525
FNUS72 KMHX 250858
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Railroad Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
358 AM EST Mon Nov 25 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0500 EST on November 25.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION....
High pressure remains over the area today and tonight. A cold
front with limited moisture will move through tomorrow, with
mild high pressure building in behind it through Wednesday. A
developing low pressure system and associated cold front will
bring unsettled weather to the region on Thanksgiving and
potentially into Friday. Much colder, but drier, conditions are
expected this weekend and into early next week.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy fog.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 2875 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Min 3.
Stability class.....6.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.09 to 30.09 inHg.

TIME (EST)      5AM
Sky (%).........6
Weather cov.....PTY
Weather type....FOG
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1
Temp............38
RH..............100
20 FT wind dir..N
20 FT wind spd..0
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4
Transp wind dir.W
Transp wind spd.7
LVORI...........9
ADI.............3
Haines index....4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3
Sfc pres (in)...009

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy fog early in the morning.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 20815 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 8.
ADI.................Max 25.
Stability class.....2.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.06 to 30.15 inHg.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   10  9   5   4   3   2   1   3   7   10  13
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............38  39  44  52  60  64  68  70  71  71  69  64
RH..............100 100 89  74  60  52  45  42  42  42  47  58
20 FT wind dir..N   N   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..0   0   1   1   2   3   4   4   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.                    5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.3 2.2 2.0 0.7 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   6   5   6   7   9   9   9   8   8
LVORI...........8   8   5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
ADI.............7   7   6   6   5   9   15  25  25  23  6   6
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3   3   2   3   3   7   11  21  21  19  6   3
Sfc pres (in)...011 012 014 015 015 014 011 009 007 007 006 006

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 14 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 3909 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 8.
ADI.................Min 4.
Stability class.....6.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.01 to 30.07 inHg.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........19     19     11     9      14     29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............59     52     51     50     51     52
RH..............72     96     93     93     93     93
20 ft wind......SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   SW 4   SW 4   SW 5
20 ft wind gust.                     5      5
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..S 9    SW 10  SW 12  SW 13  W 13   SW 14
LVORI...........3      7      6      6      6      6
ADI.............4      5      5      6      6      6
Haines index....5      5      5      5      4      4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4      4      5      5      5      6
Sfc pres (in)...30.06  30.06  30.07  30.05  30.03  30.01

$$
Forecaster...Kearns
Requested by...David Nelson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2427289.1/MHX
.DELDT 11/25/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david.l.nelson@usda.gov