016
FXUS62 KMHX 061046
AFDMHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
646 AM EDT Sun Sep 6 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Areas of fog and stratus this morning.

2) Return to more seasonable September temps for the beginning
of the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...Lingering low level moisture, light winds and
recent rainfall have lead to areas of fog and stratus developing
across portions of the area this morning. Locally dense fog will
be possible along and west of Hwy 17 through sunrise, with
vsbys and cigs gradually improving mid morning.

KEY MESSAGE 2...Behind the front, temperatures and humidity
will finally get knocked down closer to normal for early
September, with more comfortable conditions lasting into early
next week. Still some residual moisture lingering today and
will likely see sct showers and iso storms this afternoon and
early evening. Best chances across the south and southwest
forecast area. Then heading into early week, the trend is drier
as high pressure builds in from the north. Highs in the mid 80s
with lows in the 60s is fcst and is where our temps should be
for the first half of September.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Fog and low stratus continues across the area this morning,
mainly along and west of Hwy 17. Cigs will slowly lift through
day, likely returning to VFR by late morning and early
afternoon. Scattered showers and iso storms expected this
afternoon and early evening. Any convection should dissipate
with loss of heating. Sub-VFR cigs may redevelop overnight and
early Mon morning, though this seems to be looking less likely.

NOTE: AMD NOT SKED has been appended to the EWN TAFs as the
site is not transmitting through normal channels. The site is
still reporting via telephone so it will be monitored, but not
as frequently as when it is completely operational. The next
closest ASOS is at Cherry Point (KNKT).

Outlook (Monday through Thursday): High pressure will build in
from the north through mid week. Pred VFR conditions expected,
with potential for periods of sub-VFR conditions.

&&

.MARINE...
Latest obs show N-NE winds 5-15 kt and seas 2-3 ft. NE-ENE
winds will increase to 10-20 kt today with seas building to 2-4
ft. Winds will continue to strengthen tonight 15-25 kt with seas
building to 4-6 ft. SCAs continue for the coastal waters
beginning tonight.

Outlook (Mon through Thu): Moderate to gusty NE winds 15-25 kt
will continue into Monday, with seas building to 4-8 ft,
highest across the outer waters. SCA conditions expected. Winds
and seas will begin to ease Tuesday and Wed as high pressure
builds in. SW winds 5-15 kt return Wed night and Thu with seas
2-3 ft.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM Monday to midnight EDT Monday
     night for AMZ150.
     Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM Monday to noon EDT Tuesday for
     AMZ152-154.
     Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM Monday to 2 PM EDT Tuesday for
     AMZ156-158.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...CQD/CEB
AVIATION...CQD/CEB
MARINE...CQD/CEB