Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
279
FNUS76 KMFR 140101
FWSMFR
Spot Forecast for Scenic Fire...USFS
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
601 PM PDT Wed Aug 13 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 PDT on August 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Temperatures will turn cooler late this week into the
weekend and RHs will increase. A strong frontal system for this time
of year will move in Friday night into Saturday with a high likelihood
of showers. Right now, chance of wetting rain is around 40%. Shower
chances diminish Sunday into next week with temps getting closer to
normal levels.
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Eye level winds.....NW 1-2 mph becoming downslope 0-1 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........NW 3-8 mph becoming SE or downslope 1-4 mph.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....N 6-13 mph shifting to SW 3-5 mph overnight.
CWR.................0 percent.
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............83 77 73 68 65 63 61 60 59 57 56 55
RH..............28 36 45 54 61 68 70 74 76 78 80 83
20 FT wind dir..NW NW N N N NE NE NE SE SE SE E
20 FT wind spd..3 3 2 2 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 2
20 FT wind gust.8 8 6 5 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 5
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW NW N N N NE NE NE SE SE SE E
Eye lvl wnd spd.1 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0
Eye lvl wnd gst.2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Mix hgt (kft)...6.3 6.3 2.6 2.6 2.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4
Transp wind dir.NW NW N N N N N N SW SW SW W
Transp wind spd.13 13 10 10 10 6 6 6 3 3 3 5
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Chance of lightning.1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Eye level winds.....Variable 0-2 mph becoming NW 1-4 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........E becoming SW 1-4 mph shifting to W 4-7 mph
after 1100, then NW 5-10 mph.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....WNW 5 to 12 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............53 53 57 63 67 70 74 77 79 79 78 78
RH..............86 87 76 67 57 47 42 35 31 31 32 32
20 FT wind dir..E E SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..1 1 1 1 2 4 4 4 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.4 4 4 4 5 7 7 7 9 9 9 10
Eye lvl wnd dir.E E SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Eye lvl wnd gst.2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.7
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.5 5 5 5 5 8 8 8 12 12 12 10
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........79 percent.
Eye level winds.....NW 1-3 mph becoming downslope 0-1 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 7 mph early in the
evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest
around 6 mph early in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............77 71 67 64 62 60 58 57 56 55 54 54
RH..............35 42 50 57 63 68 72 75 77 79 81 81
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW N N N E E E SE
20 FT wind spd..6 6 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 1
20 FT wind gust.11 11 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 4
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW NW NW NW NW N N N E E E SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0
Eye lvl wnd gst.4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Mix hgt (kft)...5.7 5.7 2.2 2.2 2.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.4
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W SW
Transp wind spd.10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 5 5 5 6
.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny becoming mostly cloudy.
Chance of lightning.11 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Eye level winds.....Variable or SE becoming W 1-4 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........SE becoming SW 1-5 mph, then W 5-10 mph after
1100.
Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....WSW 6-13 mph.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 11 percent late in the
afternoon.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
Temp............54 55 57 61 65 69 72 75 76 77 76 75
RH..............80 78 74 67 59 52 47 44 43 42 43 46
20 FT wind dir..SE SE SW SW SW W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..1 1 2 2 2 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT wind gust.4 4 5 5 5 7 7 7 7 9 9 10
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE SE SW SW SW W W W W W W W
Eye lvl wnd spd.0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Eye lvl wnd gst.2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.4 2.4 2.4 2.4 4.9 4.9 4.9 6.7 6.7 6.7 5.5
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 12 12 12 13
$$
Forecaster...SPILDE
Requested by...PSC3
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519863.0/MFR
.DELDT 08/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL 2025.scenic.plans@firenet.gov