Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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661
FNUS72 KMHX 110834
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Millis Savannah Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
434 AM EDT Tue Mar 11 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0500 EDT on March 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION....
Strong low pressure departs to the east today with high pressure
building in behind this departing low. This will allow for ongoing
rainfall to end across the burn site between 6-8AM. Expect clear
skies and warm temperatures by this afternoon as high pressure
continues to build overhead.

Winds will be gusty this morning, coming from the north at 10-15 kts
with gusts up around 20 kts, winds will gradually ease falling to
about 5-10 kts from the NNW with gusts closer to 15 kt by about midday.
WInds will then continue to ease through the afternoon as the pressure
gradient relaxes as high pressure builds further into the area.
RH`s get into the mid 30-40% this afternoon across the burn site.

High pressure remains in control of the weather into
this weekend bringing fair weather to ENC. Winds will remain light
on Wednesday with RH`s closer to 40% before southerly flow brings
in more moisture allowing RH`s to climb into the 40% plus range.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming sunny. Chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning, then
                    clearing skies.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 to 15 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 20 to 30 mph decreasing to 15 to 20 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 67620 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 5.
ADI.................Max 75.
Stability class.....3.
Sfc pressure........29.64 to 29.79 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........76  50  37  29  14  7   5   3   2   1   1   0
Weather cov.....CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............53  53  53  54  57  60  62  64  66  68  70  70
RH..............93  86  83  80  72  64  58  52  47  42  38  38
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N  NNW NNW NNW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..12  12  12  12  12  10  11  10  9   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  18  18  16  15  15  14  13  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.7 1.4 1.5 2.2 2.7 3.0 3.3 3.1 3.2 2.6
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.26  24  24  26  26  28  25  22  21  20  17  15
LVORI...........5   4   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............24  27  27  41  43  72  75  70  69  66  67  49
Vrate mph-ft/1K.17  14  16  36  40  60  68  65  67  62  56  39
Sfc pres (in)...964 967 970 973 976 978 978 978 977 978 978 979

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 15 mph shifting to the west in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Vent Rate...........Min 2989 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 5.
ADI.................Min 4.
Stability class.....4.
Sfc pressure........29.81 to 29.91 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   1   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............67  62  59  56  55  54  53  51  51  50  49  49
RH..............42  52  60  66  69  71  74  80  77  80  83  80
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.10  5   5       5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.15  12  10  10  8   8   9   10  12  12  12  10
LVORI...........2   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   4
ADI.............17  4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.13  3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
Sfc pres (in)...981 983 985 987 989 990 990 990 989 990 990 991

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 10 mph late
                    in the morning.
Mixing Height.......Max 2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 10 to
                    20 mph in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 30129 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Max 30.
Stability class.....4.
Sfc pressure........29.92 to 29.99 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........1      1      1      1      1      1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............49     50     62     69     72     71
RH..............80     75     55     45     41     43
20 ft wind......W 1    W 2    W 3    SW 5   S 7    S 8
20 ft wind gust.5             5             15     15
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    800    1600   2100   1700
Transport wind..W 10   W 9    W 7    SW 7   S 12   S 17
LVORI...........4      4      3      2      2      2
ADI.............5      10     8      13     26     30
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4      3      6      11     24     30
Sfc pres (in)...29.93  29.96  29.99  29.98  29.94  29.92

$$
Forecaster...Fucheck
Requested by...David Nelson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2505661.1/MHX
.DELDT 03/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david.l.nelson@usda.gov