Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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962
FNUS72 KMHX 061658
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Spot Forecast for Rose Bay Canal Fire...North Carolina Forest Service
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
1258 PM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1300 EDT on June 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...

Temps are currently in the upper 80s, with the high temp around 90
later this afternoon. Light southwest winds at 5-10 mph observed as
of 12:30 PM will strengthen and become more southerly behind a sea
breeze moving through between 2-3 PM today. South to south-southwest
wind gusts up to 20-25 mph are possible after 4PM, continuing through
the evening. Surrounding observations show relative humidities between
40-50% as of 12:00 PM, expected to decrease to near 40% when temperatures
are maximized later this afternoon.

Tonight, frequent southwest wind gusts near 25-30 mph will continue
over nearby bodies of water, but over the spot location gusts will
struggle to reach 20 mph. Most likely scenario is wind gusts of around
15 mph overnight at the spot location as a low level inversion keeps
winds down.

Sunday will see similar conditions to today before a weak cold front pushes
through the area Sun night into Monday. Rain chances Sunday night and Monday
afternoon are 10-15%.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph, becoming
south 10 to 15 mph later this afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph becoming south 15 to
20 mph later this afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 87170 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 1.
ADI.................Max 94.
Stability class.....2.
Sfc pressure........29.96 to 30.02 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  31  42  48  54
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............87  89  89  89  88
RH..............43  41  42  44  47
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   8   10  11  11
20 FT wind gust.14  14  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...5.1 5.5 5.4 3.9 2.6
Transp wind dir.W   W   SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.14  15  16  15  17
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............80  94  69  55  51
Vrate mph-ft/1K.70  82  87  58  45
Sfc pres (in)...002 000 998 997 996

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Mixing Height.......Min 500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 7704 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Min 10.
Stability class.....4.
Sfc pressure........29.94 to 29.97 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........47  49  49  44  34  42  36  29  22  36  36  38
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............86  83  81  78  76  75  74  74  74  73  72  72
RH..............51  57  60  67  69  71  74  76  76  79  79  79
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..12  11  10  9   9   9   9   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.18  18  14  14  14  14  14  9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.18  18  17  17  18  18  17  17  16  16  15  15
LVORI...........1   2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.............39  16  15  15  12  16  12  12  11  11  10  10
Vrate mph-ft/1K.31  18  8   9   9   9   8   8   9   9   8   8
Sfc pres (in)...995 994 994 995 996 997 997 997 997 996 996 996

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 17 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 104189 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Max 116.
Stability class.....3.
Sfc pressure........29.88 to 29.99 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........41  33  39  34  40  37  34  44  20  18  19  21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............72  74  76  78  82  85  88  90  92  92  92  91
RH..............79  76  71  67  58  55  48  45  43  43  43  45
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   10  10
20 FT wind gust.9   9   14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 1.3 1.5 2.0 2.6 3.5 5.2 6.0 6.0 6.0 3.5
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.14  15  16  17  17  17  16  16  16  17  17  16
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............12  16  28  34  45  56  69  96  107 116 77  56
Vrate mph-ft/1K.7   9   21  26  35  44  57  84  96  104 104 56
Sfc pres (in)...997 999 999 999 999 998 997 995 993 991 989 988

$$
Forecaster...Jain
Requested by...Josh Powell
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2615074.0/MHX
.DELDT 06/06/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL d13opsrm@ncagr.gov