Tropical Cyclone Watch/Warning Break Points
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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514
WTUS82 KMHX 220249
TCVMHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Erin Local Watch/Warning Statement/Advisory Number 43
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City, NC  AL052025
1049 PM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

NCZ203-220400-
/O.CAN.KMHX.SS.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Northern Outer Banks-
1049 PM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

...STORM SURGE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - Kitty Hawk
    - Nags Head
    - Manteo

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Wind less than 39 mph
        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: The sustained wind should remain less than tropical
          storm force. Conditions may still be gusty.
        - PREPARE: Listen for any instructions from local officials.
        - ACT: Ensure emergency readiness should the forecast change.

    - REALIZED IMPACTS: Being Assessed
        - Little to no additional wind impacts expected. Community
          officials are now assessing the extent of actual wind
          impacts accordingly.

* STORM SURGE
    - No storm surge inundation forecast

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm
      surge flooding
        - The storm surge threat has decreased from the previous
          assessment.
        - PLAN: The threat of life-threatening storm surge is
          diminishing as flood waters recede.
        - PREPARE: Do not return to evacuated areas until flood
          waters completely recede and the all-clear is given by
          local officials.
        - ACT: Failure to practice safety may result in serious
          injury or loss of life. If you have a life-threatening
          emergency, dial 9 1 1.

    - REALIZED IMPACTS: Being Assessed
        - Little to no additional surge impacts expected. Community
          officials are now assessing the extent of actual surge
          impacts accordingly.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
          forecast

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
      potential for flooding rain
        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
          the previous assessment.
        - PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
          against flooding rain at this time.
        - ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
        - Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
          with gusty winds may still occur.
        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
          against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
          tornado situation.
        - ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
        - Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
    - http://ready.gov/hurricanes

$$

NCZ205-220400-
/O.CAN.KMHX.SS.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Hatteras Island-
1049 PM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

...STORM SURGE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - Rodanthe
    - Buxton
    - Hatteras Village

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 15-25 mph with gusts to 30 mph

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Wind less than 39 mph
        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: The threat of hazardous wind has subsided.
        - PREPARE: Heed instructions from local officials when moving
          about. Avoid restricted areas.
        - ACT: Dial 9 1 1 if you have a life-threatening emergency.
          Practice safety when moving about.

    - REALIZED IMPACTS: Being Assessed
        - Little to no additional wind impacts expected. Community
          officials are now assessing the extent of actual wind
          impacts accordingly.

* STORM SURGE
    - No storm surge inundation forecast

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm
      surge flooding
        - The storm surge threat has decreased from the previous
          assessment.
        - PLAN: The threat of life-threatening storm surge is
          diminishing as flood waters recede.
        - PREPARE: Do not return to evacuated areas until flood
          waters completely recede and the all-clear is given by
          local officials.
        - ACT: Failure to practice safety may result in serious
          injury or loss of life. If you have a life-threatening
          emergency, dial 9 1 1.

    - REALIZED IMPACTS: Being Assessed
        - Little to no additional surge impacts expected. Community
          officials are now assessing the extent of actual surge
          impacts accordingly.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
          forecast

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
      potential for flooding rain
        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
          the previous assessment.
        - PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
          against flooding rain at this time.
        - ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
        - Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
          with gusty winds may still occur.
        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
          against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
          tornado situation.
        - ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
        - Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
    - http://ready.gov/hurricanes

$$

NCZ204-220400-
/O.CAN.KMHX.SS.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
Ocracoke Island-
1049 PM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

...STORM SURGE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - Ocracoke

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 10-20 mph with gusts to 25 mph

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Wind less than 39 mph
        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: The sustained wind should remain less than tropical
          storm force. Conditions may still be gusty.
        - PREPARE: Listen for any instructions from local officials.
        - ACT: Ensure emergency readiness should the forecast change.

    - REALIZED IMPACTS: Being Assessed
        - Little to no additional wind impacts expected. Community
          officials are now assessing the extent of actual wind
          impacts accordingly.

* STORM SURGE
    - No storm surge inundation forecast

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm
      surge flooding
        - The storm surge threat has decreased from the previous
          assessment.
        - PLAN: The threat of life-threatening storm surge is
          diminishing as flood waters recede.
        - PREPARE: Do not return to evacuated areas until flood
          waters completely recede and the all-clear is given by
          local officials.
        - ACT: Failure to practice safety may result in serious
          injury or loss of life. If you have a life-threatening
          emergency, dial 9 1 1.

    - REALIZED IMPACTS: Being Assessed
        - Little to no additional surge impacts expected. Community
          officials are now assessing the extent of actual surge
          impacts accordingly.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
          forecast

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
      potential for flooding rain
        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
          the previous assessment.
        - PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
          against flooding rain at this time.
        - ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
        - Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
          with gusty winds may still occur.
        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
          against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
          tornado situation.
        - ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
        - Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
    - http://ready.gov/hurricanes

$$

NCZ196-220400-
/O.CAN.KMHX.SS.W.1005.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
East Carteret-
1049 PM EDT Thu Aug 21 2025

...STORM SURGE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* LOCATIONS AFFECTED
    - Beaufort
    - Harkers Island
    - Cedar Island

* WIND
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST: Below tropical storm force wind
        - Peak Wind Forecast: 10-15 mph with gusts to 20 mph

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Wind less than 39 mph
        - The wind threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: The sustained wind should remain less than tropical
          storm force. Conditions may still be gusty.
        - PREPARE: Listen for any instructions from local officials.
        - ACT: Ensure emergency readiness should the forecast change.

    - REALIZED IMPACTS: Being Assessed
        - Little to no additional wind impacts expected. Community
          officials are now assessing the extent of actual wind
          impacts accordingly.

* STORM SURGE
    - No storm surge inundation forecast

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little to no storm
      surge flooding
        - The storm surge threat has decreased from the previous
          assessment.
        - PLAN: There is little to no threat of storm surge flooding.
          Rough surf, coastal erosion, and life-threatening rip
          currents are possible.
        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations for storm surge flooding
          are needed.
        - ACT: Follow the instructions of local officials. Monitor
          forecasts.

    - REALIZED IMPACTS: Being Assessed
        - Little to no additional surge impacts expected. Community
          officials are now assessing the extent of actual surge
          impacts accordingly.

* FLOODING RAIN
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Peak Rainfall Amounts: No additional significant rainfall
          forecast

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Little or no
      potential for flooding rain
        - The flooding rain threat has remained nearly steady from
          the previous assessment.
        - PLAN: There is little or no potential for flooding rain.
        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations are needed to protect
          against flooding rain at this time.
        - ACT: Monitor for changes to the forecast.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
        - Little to no potential impacts from flooding rain.

* TORNADO
    - LATEST LOCAL FORECAST:
        - Situation is unfavorable for tornadoes

    - THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY THAT INCLUDES TYPICAL FORECAST
      UNCERTAINTY IN TRACK, SIZE AND INTENSITY: Tornadoes not expected
        - The tornado threat has remained nearly steady from the
          previous assessment.
        - PLAN: Tornadoes are not expected. Showers and thunderstorms
          with gusty winds may still occur.
        - PREPARE: Little to no preparations needed to protect
          against tornadoes at this time. Keep informed of the latest
          tornado situation.
        - ACT: Listen for changes in the forecast.

    - POTENTIAL IMPACTS: Little to None
        - Little to no potential impacts from tornadoes.

* FOR MORE INFORMATION:
    - http://ready.gov/hurricanes

$$