480
FNUS72 KMHX 152119
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for VOA 1A-1...NCWRC
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
519 PM EDT Wed Jul 15 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on July 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
A much drier airmass will reside over the area through the next
few days. During peak heating, minimum relative humidities are
forecast to bottom out in the 30s and 40s percent away from the
coast. Southerly flow is then forecast to steadily increase through
the end of the week, along with a daily risk of wind direction and
speed changes along the advancing seabreeze. Looking ahead, a more
active thunderstorm pattern is expected late in the weekend into next
week.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 8 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 41170 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Max 50.
Stability class.....1.
Sfc pressure........29.86 to 29.94 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   6   8   4   2   4   10  28  25
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............80  86  90  93  95  96  97  98  98
RH..............77  63  56  47  43  39  37  34  34
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.4 2.4 3.7 4.5 5.0 5.8 6.0 5.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.8   7   6   6   6   7   7   7   7
LVORI...........4   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............12  12  18  27  32  43  49  50  46
Vrate mph-ft/1K.9   10  14  21  26  35  40  41  37
Sfc pres (in)...994 994 993 992 991 990 988 987 986

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming south 5 to 6 mph
                    early in the evening becoming light.
Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 13 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 4140 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 5.
ADI.................Min 4.
Stability class.....3.
Sfc pressure........29.86 to 29.91 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........36  42  43  35  35  35  27  30  31  27  28  43
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............97  95  91  85  84  82  81  80  79  78  77  77
RH..............38  43  52  63  65  69  74  77  79  82  85  85
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..4   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   3
20 FT wind gust.5   5   9   9   14  9   9   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.7   8   10  12  13  13  12  12  10  9   9   9
LVORI...........2   2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5
ADI.............28  4   7   5   6   6   5   5   5   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.22  9   6   6   7   6   6   6   5   4   4   5
Sfc pres (in)...986 986 987 988 990 991 991 990 990 990 991 991

$$
Forecaster...Simms
Requested by...Jennifer Prince
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2617426.0/MHX
.DELDT 07/15/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jennifer.prince@ncwildlife.gov