001
FXUS62 KMHX 300026
AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
826 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Seasonable and mostly dry through late week. Another front
will approach the area this weekend, becoming unsettled again
late weekend into early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Cold front has pushed offshore with SFC high
pressure building in from the west, while troughing continues
aloft. This will keep temps seasonable and mostly dry through
late week. Iso showers/storms possible late this evening and
into the first half of tonight, mainly across the northern
portions of the area as shortwave rotates through the base of
the upper trough. The next frontal system will impact the area
this weekend into early next week, with increasing precip
chances.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Pred VFR conditions expected through the period with light
northerly flow. A few isolated thunderstorms are possible
this evening near the coast but otherwise TAF sites should
remain convection free. NW downslope flow brought a drier
airmass into the region today but given recent heavy rains,
mostly clear skies overnight and light to calm winds, cannot
completely rule out some brief patchy shallow ground fog pre-
dawn Thursday. HREF and REFS probs are below 10 percent for fog
development but often don`t capture shallow ground fog that
well.

Outlook (Thursday night through Sunday): Much drier through the
end of the week as high pres rebuilds. Periods of early morning
fog and/or stratus possible each night.

&&

.MARINE...
Latest obs show front is now outside of 60nm with W-NW winds
5-10kt across coastal waters with seas 2-4 ft in its wake.
Benign boating conditions in place through the near term.

Outlook: Light to moderate NW winds continue Thu with 2-4 ft
seas. Flow becomes more southerly late Fri and Fri night.
Nothing significant worth noting through the remainder of the
work week until SW winds strengthen ahead of the next system to
impact the area this weekend.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CQD/CEB
AVIATION...CQD/SK/MS
MARINE...CQD/CEB