Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
582
FWUS46 KMFR 112301
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 PM PDT SAT OCT 11 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW FW SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 20 10 15 15 35 45 85 85 85 80 75 85 85 90 95 90
TEMPERATURE 33 28 29 29 30 30 35 36 33 29 30 29 27 26 26 27 28
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 38 25 28
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW N NW W W NW NW SW SW SW S E SE
WIND (MPH) 10 12 13 17 19 16 12 14 17 8 9 13 16 10 11 16 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 40 40 80 80 90 90 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.10 0.35
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 3.5
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.5 4.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 6.6 6.4 6.1 5.8 5.6 6.0 6.1 6.0 6.1 5.9 5.9 5.7 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.6
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW FW SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 25 15 15 15 35 45 80 85 80 80 80 85 85 90 90 90
TEMPERATURE 34 28 28 29 27 28 38 37 33 27 28 29 27 28 31 31 31
MIN/MAX TEMP 25 38 26 31
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW N N NW NW NW NW NW SW SW SW S NE E
WIND (MPH) 8 9 10 13 14 12 9 11 13 5 6 10 11 6 10 11 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 40 40 80 80 90 90 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.09 0.32
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.6
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 6.6 6.4 6.1 5.8 5.5 5.9 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.6 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.5
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW FW SC SC OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 20 10 15 15 30 45 85 85 85 80 75 85 85 90 90 90
TEMPERATURE 32 29 29 29 30 29 32 34 32 29 30 30 28 26 26 26 27
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 37 25 28
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW N NW W W NW NW W SW SW S SE SE
WIND (MPH) 10 11 13 17 19 16 12 14 17 8 9 13 16 10 12 17 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 40 40 80 80 90 90 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.10 0.35
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 3.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.4 4.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 6.6 6.4 6.1 5.8 5.6 6.0 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.6
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW FW FW SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 35 15 15 15 35 50 85 85 85 80 80 90 90 90 90 90
TEMPERATURE 22 21 22 23 24 25 29 28 24 21 21 20 18 18 18 19 20
MIN/MAX TEMP 21 30 17 20
WIND DIR NW NW N N NW N NW W SW NW NW W W SW SW S S
WIND (MPH) 20 24 28 29 29 26 24 28 31 17 19 24 25 20 18 26 23
WIND GUST (MPH) 48 55 65 55 51 48 50 64 58 43 44 44 44 50 41 55 48
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20 20 40 40 80 80 90 90 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.11 0.39
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.3 4.4
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.9 5.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.2 5.8 5.6 6.0 6.1 6.1 6.1 5.9 5.9 5.7 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.7
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 45 40 30 25 40 60 85 85 90 85 80 85 85 95 95 85
TEMPERATURE 35 32 31 33 32 31 36 38 34 31 32 33 32 30 28 29 29
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 38 29 30
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW N NW W NW NW W S S S S N E
WIND (MPH) 10 11 10 13 16 12 10 11 13 9 8 11 12 9 12 16 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 40 40 80 80 90 90 60
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.07 0.19
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 6.4 6.2 5.9 5.7 5.5 6.0 6.1 5.8 5.5 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.2 5.3 5.5 5.7
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW FW SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 15 15 10 10 30 55 75 85 80 75 80 80 80 95 95 90
TEMPERATURE 42 37 36 35 35 36 42 45 42 36 36 36 36 37 35 35 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 46 33 37
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW N N N N NW N NW W SE SE SE N
WIND (MPH) 10 11 11 10 9 8 8 10 12 11 9 5 4 4 8 8 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 40 40 70 70 90 90 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.35
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.7 6.6 6.4 6.1 5.8 5.4 5.8 6.2 6.2 6.0 5.8 5.8 5.5 5.2 5.0 5.2 5.3
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK SC SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 45 45 30 30 40 60 80 80 80 75 75 80 80 95 95 90
TEMPERATURE 37 33 33 32 32 34 36 38 35 31 31 32 32 31 29 29 30
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 38 29 31
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW N N N NW NW N NW SW SW W E N NE
WIND (MPH) 9 10 11 14 14 13 10 12 14 10 9 11 11 8 12 10 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 40 40 70 70 90 90 70
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.26
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.7 6.6 6.4 6.2 5.8 5.5 5.8 6.2 6.1 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.6 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.4
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 90 90 90 90 95 90 90 100 95 95 95 95 85 85 70
TEMPERATURE 32 33 34 32 30 28 30 32 31 30 31 29 28 27 29 32 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 33 27 35
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W SW SW S SW SW S NE E
WIND (MPH) 14 18 19 19 19 14 13 13 12 14 13 14 11 8 9 13 18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 50 70 20 10 10 20 50 70 70 90 90 100 100 80 80 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.04 0.00 0.04 0.13 0.17 0.14 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.8 1.7 0.6
12 HOUR SNOW 0.5 0.2 3.0 2.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.2 6.5 6.5 5.9 5.2 5.0 5.4 5.7 5.8 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.1 5.2 5.8 6.2
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 90 85 85 85 90 90 90 90 95 95 95 95 95 85 85 70
TEMPERATURE 31 32 32 32 30 28 29 31 30 29 29 29 28 26 28 32 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 32 26 34
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W SW SW S SW SW SE E E
WIND (MPH) 14 18 18 19 19 13 13 13 12 13 12 14 10 8 9 12 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 50 70 10 10 10 20 40 60 60 90 90 90 90 70 70 30
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.02 0.00 0.03 0.09 0.14 0.12 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.8
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.2 2.3 2.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.2 6.5 6.6 6.0 5.3 5.1 5.5 5.7 5.8 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.2 5.3 5.9 6.2
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 90 90 90 90 90 85 95 85 95 100 90 95 95 90 90 70
TEMPERATURE 37 36 36 35 33 31 33 37 36 34 35 34 32 31 33 37 39
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 38 30 39
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W W SW SW SW SW E E E
WIND (MPH) 11 13 11 12 11 8 8 9 11 9 8 9 9 5 5 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 50 50 20 5 5 10 20 50 50 80 80 90 90 80 80 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.12 0.09 0.13
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.3 6.5 6.5 6.2 5.6 5.2 5.5 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.6 5.4 5.2 5.1 5.3 5.7 5.8
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 100 100 95 95 95 90 90 70
TEMPERATURE 32 32 34 33 30 29 29 31 31 31 31 30 29 28 28 31 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 33 27 34
WIND DIR SW W W W W W W W W SW SW S SW W W NE NE
WIND (MPH) 11 16 16 19 20 14 14 14 12 14 13 13 10 5 6 10 18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 60 80 20 10 20 20 60 90 90 100 100 100 100 80 80 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.04 0.00 0.03 0.12 0.18 0.10 0.08
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.5
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.3 2.5 1.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.2 6.5 6.4 5.9 5.2 5.0 5.3 5.5 5.6 5.4 5.4 5.2 5.1 5.0 5.2 5.7 6.0
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 90 90 90 95 95 95 100 100 100 95 95 90 90 65
TEMPERATURE 32 32 33 32 29 27 29 31 31 31 30 29 27 27 28 32 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 27 32 27 34
WIND DIR SW W W W W W W SW W SW SW S W W W E NE
WIND (MPH) 10 16 16 19 20 14 14 13 12 14 13 12 8 4 6 12 20
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 60 80 20 10 20 20 60 90 90 100 100 100 100 80 80 40
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.04 0.00 0.04 0.15 0.20 0.10 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.8 1.0 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.3 3.0 1.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.1 6.4 6.4 5.7 5.1 4.9 5.3 5.5 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.1 5.0 4.9 5.2 5.7 6.1
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE SUNDAY 10/12/25 MONDAY 10/13/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 75 70 70 70 75 80 90 65 95 100 90 95 95 85 85 85
TEMPERATURE 34 33 33 34 32 32 32 33 32 30 32 33 32 30 28 28 29
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 34 29 30
WIND DIR W W W NW NW NW NW NW W W SW S W W NW NE N
WIND (MPH) 9 12 13 17 16 13 12 13 11 11 11 13 13 9 10 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 20 30 20 5 5 10 20 40 40 70 70 90 90 80 80 50
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.09 0.12 0.18
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 1.4
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 1.0 2.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 6.6 6.5 6.2 5.7 5.3 5.4 5.6 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.6 5.4 5.1 5.0 5.1 5.4
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN