Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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832
FXUS63 KMKX 081558
AFDMKX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI
958 AM CST Fri Nov 8 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Pleasant and relatively mild weather for through Saturday
  morning.

- A more active pattern returns this weekend with increased rain
  chances (70-90%) Saturday night into Sunday. Additional rain
  chances will be possible again by the middle of next week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued 946 AM CST Fri Nov 8 2024

No major changes to the forecast this morning as high pressure
remains overhead.

CMiller

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Issued 250 PM CST Fri Nov 8 2024

Today through Saturday:

High pressure will build into the area today. After starting out
in the mid to upper 30s, temperatures will warm into the mid to
upper 50s. Winds may be a bit gusty this morning, especially
over east central Wisconsin, but will weaken by afternoon as the
high builds overhead.

Southeast flow returns to the area on Saturday as the high
moves east, and a closed upper low approaches from the Central
Plains. Clouds will increase through the day on the leading edge
of warm/moist advection ahead of the low, with showers starting
to impact locations west of Madison Saturday afternoon, though
remaining low level dry air may delay onset by a few hours.

Boxell

&&

.LONG TERM...
Issued 250 PM CST Fri Nov 8 2024

Saturday night through Thursday:

Widespread, though not particularly heavy, showers are expected
Saturday night as the moves into the area, with PoPS greater
than 80% in many locations. Showers will persist through much of
Sunday, before the low pushes east of the area.

A dry cold front will then pass through the area Monday, with a
stronger front expected to arrive mid week, with additional rain
chances. Temperatures behind this front will be chilly, with
highs currently expected to be in the upper 40s.

Boxell

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued 956 AM CST Fri Nov 8 2024

High pressure will contribute to continuing VFR conditions into
tonight with passing high clouds. Light northwesterly winds
will come around to northeasterly by tonight, and easterly by
daybreak on Saturday. No precipitation is anticipated until late
Saturday afternoon into Saturday evening when the high pressure
exits east and warm advection driven rain approaches from the
west.

CMiller

&&

.MARINE...
Issued 250 PM CST Fri Nov 8 2024

Breezy westerly winds will gradually weaken today as high
pressure moves from the northern Great Plains to Lake Superior.
Winds will turn more northerly tonight and then to the east and
eventually southeast as the high moves into the eastern Great
Lakes late Saturday.

For the nearshore waters, a Small Craft Advisory is in effect
for locations north Port Washington early this morning. An
additional advisory may be needed late Saturday as waves build.

Boxell

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...None.
LM...None.
&&

$$

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