Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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895
FNUS72 KMHX 072000
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Spot Forecast for Pagett Road...Camp Lejeune
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
400 PM EDT Mon Apr 7 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EDT on April 07.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION....
Breezy SW winds will continue through this evening, gusting 30
to 40 mph. Winds gusts will diminish to 15 to 25 mph late this evening.
Wetting rainfall (1-2 inches with locally higher amounts)
expected through tonight, as a slow moving cold front pushes
through. Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms will be
possible through this evening, with potential for damaging
wind gusts in excess of 55 mph. Winds switch to become N/NW
behind the cold front. Cool high pressure builds in for the
middle of the week. Another frontal system will impact the
area late week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of thunderstorms and
                    slight chance of showers.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts
30 to 40 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing Height.......Max 4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 146395 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 1.
ADI.................Max 104.
Stability class.....4.
Sfc pressure........29.62 to 29.64 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........62  68
Weather cov.....SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC
Temp............82  80
RH..............54  56
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..17  16
20 FT wind gust.27  27
Mix hgt (kft)...4.0 3.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW
Transp wind spd.37  35
LVORI...........1   1
ADI.............104 87
Vrate mph-ft/1K.146 109
Sfc pres (in)...964 962

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and chance of
                    thunderstorms through the night.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts to 30 mph early,
 shifting to the north 5 to 15 mph early in the morning.
Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the evening and overnight.
Mixing Height.......Min 700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 30 mph decreasing to 15 to 20
                    mph in the evening and overnight, then shifting
                    to the northwest overnight.
Vent Rate...........Min 11385 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 5.
ADI.................Min 12.
Stability class.....4.
Sfc pressure........29.56 to 29.72 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........75     96     97     98     99     88
Weather cov.....CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE LIKELY S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Temp............77     72     68     65     63     58
RH..............62     73     84     90     87     86
20 ft wind......SW 15  SW 10  SW 9   W 8    W 7    NW 7
20 ft wind gust.23     14     14     14     9      9
Mix hgt (ft)....2400   1000   800    900    1200   1600
Transport wind..SW 30  SW 17  SW 15  W 16   NW 15  N 20
LVORI...........1      3      4      5      4      4
ADI.............68     15     17     14     13     22
Vrate mph-ft/1K.73     17     12     14     17     32
Sfc pres (in)...29.62  29.63  29.60  29.57  29.57  29.66

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny then becoming sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 13 to 16 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 81535 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Max 76.
Stability class.....3.
Sfc pressure........29.75 to 29.89 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........74  53  43  40  33  30  30  30  30  28  23  20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............55  54  53  54  56  58  60  61  62  64  63  61
RH..............83  80  80  74  64  57  51  48  44  40  39  41
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   7   9   10  10  10  10  10  9   8
20 FT wind gust.        9   14  14  14  18  18  14  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 2.0 2.0 2.8 3.5 4.2 4.6 5.0 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.16  16  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  13  13
LVORI...........4   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............11  39  39  48  63  57  59  62  64  62  76  73
Vrate mph-ft/1K.31  32  30  41  52  63  69  75  82  82  69  69
Sfc pres (in)...975 979 981 983 985 985 986 986 987 987 987 989

$$
Forecaster...Dail
Requested by...Josh Cumbo
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2509094.0/MHX
.DELDT 04/07/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jscumbo@gmail.com