789
FNUS72 KMHX 301716
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for VC prescribed burn...Goose Creek State Parks
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1216 PM EST Thu Jan 30 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1315 EST on January 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION....
Warm and dry high pressure will build in today with minimum RHs
around 30%. Winds will veer to the southeast this afternoon and
increase to 5-10 mph with gusts to 10-15 mph. Unsettled weather
will return Friday night with the passage of another frontal
system.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny then becoming partly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 10 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 25759 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 2.
ADI.................Max 30.
Stability class.....2.
Sfc pressure........30.22 to 30.25 inHg.

TIME (EST)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8   24  28  42  52
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............58  59  59  58  56
RH..............37  36  29  34  42
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.    14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 2.7 2.5 2.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   8   9   10  8
LVORI...........2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............25  27  26  30  8
Vrate mph-ft/1K.20  22  23  26  4
Sfc pres (in)...025 024 022 022 022

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast around
                    5 mph early in the morning.
Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 10 mph shifting to the south 10
                    to 12 mph after 3 am.
Vent Rate...........Min 2875 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Min 3.
Stability class.....5.
Sfc pressure........30.06 to 30.25 inHg.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........68  74  69  70  71  71  71  72  75  81  84  83
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............53  49  46  45  45  45  45  45  46  46  47  49
RH..............48  61  65  70  73  76  79  86  89  96  100 100
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   4   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   4
20 FT wind gust.    5   5   5               5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   9   8   7   7   7   7   8   9   10  10  12
LVORI...........2   3   3   3   3   4   4   6   6   7   9   8
ADI.............6   6   4   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   8
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5
Sfc pres (in)...023 025 025 025 024 023 020 017 014 011 008 006

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers
                    late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 14 to 16 mph with gusts to around 27
                    mph in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 17 mph increasing to 21 to 28
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon, then
                    decreasing to around 18 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 99244 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 5.
ADI.................Max 72.
Stability class.....3.
Sfc pressure........29.91 to 30.05 inHg.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........82  81  79  76  74  74  74  74  73  71  70  71
Weather cov.....                                        SCH SCH
Weather type....                                        RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............51  54  57  60  63  66  69  72  74  73  71  69
RH..............96  90  90  87  84  75  68  61  57  59  63  68
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   6   8   9   11  12  15  16  16  16  15  13
20 FT wind gust.        14  14  18  18  23  27  23  23  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.8 1.3 2.2 2.8 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.1 1.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.13  14  16  17  24  26  28  26  28  25  21  18
LVORI...........5   5   4   4   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   3
ADI.............14  15  18  26  64  61  70  68  72  62  37  21
Vrate mph-ft/1K.6   8   13  22  53  74  92  91  99  79  37  15
Sfc pres (in)...005 004 004 005 004 002 000 997 995 993 991 991

$$
Forecaster...Cahill
Requested by...Joe Martin
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2501871.1/MHX
.DELDT 01/30/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joseph.martin@ncparks.gov