning and again overnight
  tonight, especially west of I-95.

- A gradual warming trend through mid-week.

- Dry conditions continue through at least late week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 314 AM EST Mon Nov 25 2024

Today-Tonight...Patchy fog has been reported around the Leesburg
area and will remain possible, especially over the interior,
through an hour or so after sunrise. High pressure prevails once
again today over the Southeast US, with light and variable winds.
The exception to this will be along the Space and Treasure Coasts
this afternoon, which are forecast to see a light sea breeze
develop this afternoon. Temperatures will continue to creep up,
with near normal highs in store this afternoon. High temperatures
in the mid to upper 70s are forecast, with clear skies, making for
a pleasant day.

Tonight, clear skies continue, with overnight lows also
increasing. Morning temperatures are forecast in the 50s, with the
possibility of some patchy fog once again west of I-95.

Tuesday-Thursday...High pressure lingers over the area through
Tuesday, then weakens into mid-week, as a cold front drops
through the Deep South and washes out over north Florida. Dry
conditions continue, with a few clouds returning to the forecast
on Thursday. Light and variable winds will prevail into Wednesday,
before southwest winds (still 10mph or less) develop Thursday
ahead of another approaching front. Temperatures continue to rise,
reaching the lower 80s area-wide for the Thanksgiving holiday.
Overnight lows increasing, but remaining generally in the 50s,
with lower 60s by Thursday night.

Friday-Monday...Friday, a low pressure drifting offshore of the
Northeast US drags a weakening cold front through the Florida
peninsula. Winds will veer northerly behind the front, ushering in
cooler air through the day and into the overnight hours. Then, a
reinforcing front is forecast to drop through the area late in the
weekend, as high pressure develops over the central US.

Temperatures hang onto the lower 80s for southern portions of the
forecast area Friday, then return to the 70s area-wide for the
weekend. By early next week, we may struggle to reach 70 for most
of the area. Chilly overnight lows gradually return each night,
first with lows in the 50s, then 40s once again Sunday and Monday
nights. Both aforementioned cold fronts are not forecast to bring
rainfall to the local area at this time.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 314 AM EST Mon Nov 25 2024

Today-Thursday...Generally favorable boating conditions will
prevail through mid-week, as high pressure remains in place over
the local area. Light and variable winds through Wednesday will
become onshore, but stay less than 10kts, each afternoon as a weak
sea breeze develops. Southwest winds 10-15kts are then forecast
Thursday ahead of an approaching front. Seas 1-2ft through
Wednesday, then 2-3ft. Dry conditions prevailing.

Small craft should exercise caution near inlets during periods
around the outgoing tide early this week, due to long period east-
northeast swells.

Friday-The Weekend...A cold front is forecast to pass through the
area on Friday, veering winds northerly and building seas. Less
favorable boating conditions will develop, with north winds up to
15-20kts and seas building to up to 5-7ft Friday night. Poor
boating conditions then look to continue into the weekend.
Isolated to scattered showers will be possible over the Atlantic
waters Friday into Friday night.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 1221 AM EST Mon Nov 25 2024

Primarily VFR conds thru the period. Will have to monitor for
some fog development these next couple of nights and early
mornings, though moisture near the surface is scarce and we may
see more in the way of ground fog if anything is able to develop.
Confidence remains low here and will amend if necessary. Winds
continue light and variable, but we may see a light onshore flow
develop later this afternoon at the coast and transition inland.
Skies mainly MSunny/MClear.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 314 AM EST Mon Nov 25 2024

Today-Extended...High pressure remains in place over the local
area through mid-week, continuing sensitive fire weather
conditions due low min RH and dry soil. The lowest RH looks to be
along and north of I-4. These conditions are forecast to persist
through the extended, with the exception of some higher moisture
along a cold front on Friday. Regardless, this looks to be a drier
front, with dry air returning on the back side.

Light and variable winds look to continue through Wednesday, with
a light sea breeze along the Space and Treasure coasts in the
afternoon. Light winds will lead to poor to fair dispersion.
Patchy fog is possible through around sunrise this morning and
again late tonight, mainly over the interior.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  76  52  78  57 /   0   0   0   0
MCO  77  54  79  56 /   0   0   0   0
MLB  76  57  78  57 /   0   0   0   0
VRB  77  58  79  57 /   0   0   0   0
LEE  77  51  79  57 /   0   0   0   0
SFB  77  52  79  56 /   0   0   0   0
ORL  79  55  81  58 /   0   0   0   0
FPR  77  58  79  56 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Leahy
AVIATION...Sedlock