040
FNUS72 KMHX 201458
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for RX AF-012026...NC Forest Service
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
958 AM EST Tue Jan 20 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EST on January 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold and dry Arctic airmass continues over the region today,
resulting in minimum RHs reaching 15-25%. Light winds should limit
increased fire danger. Similar conditions expected on Wednesday,
though RHs will be higher along the coast as southerly flow
develops.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 44.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 14 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 40825 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 2.
ADI.................Max 43.
Stability class.....3.
Sfc pressure........30.37 to 30.40 inHg.

TIME (EST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   12  16  15  12  11  9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............40  42  43  44  43  42  39
RH..............36  31  29  27  28  29  32
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..7   7   8   7   7   6   5
20 FT wind gust.9   14  14  14  9
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 1.7
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.14  14  13  13  13  12  8
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   2
ADI.............41  43  41  42  42  38  6
Vrate mph-ft/1K.36  39  39  40  41  36  6
Sfc pres (in)...038 038 037 037 037 038 040

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....Around 19.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing Height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 9 mph decreasing to around 5 mph
                    after 3 am.
Vent Rate...........Min 1839 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 3.
ADI.................Min 2.
Stability class.....6.
Sfc pressure........30.44 to 30.53 inHg.

TIME (EST)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
Sky (%).........5            2            2
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE         NONE         NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............35           26           23
RH..............40           55           59
20 FT wind......NW 4G5       NW 2         N 1
Mix hgt (ft)....1200         1000         1000
Transport wind..NW 8         N 9          N 6
LVORI...........2            3            3
ADI.............4            4            3
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4            4            2
Sfc pres (in)...30.44        30.53        30.52

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds in the morning becoming southwest
                    around 5 mph, then shifting to the south 5 to 6
                    mph late in the afternoon becoming light.
Mixing Height.......Max 2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    6 to 7 mph late in the morning, then shifting
                    to the south 8 to 9 mph in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 26104 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 3.
ADI.................Max 29.
Stability class.....2.
Sfc pressure........30.36 to 30.53 inHg.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........10     14     22     37     49     58
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............19     27     41     47     51     51
RH..............70     60     46     40     39     44
20 ft wind......N 2    N 2    W 3    SW 4   S 5    S 4
20 ft wind gust.              5      5             5
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   1200   1600   2600   2500   1900
Transport wind..NE 5   NE 5   SE 6   S 8    S 9    SW 9
LVORI...........3      3      2      2      2      2
ADI.............5      5      12     24     28     21
Vrate mph-ft/1K.2      2      9      21     24     17
Sfc pres (in)...30.52  30.53  30.52  30.47  30.42  30.38

$$
Forecaster...Glenn
Requested by...Kit Gibbs
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600626.0/MHX
.DELDT 01/20/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kit.gibbs@ncagr.gov