735
FNUS72 KMHX 041212
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Rose Bay Canal Fire...NCFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
812 AM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on June 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build into the area today with a warm and dry
airmass in place across the fire area. The sea breeze will become
active this afternoon with northeast winds gusting to around 15
mph late morning into the afternoon, then winds shift to easterly
mid to late afternoon. Minimum relative humidity will be around 25
percent this afternoon. Dry weather will continue through
Saturday, then precip chances increase Sunday into Monday.
Temperatures will warm through the end of the week with high
in the low 90s over the weekend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy smoke early in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 8 mph
                    with gusts to around 15 mph in the late
                    morning and early afternoon, then becoming
                    east late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 75670 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 3.
ADI.................Max 86.
Stability class.....1.
Sfc pressure........30.13 to 30.20 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   4   0   1   1   2   2   0   0   0
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....SMK SMK SMK
Tstm cov........
Temp............64  69  73  77  79  80  81  82  82  81
RH..............65  57  46  37  34  33  29  27  26  28
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
20 FT wind spd..3   4   5   6   8   8   8   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.5   9   14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.4 2.7 4.0 4.7 5.1 5.5 5.2 5.1 4.2
Transp wind dir.NW  N   N   N   N   N   NE  N   NE  NE
Transp wind spd.9   10  13  14  15  14  14  14  12  10
LVORI...........3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............9   19  44  66  82  81  86  83  67  52
Vrate mph-ft/1K.5   15  34  55  71  70  76  72  58  44
Sfc pres (in)...019 019 020 019 019 017 016 015 014 013

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 9 mph shifting to the southeast 5 to
                    7 mph early in the evening, then shifting to
                    the southwest overnight.
Vent Rate...........Min 1839 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 5.
ADI.................Min 2.
Stability class.....4.
Sfc pressure........30.12 to 30.14 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0   1   2   2   2   14  4   7   2   4   5   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............78  74  71  69  67  66  65  64  63  62  61  61
RH..............33  41  53  59  65  68  70  75  78  81  84  84
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  N   N   N   N   W   W
20 FT wind spd..6   5   4   3   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   9   5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.3 1.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NE  E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   SW  SW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   8   7   6   6   6   5   5   5   6   6   7
LVORI...........1   2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5
ADI.............37  4   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3
Vrate mph-ft/1K.30  13  3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
Sfc pres (in)...012 012 013 013 014 014 014 014 013 013 012 012

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph late in
                    the morning, then becoming light early in the
                    afternoon becoming south 6 to 8 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 10 mph shifting to the south 10 to 13
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 36340 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 5.
ADI.................Max 43.
Stability class.....3.
Sfc pressure........30.07 to 30.14 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   11  7   9   6   13  10  0   6   1   3   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............62  64  67  71  76  80  83  85  86  87  86  85
RH..............81  78  70  61  54  47  43  39  37  36  39  41
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   1   1   2   4   4   3   2   6   8   7   8
20 FT wind gust.        5   5   9   9   5   5   9   9   9   14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.0 2.7 3.4 4.2 4.5 2.7 2.5 2.2
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   9   8   8   7   8   8   10  10  13
LVORI...........5   4   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............3   8   8   18  21  29  30  43  43  35  33  35
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3   3   5   14  16  22  24  34  36  28  26  27
Sfc pres (in)...013 013 014 014 014 014 013 011 009 008 007 007

$$
Forecaster...Kennedy
Requested by...D13
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2614952.0/MHX
.DELDT 06/04/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL d13opsrm@ncagr.gov