


Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
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678 FNUS76 KMFR 050254 FWSMFR Spot Forecast for Black Canyon...OR-SHR National Weather Service MEDFORD OR 754 PM PDT Fri Jul 4 2025 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2020 PDT on July 04. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION...Isolated showers continue in parts of eastern Lake County, but lightning activity is currently absent. Slight chances of thunderstorm development remain this evening, but will be absent by tonight. Stable conditions are expected on Saturday, bringing warm and dry conditions and an absence of thunderstorm chances. A warming trend continues on Sunday and into the upcoming week. Afternoon and evening thunderstorm chances return for areas east of the Cascades on Monday and continue into at least midweek. Currently, the first thunderstorm chances (15-20%) for the spot location are Wednesday afternoon and evening. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of isolated thunderstorms through tonight. Chance of lightning.10 percent. Min temperature.....42 to 44 degrees. Max humidity........84 to 88 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest at 16 to 18 mph with evening gusts up to 26 mph. Gusty and erratic winds are possible near thunderstorms. Winds become north at 2 to 4 mphearly Saturday morning. Transport winds.....North at 10 to 12 mph becoming northwest at 4 to 6 mph early Saturday morning. CWR.................0 percent. Eye level winds.....Northwest at 10 to 13 mph with evening gusts up to 20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds are possible near thunderstorms. Winds become north at 1 to 2 mphearly Saturday morning. TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky cover.......MC MC MC MC MC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR Weather cov.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ISO ISO CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of ltng (%).20 20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............67 63 58 54 52 52 50 49 48 47 45 43 RH..............36 45 57 67 72 78 81 82 85 87 89 86 20 FT wind dir..NW W NW NW NW N N N W W W N 20 FT wind spd..13 13 12 12 12 8 8 8 2 2 2 1 20 FT wind gust.19 19 18 18 18 13 13 13 5 5 5 4 Eye lvl wnd dir.NW W NW NW NW N N N W W W N Eye lvl wnd spd.5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 0 Eye lvl wnd gst.7 7 7 7 7 5 5 5 2 2 2 2 Transp wind dir.N NW N N N N N N NW NW N N Transp wind spd.14 14 13 13 13 7 7 7 6 6 6 3 .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny. Chance of lightning.1 percent. Max temperature.....74 to 76 degrees. Min humidity........20 to 23 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast at 1 to 3 mph becoming east at 2 to 4 mph in the late morning, then becoming west at 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Northeast at 4 to 6 mph becoming southwest at 7 to 9 mph in the afternoon. CWR.................0 percent. Eye level winds.....Northeast at 1 to 2 mph becoming east at 1 to 3 mph in the late morning, then becoming west at 2 to 4 mph in the afternoon. TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky cover.......PC PC MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............46 53 55 59 62 64 67 69 71 73 73 76 RH..............86 70 62 55 48 40 36 31 27 25 22 21 20 FT wind dir..N N SE SE SE S S S W W W NW 20 FT wind spd..1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 4 4 4 6 20 FT wind gust.4 4 5 5 5 4 4 4 6 6 6 8 Eye lvl wnd dir.N N SE SE SE S S S W W W NW Eye lvl wnd spd.0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 Eye lvl wnd gst.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 Transp wind dir.NE NE SE SE SE S S S SW SW SW W Transp wind spd.3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 $$ Forecaster...DALDRUP Requested by...Zachary Hutchins Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2517098.2/MFR .DELDT 07/04/25 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL orlfc@firenet.gov,samuel_tacchini@fws.gov,christopher_chapple@fws.gov