Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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459
FWUS46 KMFR 140916
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
116 AM PST FRI NOV 14 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    80   75   35   35   40   25   15   25   25   20   10   25   40   40   50   55   55
TEMPERATURE        33   30   31   33   32   30   30   33   33   33   39   43   40   37   38   38   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           35                  30                  44                  33
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE   SE   SE   SE    E    E   SE   SE   SW
WIND (MPH)         21   23   19   25   19   14   19   18   12   10    6   14   17   16   11   12   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   20   20   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.02      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.2       0.1       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.3                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.1  5.9  5.9  6.3  6.4  6.0  6.0  6.4  6.5  7.0  7.8  8.5  8.7  8.7  8.7  8.4  7.9


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    75   65   35   35   30   15   15   20   25   20   15   25   40   35   45   55   55
TEMPERATURE        31   31   33   34   32   27   29   30   29   29   41   44   40   34   34   34   32
MAX/MIN TEMP                           36                  27                  45                  29
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S   SE   SE   SE    E    E    E    E   NE   NE    E   SE    S
WIND (MPH)         17   17   13   18   13   11   14   14   12   10    4    3   16   20   17    9   11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   20   20   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.02      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.1       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.1                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.0  5.9  5.9  6.2  6.3  6.0  6.0  6.3  6.5  7.0  7.8  8.5  8.7  8.7  8.7  8.4  7.9


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    80   80   35   40   40   25   15   25   25   20   15   30   40   40   50   55   55
TEMPERATURE        33   31   30   32   32   29   31   33   33   34   38   42   41   38   39   38   36
MAX/MIN TEMP                           35                  29                  44                  32
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE    E    E   SE   SE   SW
WIND (MPH)         21   23   19   26   19   14   19   18   11    8    6   14   14   12    9   12   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   20   20   40
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.02      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.1       0.1       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.2                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.1  5.9  5.9  6.3  6.4  6.0  6.0  6.4  6.5  7.0  7.8  8.5  8.7  8.8  8.7  8.4  7.9


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    75   60   30   30   35   20   15   25   25   20   10   30   35   40   45   55   55
TEMPERATURE        23   22   24   24   24   20   22   24   24   25   31   33   30   28   29   29   28
MAX/MIN TEMP                           26                  20                  33                  25
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    E    E   SE    S   SW
WIND (MPH)         40   37   29   34   33   31   31   24   17   14   13   12   14   17   13   14   19
WIND GUST (MPH)    88   77   56   61   63   72   58   44             31
PRECIP PROB (%)    10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   20   20   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.01      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.01
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.2       0.1       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.3                 0.0                 0.0                 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.0  5.9  6.0  6.4  6.4  6.0  6.0  6.3  6.5  6.9  7.8  8.5  8.7  8.7  8.7  8.4  7.9


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    85   80   55   35   40   35   15   25   35   25   15   25   35   35   50   55   65
TEMPERATURE        32   31   31   33   33   31   31   32   33   33   38   43   42   38   38   38   36
MAX/MIN TEMP                           35                  31                  44                  33
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE    E    E    E    E   NE    E    S   SW
WIND (MPH)         21   20   18   21   14   11   13   12    8    5    8    6    5   10   11   13   18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   20   20   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.02      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  5.9  5.8  5.9  6.3  6.4  6.1  6.0  6.5  6.6  6.8  7.8  8.5  8.7  8.7  8.7  8.4  7.9


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   BK   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    90   90   65   50   30   20   15   20   25   20   15   25   40   35   45   55   60
TEMPERATURE        39   39   38   39   39   35   36   37   37   38   45   49   47   43   44   42   41
MAX/MIN TEMP                           41                  35                  51                  39
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S   SW    S    S   SE   SE    E    E    E   SE   SE    S    S
WIND (MPH)         12   10   10    9    5    4    3    5    4    3    4    6    5    5    5    5    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    20    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   20   20   40
PRECIP TYPE         R                                                                     R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.05      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.0  5.8  5.8  6.1  6.2  5.9  5.9  6.2  6.5  7.0  7.6  8.4  8.6  8.7  8.7  8.3  7.8


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   BK   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    75   75   50   35   25   20   15   20   25   25   15   25   40   35   45   55   55
TEMPERATURE        35   35   34   36   35   32   33   34   34   36   41   45   43   39   39   37   38
MAX/MIN TEMP                           37                  32                  45                  35
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S   SE   SE   SE   SE    E   NE   NE    N    N    E   SE    S
WIND (MPH)         18   17   14   16   13   11   14   13    8    6    8    8   10   10    8   10   12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   20   20   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.02      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.1       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.1                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.0  5.8  5.9  6.3  6.2  5.9  5.8  6.2  6.4  6.7  7.5  8.4  8.6  8.7  8.7  8.3  7.9


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        SC   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   BK   SC   FW   SC   SC   BK   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   55   30   35   35   30   30   25   40   55   45   25   35   40   50   50   50
TEMPERATURE        34   32   35   38   37   33   33   33   33   33   39   44   42   37   36   36   35
MAX/MIN TEMP                           39                  32                  45                  33
WIND DIR            S    S    S   SW    W    W   SW    S   SW    W   SE   SE   SE    E    E   SE   SW
WIND (MPH)         12   17   17   16   14   14   16   16   11    5    9   10   10   11    9    6    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    20    0    0    0    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5   10   10   30
PRECIP TYPE         S                                                                               R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.02      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.1       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.1                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.2  5.9  6.2  6.7  6.7  6.5  6.4  6.4  7.1  7.0  7.4  8.4  8.5  8.3  8.2  7.9  7.6


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   BK   SC   FW   SC   SC   BK   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   55   35   35   35   30   25   25   40   60   40   25   30   40   50   50   50
TEMPERATURE        33   31   33   37   37   33   32   31   32   31   38   43   42   36   35   34   33
MAX/MIN TEMP                           38                  30                  44                  32
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S   SW    W   SW   SW   SW   NW   SE   SE    E    E    E   NE    W
WIND (MPH)         12   17   17   16   14   16   16   16   11    6    9   11   10   11   10    6    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10    0    0    0    0    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5   10   10   20
PRECIP TYPE         S                                                                               S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.02      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.2       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.2                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.2  5.9  6.1  6.7  6.8  6.5  6.4  6.4  7.0  6.9  7.3  8.3  8.4  8.3  8.2  7.9  7.6


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    50   50   40   35   15   10   20   15   25   50   20   25   30   30   40   40   45
TEMPERATURE        36   34   37   42   41   36   34   34   33   33   40   46   45   39   37   36   35
MAX/MIN TEMP                           43                  32                  48                  33
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S   SW    W   SE    E    E    E    E    E    E    E    E    N   NW
WIND (MPH)         11   10    9    8    5    4    4    5    5    6    8    8    8    6    6    4    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    5    0    0    5    5    5    5    5    5   10   10   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                                                         R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.0  5.8  6.1  6.5  6.5  6.5  6.4  6.2  6.6  6.6  7.3  8.2  8.4  8.3  8.3  8.0  7.6


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    50   55   50   45   35   35   25   20   40   55   35   25   35   45   45   45   50
TEMPERATURE        35   33   36   39   38   34   34   34   34   34   39   44   42   38   37   38   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           39                  33                  44                  35
WIND DIR            S    S    S   SW    W    W    S    S   SW   SE   SE    S   NE    E    E   SE    S
WIND (MPH)         14   17   16   16   13   14   16   14   11    6    9    9    9   10   10    8    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    20    0    0   10   10   10    5   10   10   10   10   10   10   10   20   20   30
PRECIP TYPE         S                                                                     R    R    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.02      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.1  5.9  6.1  6.5  6.5  6.4  6.4  6.4  7.0  7.0  7.4  8.4  8.4  8.3  8.2  7.9  7.5


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   55   55   50   45   45   30   25   50   55   40   30   35   50   45   45   55
TEMPERATURE        35   34   36   39   38   35   34   34   34   34   40   44   43   38   38   38   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           40                  34                  45                  35
WIND DIR            S    S    S   SW    W    W   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S   NE    E    E   SE    S
WIND (MPH)         13   16   16   16   14   14   16   16   11    6    9    9    9   10   11    6    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    20    0    0   10   10   10    5   10   10   10   10   10   10   10   20   20   30
PRECIP TYPE         S                                                                     R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.02      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.1       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.1                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.2  5.9  6.1  6.5  6.5  6.4  6.4  6.4  7.1  7.1  7.6  8.5  8.4  8.2  8.1  7.8  7.5


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    50   35   20   10   10   20   20   15   30   50   20   25   30   40   50   40   45
TEMPERATURE        34   34   36   39   37   34   34   35   36   36   39   43   41   37   38   39   38
MAX/MIN TEMP                           39                  34                  43                  36
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S   SW    N   SE    S    S   SE    E    E   NE   NE    E    E    W
WIND (MPH)         20   19   16   11   12   13   12   12    9    9   11   13   12    9   11   10   11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5    5    5   10   10   20
PRECIP TYPE                                                                                         R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.0  5.8  5.9  6.4  6.5  6.4  6.2  6.1  6.8  6.7  7.0  8.2  8.3  8.3  8.2  7.9  7.6

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN