425
FNUS72 KMHX 051141
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Pea Island 813...USFWS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
641 AM EST Wed Feb 5 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EST on February 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION....
A cold front is now south of the forecast area and a northeasterly
wind is ushering in much cooler air. A low forming along a coastal
trough will produce light rain today through Thursday afternoon with
highest amounts falling along the coast (0.1-0.25" inland, 0.25-0.5"
coast). An unsettled pattern will continue through the middle of
next week with multiple days bringing rain chances and above average
temperatures.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers early in
                    the morning. Chance of rain showers late in the
                    morning.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 9 to 15 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 16 to 25 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 29899 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Max 36.
Stability class.....3.
Sfc pressure........30.24 to 30.30 inHg.

TIME (EST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........90  90  90  90  92  95  96  96  96  96  96
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............46  47  48  49  48  48  47  47  46  47  47
RH..............87  84  79  76  78  81  83  86  88  90  92
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   10  10  11  11  12  12  13  15
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  14  18  18  18  18  18  23  23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.16  17  18  20  18  18  21  22  24  25  25
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.............17  22  24  28  28  23  24  25  31  34  36
Vrate mph-ft/1K.15  18  18  23  24  17  17  18  25  28  30
Sfc pres (in)...026 028 029 030 030 029 028 027 026 025 024

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers likely in the evening.
                    Chance of rain showers overnight. Patchy fog
                    early in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 47.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    north around 6 mph after 3 am.
Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 20 to 26 mph decreasing to 13 to 14 mph
                    overnight, then shifting to the northwest 9 to
                    12 mph after 3 am.
Vent Rate...........Min 3909 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 8.
ADI.................Min 6.
Stability class.....4.
Sfc pressure........20.00 to 30.99 inHg.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........97  97  97  96  95  95  95  95  95  96  96  95
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............48  48  49  49  50  49  49  49  49  48  48  48
RH..............93  94  95  97  98  99  99  99  99  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   NE  N   N   NW
20 FT wind spd..15  15  12  10  8   8   7   7   6   5   5   6
20 FT wind gust.23  18  14  14  9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NW  W   W
Transp wind spd.26  25  24  24  22  20  14  13  13  10  9   12
LVORI...........5   5   5   5   5   5   5   7   8   8   8   8
ADI.............24  23  22  22  20  18  12  11  8   7   6   8
Vrate mph-ft/1K.30  26  22  20  16  14  8   6   6   4   4   4
Sfc pres (in)...023 022 076 099 018 703 314 000 000 000 000 000

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly sunny.
                    Patchy fog early in the morning. Chance of rain
                    showers early in the morning. Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the late morning and early
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 13 mph increasing to
                    around 14 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 21 mph shifting to the southwest 23
                    to 26 mph in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 21505 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 5.
ADI.................Max 30.
Stability class.....4.
Sfc pressure........20.00 to 20.00 inHg.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........92     86     74     73     67     50
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
Tstm cov........
Temp............49     49     51     53     55     55
RH..............100    100    93     93     90     93
20 ft wind......W 7    SW 9   SW 10  SW 11  SW 12  SW 13
20 ft wind gust.9      14     14     14     18     18
Mix hgt (ft)....400    500    600    700    800    700
Transport wind..W 12   W 14   W 18   SW 21  SW 26  SW 25
LVORI...........5      5      5      5      4      4
ADI.............13     15     20     23     30     28
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4      7      11     15     22     18
Sfc pres (in)...20.00  20.00  20.00  20.00  20.00  20.00

$$
Forecaster...Cahill
Requested by...Caleb Jones
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2502294.0/MHX
.DELDT 02/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL caleb_jones@fws.gov