Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
319
FNUS76 KMFR 292124
FWSMFR
Spot Forecast for Hagelstein Fire...BLM
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
224 PM PDT Tue Jul 29 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 PDT on July 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM PDT WEDNESDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...The main concern will be daily thunderstorm chances
through the end of the week. Scattered to numerous thunderstorm
activity is expected today through Friday, with the greatest
coverage of storms expected today and Wednesday. Also, isolated
overnight thunderstorms are possible Wednesday night into
Thursday morning. Thunderstorm coverage is expected to be more
isolated on Saturday with a stable air mass likely to finally
arrive on Sunday.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms late.
Chance of lightning.15 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming west around 2 mph late in
the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 to 10 mph
late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......9700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 7 mph shifting to the
northwest around 8 mph late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 10 percent late in the
afternoon.
TIME (PDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 5 10
Chc of ltng (%).10 15 20
Temp............82 83 82
RH..............23 23 23
20 FT wind dir..SW W W
20 FT wind spd..4 5 9
20 FT wind gust.6 9 15
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW W W
Eye lvl wnd spd.1 2 3
Eye lvl wnd gst.2 4 5
Mix hgt (kft)...9.7 9.7 9.3
Transp wind dir.SW SW NW
Transp wind spd.7 7 8
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
Chance of lightning.30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........55 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds around 2 mph shifting to the
north early in the evening, then becoming light
late in the evening.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 to 10 mph early in the evening
shifting to the northwest 5 to 8 mph, then
shifting to the north late in the evening
becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms early in the
evening.
Mixing height.......200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 8 mph shifting to the north
early in the evening.
CWR.................15 percent.
TIME (PDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......PC PC MC MC MC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....CH CH CH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............15 15 12 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
Chc of ltng (%).30 30 25 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............81 78 70 68 66 65 64 64 63 61 60 60
RH..............26 32 44 50 51 53 54 55 55 54 55 53
20 FT wind dir..W NW N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 6 5 4 3 3 3 2 2 2
20 FT wind gust.7 7 8 8 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5
Eye lvl wnd dir.W NW N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Eye lvl wnd gst.3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Mix hgt (kft)...9.3 9.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.NW NW N N N N N N N N N NE
Transp wind spd.8 8 13 13 13 9 9 9 6 6 6 5
.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent) then becoming partly
sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms in the
morning, then rain showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of lightning.40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........34 percent.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming northwest around 2 mph
late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northwest around 5 to 10
mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......7700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast around 6 mph late in the morning,
then shifting to the northwest around
12 mph late in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 55 percent late in the
afternoon.
TIME (PDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 50
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 30 30 30 40
Temp............60 59 63 66 71 74 76 79 78 77 80 76
RH..............55 55 53 49 47 43 39 36 35 34 37 40
20 FT wind dir..NE NE S SW W W W W W N NW NW
20 FT wind spd..2 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 5 7 9
20 FT wind gust.5 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 8 12 15
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE NE S SW W W W W W N NW NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
Eye lvl wnd gst.2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 2.5 2.5 2.5 7.7 7.7 7.7 7.3 7.3 7.3 2.7
Transp wind dir.NE NE E E E SE SE SE W W W NW
Transp wind spd.5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 9 12
$$
Forecaster...WEYGAND
Requested by...Jesse Morris
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518714.2/MFR
.DELDT 07/29/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jhmorris@blm.gov