Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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685
FNUS72 KMHX 270858
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Railroad Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
358 AM EST Wed Nov 27 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0500 EST on November 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION....
Periods of dense fog likely to linger until around sunrise.
Varying visibilities expected from as low as 1/2 mile up to 4-5
miles.

High pressure briefly builds in today and pushes offshore
tonight. Tomorrow, a developing low pressure system and
associated cold front will bring unsettled weather to the region.
Much colder, but drier, conditions are expected Friday through
early next week.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Areas of fog.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 4830 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Min 5.
Stability class.....6.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.02 to 30.02 inHg.

TIME (EST)      5AM
Sky (%).........58
Weather cov.....ARS
Weather type....FOG
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1
Temp............49
RH..............100
20 FT wind dir..NE
20 FT wind spd..2
20 FT wind gust.
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4
Transp wind dir.NE
Transp wind spd.12
LVORI...........9
ADI.............5
Haines index....3
Vrate mph-ft/1K.5
Sfc pres (in)...002

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 7 mph early
                    in the morning.
Mixing Height.......Max 2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 14 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 26219 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Max 32.
Stability class.....3.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.96 to 30.07 inHg.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........56  55  50  40  35  41  54  60  60  61  62  60
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............48  48  51  56  61  63  65  66  66  66  65  61
RH..............100 96  86  72  62  58  54  52  52  54  56  67
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5   6   7   7   6   6   6   6   5   4
20 FT wind gust.5   5       9   9   9   9                   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.8 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.0 0.9 0.4
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  10  12  14  14  12  9   8   8   9   9   8
LVORI...........5   6   5   3   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   3
ADI.............12  11  9   20  32  31  27  17  17  18  11  9
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.5   5   6   16  25  26  23  20  19  19  9   4
Sfc pres (in)...004 006 006 007 006 005 002 000 999 997 997 996

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 8 mph shifting to the south 5 to 12
                    mph late in the evening.
Vent Rate...........Min 1954 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Min 2.
Stability class.....5.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.85 to 29.96 inHg.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........58     58     62     63     63     65
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............57     51     50     50     50     51
RH..............77     100    100    100    100    100
20 ft wind......NE 3   NE 1   N 0    N 0    S 1    SW 3
20 ft wind gust.5                                  5
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..E 8    E 8    E 6    S 5    S 7    SW 10
LVORI...........4      9      9      9      9      9
ADI.............4      4      3      2      3      5
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3      3      2      2      3      5
Sfc pres (in)...29.96  29.96  29.94  29.91  29.88  29.86

$$
Forecaster...Kearns
Requested by...David Nelson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2427289.3/MHX
.DELDT 11/27/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david.l.nelson@usda.gov