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Hurricane Erin Local Statement Advisory Number 30
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC  AL052025
510 PM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025

This product covers Eastern North Carolina

**Hurricane Erin Forecast to Pass Offshore, But Still Impact Eastern
 North Carolina**


NEW INFORMATION
---------------

* CHANGES TO WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch have been issued
      for East Carteret, Hatteras Island, Northern Outer Banks, and
      Ocracoke Island

* CURRENT WATCHES AND WARNINGS:
    - A Storm Surge Watch and Tropical Storm Watch are in effect for
      East Carteret, Hatteras Island, Northern Outer Banks, and
      Ocracoke Island

* STORM INFORMATION:
    - About 820 miles south-southeast of Buxton NC or about 810 miles
      south-southeast of Morehead City NC
    - 24.0N 71.3W
    - Storm Intensity 140 mph
    - Movement Northwest or 310 degrees at 10 mph

SITUATION OVERVIEW
------------------

Hurricane Erin is expected to remain a major hurricane as it moves
north-northwestward through mid week. While the center of Erin is
expected to remain several hundred miles off the North Carolina coast,
it will bring several significant coastal impacts to eastern North
Carolina due to its large size.

Moderate to significant storm surge inundation of 2 to 4 feet above
ground level is expected along the oceanside, resulting in a
significant threat to life and property. The worst impacts will likely
be felt along the Outer Banks, from Duck to Cape Lookout, with more
moderate impacts south of Cape Lookout. This is expected to be a
prolonged duration event beginning Tuesday, peaking Wednesday and
Thursday then gradually improving late week, with water levels peaking
during the high tides. Portions of NC-12 and secondary roads along the
Outer Banks, in particular on Hatteras and Ocracoke Islands, will
likely be impassable or inaccessible for several days due to
significant ocean overwash. Minor storm surge inundation, 1 to 2 ft,
will also be possible for soundside areas adjacent to the southern
Pamlico Sound.

Erin is expected to increase in size over the next few days and
tropical storm force winds will be possible Wednesday night and
Thursday morning along the Outer Banks.

Stronger and more frequent rip currents are expected along area
beaches through the week. Extensive beach erosion is also likely due
to strong long period wave energy with 10 to 20 foot waves in the surf
zone.

Very dangerous marine conditions will continue for the coastal waters,
sounds and rivers, with gusty winds and dangerous seas. This will
create treacherous conditions for mariners.

POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* SURGE:
Prepare for life-threatening surge having possible significant impacts
across the Outer Banks from Duck southward to Hatteras, Ocracoke, and
Core Banks. Potential impacts in this area include:
    - Areas of inundation with storm surge flooding accentuated by
      waves. Damage to several buildings, mainly near the coast.
    - Sections of near-shore escape routes and secondary roads become
      weakened or washed out, especially in usually vulnerable low
      spots.
    - Major beach erosion with heavy surf breaching dunes. Strong and
      numerous rip currents.
    - Moderate damage to marinas, docks, boardwalks, and piers.
      Several small craft broken away from moorings, especially in
      unprotected anchorages.

Also, prepare for locally hazardous surge having possible limited
impacts across the Crystal Coast.

Elsewhere across Eastern North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* WIND:
Prepare for hazardous wind having possible limited impacts across the
Outer Banks from Duck southward to Hatteras, Ocracoke, Core Banks, and
portions of Down East Carteret. Potential impacts in this area
include:
    - Damage to porches, awnings, carports, sheds, and unanchored
      mobile homes. Unsecured lightweight objects blown about.
    - Many large tree limbs broken off. A few trees snapped or
      uprooted, but with greater numbers in places where trees are
      shallow rooted. Some fences and roadway signs blown over.
    - A few roads impassable from debris, particularly within urban
      or heavily wooded places. Hazardous driving conditions on
      bridges and other elevated roadways.
    - Scattered power and communications outages.

Elsewhere across Eastern North Carolina, little to no impact is
anticipated.

* OTHER COASTAL HAZARDS:
Life threatening rip currents and marine conditions will persist
through the week.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
----------------------------------

* EVACUATIONS:
Follow the advice of local officials. Portions of Dare and Hyde
counties are under mandatory evacuation orders.


* OTHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION:
Now is the time to check your emergency plan and emergency supplies
kit and take necessary actions to protect your family and secure your
home or business.

When making safety and preparedness decisions, do not focus on the
exact forecast track since hazards such as flooding rain, damaging
wind gusts, storm surge, and tornadoes extend well away from the
center of the storm.

If in a place that is vulnerable to high wind, such as near large
trees, a manufactured home, upper floors of a high-rise building, or
on a boat, plan to move to safe shelter.

If you live in a place particularly vulnerable to flooding, such as
near the ocean or a large inland lake, in a low-lying or poor
drainage area, in a valley, or near an already swollen river, plan to
move to safe shelter on higher ground.

Always heed the advice of local officials and comply with orders that
are issued. Do not needlessly jeopardize your life or the lives of
others.

When securing your property, outside preparations should be concluded
as soon as possible before conditions deteriorate. The onset of
strong gusty winds or flooding can cause certain preparedness
activities to become unsafe.

Check on those who may not be fully aware of the situation or who are
unable to make personal preparations.

If you are a visitor, know the name of the county or parish in which
you are located and where it is relative to current watches and
warnings. If staying at a hotel, ask the management staff about their
onsite disaster plan. Listen for evacuation orders, especially
pertaining to area visitors.

Closely monitor weather.gov, NOAA Weather Radio and local news
outlets for official storm information. Listen for possible changes
to the forecast.


* ADDITIONAL SOURCES OF INFORMATION:
- For information on appropriate preparations see ready.gov
- For information on creating an emergency plan see getagameplan.org
- For additional disaster preparedness information see redcross.org

NEXT UPDATE
-----------

The next local statement will be issued by the National Weather
Service in Newport/Morehead City NC around 11:00 PM EDT, or sooner if
conditions warrant.

$$