318
FNUS76 KMFR 302109
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Hagelstein Fire...BLM
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
209 PM PDT Wed Jul 30 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 PDT on July 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 11
PM THIS EVENING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM UNTIL 8 PM PDT THURSDAY FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...Storms will increase in coverage as the afternoon
progresses. The best chance for isolated storms should remain north of
the burn area overnight tonight. Another round of thunderstorms are
likely Thursday afternoon and evening. the main concern will be gusty
and erratic winds near thunderstorms.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Showers and thunderstorms likely.
Chance of lightning.39 percent.
Max temperature.....81-83.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Eye level winds.....West 2-4 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........West 4-7 mph, except for gusty and erratic
                    winds near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......9400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph.
CWR.................53 percent.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy. Showers
                    and thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
                    slight chance of showers overnight.
Chance of lightning.29 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest 1-3 mph, then variable 0-2 mph
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 3-5 mph in the evening
                    becoming variable 2-4 mph, except for gusty and
                    erratic winds near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 9 mph.
CWR.................53 percent.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers early in the
                    morning, then chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of lightning.32 percent.
Max temperature.....77-79.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Eye level winds.....Variable 0-2 mph, becoming west 2-4 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-3 mph, becoming west 4-8 mph in the
                    afternoon, except for gusty and erratic winds
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 7 mph.
CWR.................17 percent.

$$
Forecaster...PETRUCELLI
Requested by...Jesse Morris
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518714.3/MFR
.DELDT 07/30/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jhmorris@blm.gov