702
FXUS63 KMKX 112108
AFDMKX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
308 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Breezy west-northwest winds from 30 to 35 mph are expected on
  Wednesday.

- Temperatures warm through the week and are trending above
  normal for the end of the week.

- Chances (30 to 50 percent) for showers and thunderstorms
  develop over the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Issued 247 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

Tonight through Wednesday night:

Dry conditions are expected into tomorrow night with passing
clouds. The biggest weather story will be the winds this
afternoon and then again tomorrow. Southwest winds will continue
to gust this afternoon to around between 25 and 35 mph. Winds
will then ease this evening to around 20 to 25 mph and continue
to remain breezy overnight as a weak trough passes over southern
WI. West- northwest winds will then take hold early Wednesday
and continue through the day, with gusts peaking around 35 mph.
Winds then ease Wednesday night.

Overnight lows are expected to be around freezing tonight, with
highs reaching the upper 40s to near 50 tomorrow. Lows Wednesday
night will be in the upper 20s to low 30s.

CMiller

&&

.LONG TERM...
Issued  CST Tue Nov 11 2025

Thursday through Tuesday:

A broad area of high pressure over eastern US will keep
conditions dry into the weekend. A large ridge is then
anticipated to lean over into the Upper Great Lakes region on
Saturday, leading to unseasonably warm conditions with highs in
the low 60s. Long range models then vary in the progression of a
trough through the Great Lakes next weekend, with the ECMWF
favoring precipitation Saturday night along the trough, while
the GFS remains dry. At this time slight chance PoPs (~15%) were
place by the NBM along the lakeshore. Trends will be monitored
heading into the weekend. Following the trough early next week,
temperatures are anticipated to dip back towards normal for this
time of the year.

CMiller

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued 302 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

Breezy southwest winds will continue this afternoon with winds
easing slightly and becoming westerly tonight. Winds then become
west-northwesterly tomorrow, with gusts between 25 and 30 knots.
There may be some wind shear during the ramp up/ramp down phases
of gusts tonight and tomorrow.

Otherwise, dry conditions are expected amid continuing VFR.

CMiller

&&

.MARINE...
Issued 304 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

A Gale Warning remains in effect into this evening for breezy
southwest winds. The winds will remain just under gale force in
the north. Brisk west to northwest winds will then prevail late
tonight through Wednesday. The winds may briefly approach gales,
but are anticipated to remain below criteria. Much lighter winds
are then expected Wednesday night into Thursday and Thursday night
as high pressure approaches from the west.

CMiller

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
LM...Gale Warning...LMZ080-LMZ567-LMZ669-LMZ671-LMZ673-LMZ675-
     LMZ777-LMZ779-LMZ868-LMZ870-LMZ872-LMZ874-LMZ876-LMZ878
     until 9 PM Tuesday.

     Small Craft Advisory...LMZ643-LMZ644-LMZ645-LMZ646 until 9 PM
     Wednesday.

&&

$$

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