Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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136
FNUS72 KMHX 140901
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for SR-9...USMC
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
Issued by National Weather Service Wilmington NC
501 AM EDT Wed May 14 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0605 EDT on May 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION....
Unsettled weather continues today as a trough axis moves through
the region. Summer-like weather arrives late this week as a ridge
of high pressure builds through the weekend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Showers
                    and thunderstorms likely late in the afternoon,
                    then chance of showers and thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    early in the morning, then becoming light early
                    in the afternoon becoming south 6 to 10 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 41630 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Max 53.
Stability class.....3.
Sfc pressure........29.81 to 29.89 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........27  29  20  23  25  28  37  50  56  56  51  48
Weather cov.....                        CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC
Temp............65  65  69  72  76  78  79  79  79  78  78  77
RH..............100 100 90  81  71  67  64  64  67  69  69  74
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   4   4   4   3   5   8   10  7   9
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   9   9   9   14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.4 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.3 2.8 2.4 2.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   9   10  10  10  12  12  14  14  15
LVORI...........9   9   6   4   3   1   1   1   3   3   1   3
ADI.............4   4   4   4   5   45  48  53  39  32  42  47
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3   3   6   13  24  35  37  42  37  38  33  37
Sfc pres (in)...984 986 988 989 989 988 987 985 983 982 981 981

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy then
                    becoming partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms early in the evening, then slight
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms in the late
                    evening and overnight. Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening and
                    overnight becoming light, then becoming
                    southwest around 5 mph after 3 am. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the evening and overnight. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms after 3 am.
Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 14 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 3909 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Min 4.
Stability class.....3.
Sfc pressure........29.81 to 29.85 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........50  53  55  53  52  50  40  31  21  22  22  23
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH     SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW      RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH     SCH SCH SCH
Temp............76  74  72  70  69  68  68  67  67  67  67  67
RH..............74  76  81  90  93  100 100 100 100 100 97  97
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   3   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.14  9   9   9   9   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.14  12  9   10  9   10  10  10  9   9   9   9
LVORI...........3   4   4   5   6   8   9   9   9   9   7   7
ADI.............31  12  10  11  9   7   5   5   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.24  7   4   5   4   5   5   5   4   4   4   4
Sfc pres (in)...981 982 983 984 985 985 985 985 984 984 984 984

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the morning and early afternoon. Chance of
                    showers through the day. Chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 8 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the morning and early afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 to 17 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 79005 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Max 92.
Stability class.....4.
Sfc pressure........29.79 to 29.87 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........30     43     40     33     32     31
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Temp............67     69     76     82     85     83
RH..............100    100    82     67     63     70
20 ft wind......SW 3   SW 3   SW 5   SW 6   S 8    S 8
20 ft wind gust.5      9      9      14     14     14
Mix hgt (ft)....400    800    2200   4700   4900   3600
Transport wind..SW 9   SW 14  W 13   W 15   SW 16  SW 17
LVORI...........9      8      4      1      1      3
ADI.............4      6      6      82     92     74
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4      11     28     70     79     61
Sfc pres (in)...29.85  29.87  29.87  29.85  29.82  29.80

$$
Forecaster...ILM
Requested by...Pete Stepankus
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2513764.2/MHX
.DELDT 05/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL peter.stepankus@usmc.mil