431
FNUS72 KMHX 080922
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Rose Bay Canal...NCFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
522 AM EDT Mon Jun 8 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 EDT on June 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move through the fire area between 7am-9am this
morning with a northeasterly wind shift. A risk of scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms may accompany the front early
this morning. By this afternoon, occasional gusts to 20 mph are
expected. High pressure moves in tonight and Tuesday with lighter
winds. A drier airmass will move in behind the front, but the
airmass is not expected to be as dry as this past weekend.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Decreasing clouds by this afternoon. A slight
chance of showers early this morning.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 10 to 15 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing Height.......Max 3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph shifting to the northeast 10
to 20 mph in the morning and afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 55199 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 5.
ADI.................Max 57.
Stability class.....3.
Sfc pressure........30.01 to 30.14 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........41  33  17  9   5   4   3   4   3   2   4   8
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH
Temp............73  74  77  79  82  83  84  84  84  83  82  79
RH..............84  82  76  74  65  63  61  59  55  57  58  64
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   5   7   9   10  11  11  11  11  11
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   9   9   14  14  18  18  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.3 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.1 2.8
Transp wind dir.W   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.7   6   9   12  13  14  14  16  17  16  17  17
LVORI...........5   4   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............3   6   15  26  35  41  44  52  57  53  56  53
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3   2   12  20  28  32  40  50  55  50  53  49
Sfc pres (in)...001 003 005 006 008 009 010 012 013 013 013 014

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Increasing clouds.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing Height.......Min 500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 3794 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Min 5.
Stability class.....4.
Sfc pressure........30.15 to 30.22 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........16  25  30  35  44  58  73  78  84  81  77  69
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............77  72  69  67  67  65  65  64  64  64  63  63
RH..............67  79  84  90  90  97  97  100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..10  10  9   8   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.18  14  14  14  14  9   9   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 2.2 2.0 1.7 1.5 1.8 1.9 2.0 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE
Transp wind spd.16  15  14  13  13  12  12  10  9   9   9   8
LVORI...........1   4   4   5   5   5   5   8   8   8   8   9
ADI.............46  10  9   8   14  13  13  7   6   6   6   5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.40  33  28  22  19  20  22  20  5   5   5   4
Sfc pres (in)...015 017 019 020 021 021 022 022 022 021 021 021

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast 10 to
                    15 mph late in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 33005 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Max 41.
Stability class.....3.
Sfc pressure........30.16 to 30.22 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........64     61     48     47     53     45
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............63     69     77     80     83     82
RH..............100    90     67     58     53     55
20 ft wind......NE 5   E 6    E 5    E 6    E 6    SE 7
20 ft wind gust.9      9                    9      9
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1700   2900   3500   3600   3200
Transport wind..NE 8   E 9    E 9    E 7    E 7    SE 10
LVORI...........9      4      3      2      2      1
ADI.............5      21     34     29     25     41
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4      16     27     24     21     33
Sfc pres (in)...30.21  30.22  30.22  30.21  30.19  30.17

$$
Forecaster...Martin
Requested by...PSC3
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2615121.0/MHX
.DELDT 06/08/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ncfs.imt.plans@ncagr.gov