440
FNUS72 KMHX 090842
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for C 23 White Oak Rd...USFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
342 AM EST Sun Feb 9 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on February 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION....
Sea fog advecting over the area on the table in early morning,
until ~11Z. A cold front moves through today bringing with it a
brief window of slight chance of showers as the front passes
~15-18Z. Showers forecast to be light, QPF a couple hundredths.
SWerly winds ahead of the front 10-15kt quickly becoming Nerly
behind the front through the afternoon, further veering to
become NEerly this evening. Expecting winds behind the front to
be weaker than prefrontal, but may become a little gusty when
the NEerly surge arrives over fire area overnight.

An unsettled pattern will continue through the middle of next
week with multiple fronts impacting the area as the upper level
pattern becomes more amplified. Better chances for widespread
precipitation Monday through Wednesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain in the
                    late morning and early afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 9 mph shifting to the
                    north around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 16 mph shifting to the north 9 to 13
                    mph in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 25069 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 3.
ADI.................Max 24.
Stability class.....4.
Sfc pressure........30.03 to 30.12 inHg.

TIME (EST)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........86  86  88  88  82  71  65  60
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............64  65  66  66  66  66  65  62
RH..............81  78  75  73  65  58  54  58
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   NW  NW  N   N   N   NE
20 FT wind spd..9   8   7   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  9   9   14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.2 1.4 0.8
Transp wind dir.W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.16  15  13  13  13  12  10  9
LVORI...........3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2
ADI.............22  24  21  22  23  23  16  10
Vrate mph-ft/1K.18  22  20  22  22  25  14  7
Sfc pres (in)...003 004 005 006 007 008 010 012

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of rain late in the evening.
                    Chance of rain overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    after 3 am.
Mixing Height.......Min 800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 9660 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 3.
ADI.................Min 8.
Stability class.....4.
Sfc pressure........30.15 to 30.26 inHg.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........48  43  41  37  36  43  57  65  71  83  89  90
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                    RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............59  57  55  53  52  50  49  47  46  45  45  44
RH..............62  64  64  61  61  63  66  74  76  79  79  82
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   9
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   9   9   14  14  14  14  14  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.3 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9
Transp wind dir.NE  E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.12  13  15  17  18  17  16  17  17  17  17  18
LVORI...........3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.............8   11  13  12  12  19  18  19  19  19  19  21
Vrate mph-ft/1K.10  16  19  24  33  31  21  33  33  33  33  34
Sfc pres (in)...015 018 021 024 026 026 026 025 024 024 024 026

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of rain early in the morning,
                    then rain likely in the morning. Chance of rain
                    early in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 44.
Min humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 9 to 10 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 17 to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 28979 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Max 30.
Stability class.....4.
Sfc pressure........30.29 to 30.35 inHg.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........92  94  94  96  97  97  97  97  97  97  97  96
Weather cov.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Temp............43  42  42  42  43  43  43  43  42  42  41  41
RH..............82  86  86  86  86  86  82  82  86  86  85  82
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.6 1.7 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  N   NE  N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.17  17  17  18  18  17  17  17  17  17  17  17
LVORI...........3   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   4   4   4   3
ADI.............30  30  28  30  30  28  29  29  29  29  28  28
Vrate mph-ft/1K.28  29  25  27  28  26  27  28  27  26  25  26
Sfc pres (in)...030 033 034 035 035 034 032 030 029 029 029 030

$$
Forecaster...Bowen
Requested by...David Nelson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2502589.0/MHX
.DELDT 02/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david.l.nelson@usda.gov