064
FNUS76 KMFR 020121
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Alder Fire...MED-BLM
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
621 PM PDT Tue Jul 1 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 PDT on July 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...On Wednesday, the driver of our weather will shift from a
trough over California to a Pacific trough. This will shift the region
of instability far to the south and east of Jackson County, and result
in a gradual, modest cooling trend through Friday, with normal,
barely breezy, northwest afternoon winds.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming west up to 3 mph late in
                    the morning, then shifting to the northwest
                    around 4 mph late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 8 mph late in
                    the morning, then shifting to the northwest
                    around 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 3 to 7 mph increasing to
                    around 12 mph in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.

TIME (PDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............60  63  65  67  69  72  74  75  77  76  76
RH..............73  67  64  59  52  49  44  39  36  36  35
20 FT wind dir..NE  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..3   4   4   4   6   6   6   8   8   8   10
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   8   8   8   13  13  13  16
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.2   2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.3 1.3 1.3 2.7 2.7 2.7 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.8
Transp wind dir.N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
Transp wind spd.3   3   3   3   6   6   6   9   9   9   13

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds up to 4 mph becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 10 mph early in the
                    evening then becoming light.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 12 mph becoming north 6 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.

TIME (PDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............75  73  69  66  64  62  60  59  58  57  55  55
RH..............34  36  41  46  51  55  58  61  63  66  68  69
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..10  10  7   7   7   5   5   5   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.16  16  11  11  11  7   7   7   6   6   6   6
Eye lvl wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
Eye lvl wnd gst.6   6   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 3.8 1.7 1.7 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.13  13  12  12  11  10  10  10  7   7   7   6

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming west up to 3 mph late in
                    the morning, then shifting to the northwest
                    around 3 mph late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 8 mph late in
                    the morning, then shifting to the northwest
                    around 10 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 3 to 6 mph shifting to the northwest 6 to
                    9 mph late in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.

TIME (PDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............55  56  58  60  63  65  67  69  70  71  71  71
RH..............69  68  66  63  58  54  50  47  44  42  42  43
20 FT wind dir..N   N   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   6   6   6   7   7   7   9
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   8   8   8   11  11  11  14
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
Eye lvl wnd gst.2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 3.2 3.2 3.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 4.8
Transp wind dir.N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.6   6   3   3   3   6   6   6   8   8   8   9

$$
Forecaster...WEYGAND
Requested by...Aaron Chandler
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517070.0/MFR
.DELDT 07/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL awchandler@blm.gov