963
FNUS76 KMFR 092123
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for BLUE FIRE...CA-KNF
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
223 PM PDT Thu Oct 9 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 PDT on October 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Low pressure will bring wetting rainfall to the area
tonight into Friday night with snow levels lowering to around 5000 feet.
Any snowfall will likely be wet and melting though due to warm ground
temps. Rain tapers off Friday night. Chilly, unsettled weather will
continue this weekend with low rain chances (20-40%). Another low
will bring increasing rain chances again Sunday night into Monday.
Weaker disturbances in an active pattern are likely for the rest of
next week.


.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy with periods of rain. Rain could mix with
                    or change to snow above 5000 feet.
Precip chance.......100 percent.
Precip amount.......0.35-0.50".
Snow level..........6000 feet.
Snow amount.........Trace.
Chance of lightning.12 percent.
Max temperature.....Ridges: Around 40, but falling to the 30s.
                    Valleys: 55.
Min humidity........60 percent valleys; 85 percent ridges.
Wind (20 ft)........S 2-6 mph, becoming SW to NW 6-10 mph with gusts to
                    20 mph in the afternoon.
CWR.................84 percent.
Eye level winds.....S 1-2 mph become SW to NW 2-6 mph with gusts to 10
                    mph in the afternoon.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain likely in
                    the evening, then chance of rain overnight. Wet
                    snow above 5000 feet.
Precip chance.......70% evening, 40% overnight.
Precip amount.......0.05-0.15".
Snow level..........5000 feet.
Snow amount.........Trace.
Chance of lightning.5 percent.
Min temperature.....30 ridges, 38 valleys.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........NW 2-6 mph becoming NE.
CWR.................35 percent.
Eye level winds.....NW 1-4 mph becoming NE.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Clouds and some sun. 30 percent chance of rain.
Chance of lightning.8 percent.
Max temperature.....48 ridges to near 60 valleys.
Min humidity........35-40 percent valleys to 55-60 percent ridges.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable 1-4 mph becoming W 4-7 mph in the afternoon.
CWR.................19 percent.
Eye level winds.....Calm or variable 0-1 mph becoming W 2-4 mph.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain at night. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s. NE winds becoming W 5 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...
Rain likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s. S becoming
SW 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. A 50 percent chance of rain. Lows around 40. Highs
in the lower 50s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...SPILDE
Requested by...Jennifer Erickson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523262.0/MFR
.DELDT 10/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jennifer.erickson@usda.gov,andy.branson@usda.gov