Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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874
FNUS72 KMHX 042043
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for GOCR...NC State Parks
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
343 PM EST Tue Feb 4 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 EST on February 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION....
Warm, dry, and breezy conditions will continue for another 1 to 2
hours this afternoon. A cold front then moves through with a
northeasterly wind shift this evening. This will be accompanied by
a cooler airmass and increasing relative humidities. The timing of
the cold front and associated wind shift is expected between 6-8
pm this evening. There will be an increased risk of light rain on
Wednesday, and temperatures will be much cooler than today.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 57039 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 2.
ADI.................Max 58.
Stability class.....2.
Sfc pressure........29.98 to 30.01 inHg.

TIME (EST)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............74  71
RH..............38  44
20 FT wind dir..NW  N
20 FT wind spd..10  10
20 FT wind gust.15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 0.5
Transp wind dir.N   N
Transp wind spd.17  9
LVORI...........1   2
ADI.............58  10
Vrate mph-ft/1K.57  5
Sfc pres (in)...998 001

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing Height.......Min 500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 20 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 4024 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 3.
ADI.................Min 4.
Stability class.....5.
Sfc pressure........30.05 to 30.28 inHg.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........25  37  28  21  26  35  37  43  44  46  43  45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............65  60  54  50  48  46  45  44  43  42  41  40
RH..............50  55  64  66  65  65  65  65  65  67  67  67
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   10  10  10  10   9   9   9   8   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.9   14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.7 1.5 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.7
Transp wind dir.N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.8   14  21  20  18  16  16  15  14  13  12  12
LVORI...........2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............4   9   14  13  12  11  11  13  9   8   8   8
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4   10  32  19  21  14  9   7   8   8   7   8
Sfc pres (in)...005 009 013 018 021 023 023 024 024 025 026 028

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Increasing clouds. Chance of rain in the
afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 46.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 26794 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 3.
ADI.................Max 26.
Stability class.....3.
Sfc pressure........30.21 to 30.31 inHg.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........54  62  70  72  80  90  93  94  95  95  94  95
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............39  40  40  42  44  45  46  46  46  45  44  44
RH..............70  67  67  65  60  58  60  60  63  65  70  73
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.9   14  9   14  14  9   14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.4 1.3
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.13  12  15  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
ADI.............13  9   24  22  23  26  26  26  25  25  22  21
Vrate mph-ft/1K.8   8   19  20  22  26  26  27  25  25  20  18
Sfc pres (in)...029 030 031 031 031 031 029 028 025 023 021 021

$$
Forecaster...Martin
Requested by...T. Crate
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2502264.0/MHX
.DELDT 02/04/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas.crate@ncparks.gov