421
FNUS76 KMFR 021517
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Power Line Pond...USFS Fremont-Winema NF
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
817 AM PDT Tue Sep 2 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 PDT on September 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 AM
PDT WEDNESDAY FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING ON DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...Warm and dry conditions continue. Scattered
thunderstorms are expected in the area this afternoon and evening,
and are likely to linger overnight. Storms could be dry, and gusty
outflow winds are expected from any thunderstorms in the vicinity.
A slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms then continues through
Wednesday and Thursday. Cooler temperatures and higher humidities
are expected by this weekend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny, then partly cloudy. Haze. Chance of
afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of lightning.30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Eye level winds.....South to southeast 1-2 mph in the morning, increasing
to 3-5 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........South to southeast 3-4 mph in the morning, increasing
to 5-10 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the morning.
Mixing height.......12300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 15 mph.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 14 percent late in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (PDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  PC
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
Weather type....HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   20  20  20  20  20  20  30
Temp............63  73  77  81  85  86  86  87  86
RH..............37  29  26  23  19  18  18  18  19
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   7   7   8   8   8   7
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 2.4 10  10  10  12  12  12  10
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   6   14  14  14  15  15  15  7

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Haze. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
Chance of lightning.20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........65-70 percent.
Eye level winds.....East to northeast 1-3 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........East to northeast 3-5 mph.  Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
CWR.................14 percent decreasing to 0 percent early in the
                    morning.

TIME (PDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  CDY MC  CDY MC  MC  MC  CDY MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....CHC DEF DEF CHC CHC SCH DEF DEF DEF DEF SCH
Weather type....RW  HAZ HAZ RW  RW  RW  HAZ HAZ HAZ HAZ RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0
Chc of ltng (%).30  30  30  30  30  20  20  20  20  20  20  10
Temp............82  80  71  69  67  65  62  62  61  59  57  55
RH..............24  29  42  45  49  51  55  55  56  62  63  66
20 FT wind dir..S   S   N   N   N   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   7   7   7   7
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   N   N   N   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...10  10  0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   W   W   W   N   N   N   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   9   9   9   7

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
Chance of lightning.20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
Eye level winds.....East to northeast 1-3 mph, becoming south
2-4 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........East to northeast 2-5 mph, becoming south
6-8 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL increasing to 10800 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

TIME (PDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of ltng (%).10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............54  53  56  61  70  74  78  81  84  85  85  84
RH..............66  66  66  58  48  40  33  28  25  23  22  23
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   E   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   6   6   6   4
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   10  10  10  6
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   2   2   2   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   4   4   4   2
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 11  11  11  11
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   5   5   5   9   9   9   14  14  14  7

$$
Forecaster...NIEUWENHUIS
Requested by...Lee-IC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521114.0/MFR
.DELDT 09/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL orlfc@firenet.gov