843
FNUS72 KMHX 242109
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Railroad Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
409 PM EST Sun Nov 24 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 EST on November 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION....
High pressure builds in through Monday bringing light winds and
mainly clear skies. Wind direction will be SW through this
evening, then becoming W after midnight through Monday morning
before backing to SW again Monday afternoon. Humidity recovery
will be excellent tonight with minimum RH around 40-45% on Monday.

A cold front with limited moisture moves through on Tuesday,
followed by the potential for a stronger cold front on Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 10120 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 3.
ADI.................Max 13.
Stability class.....3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.04 to 30.05 inHg.

TIME (EST)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........15  14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1
Temp............64  60
RH..............48  60
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   4
20 FT wind gust.9   5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW
Transp wind spd.9   9
LVORI...........2   3
ADI.............13  7
Haines index....4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.10  4
Sfc pres (in)...004 005

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 9 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 3334 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Min 4.
Stability class.....6.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.06 to 30.11 inHg.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........13  13  14  16  18  17  15  15  14  13  12  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............57  53  51  50  50  49  48  47  46  45  44  43
RH..............69  83  89  89  86  89  93  93  93  93  93  93
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  W   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   8
LVORI...........3   5   6   6   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
ADI.............4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3
Sfc pres (in)...006 008 009 009 009 009 009 009 009 010 010 011

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph late
                    in the morning, then shifting to the south
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......Max 2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 9 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 21505 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Max 25.
Stability class.....2.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.08 to 30.16 inHg.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........5      2      1      2      4      9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............42     47     58     66     69     66
RH..............96     83     64     47     44     52
20 ft wind......W 1    W 1    W 3    SW 4   SW 5   S 5
20 ft wind gust.              5      9      9      9
Mix hgt (ft)....400    400    1000   1900   2300   900
Transport wind..W 8    W 6    W 7    W 8    SW 9   SW 8
LVORI...........6      4      3      2      2      2
ADI.............8      6      9      19     25     9
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3      2      7      15     22     8
Sfc pres (in)...30.12  30.14  30.16  30.12  30.09  30.08

$$
Forecaster...Kennedy
Requested by...David Nelson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2427289.0/MHX
.DELDT 11/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david.l.nelson@usda.gov