Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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056
FWUS46 KMFR 150936
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 AM PDT TUE SEP 15 2026


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                    TUESDAY 09/15/26                        WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   CL   SC   FW   SC   FW   SC   SC   BK   BK   SC   SC   CL   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)     0    0    0    0   35   15   30   25   50   50   65   60   45   45    5   10   10
TEMPERATURE        45   47   55   59   58   48   46   44   42   42   48   52   52   45   44   43   42
MAX/MIN TEMP                           60                  41                  54                  40
WIND DIR           NE   NW   SW   SW   SW   NW    N    N   NE   NE    E    S   SE    W   NW    W   SW
WIND (MPH)          6    4    3    6    6    8   10    9    8    6    4    4    3    4    4    4    3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   20   20   20   20   50   40   20   20    0    0    5
PRECIP TYPE                                       R    R    R    R    R    R    T    T
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.05      0.01      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.0  8.9  9.2 10.0 10.6 10.3  9.9  9.7  9.4  9.2  9.4  9.6  9.8  9.7  9.5  9.4  9.2


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                    TUESDAY 09/15/26                        WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   CL   SC   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   BK   BK   SC   SC   CL   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)     0    0    5    5   35   15   25   20   40   35   60   55   45   45    0   10    5
TEMPERATURE        42   46   59   62   60   48   44   41   40   41   51   55   53   45   42   41   40
MAX/MIN TEMP                           64                  39                  57                  38
WIND DIR            E    E   SW    W   SW    N    E    E    E   NE    E    S   SE    W   NW   NW    S
WIND (MPH)          5    3    4    6    6    8    8    8    6    5    4    5    4    4    4    4    3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   20   10   20   20   40   30   20   20    0    0    5
PRECIP TYPE                                       R         R    R    R    R    T    T
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.03      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.0  8.9  9.1 10.0 10.6 10.3  9.9  9.6  9.4  9.2  9.4  9.6  9.8  9.8  9.5  9.4  9.2


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                    TUESDAY 09/15/26                        WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   CL   SC   FW   SC   FW   SC   SC   BK   BK   SC   SC   CL   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)     0    0    0    0   30   15   30   25   45   45   65   60   40   40    5   10    5
TEMPERATURE        45   47   54   58   58   49   46   44   42   42   47   51   51   45   43   43   42
MAX/MIN TEMP                           60                  41                  54                  40
WIND DIR           NE    N   SW   SW   SW    W    W   NW   NE   NE    E    S    S   NW   NW   NW    W
WIND (MPH)          6    4    3    6    6    8   10    9    9    6    4    3    3    4    4    4    3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   20   20   20   20   50   40   20   20    0    0    5
PRECIP TYPE                                       R    R    R    R    R    R    T    T
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.05      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.0  8.9  9.2 10.0 10.6 10.3  9.9  9.7  9.5  9.2  9.4  9.6  9.8  9.7  9.5  9.4  9.2


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                    TUESDAY 09/15/26                        WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   CL   SC   FW   SC   FW   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   CL   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)     0    0    5    0   30   20   35   25   50   50   65   60   50   50    5   10    5
TEMPERATURE        36   38   45   47   46   38   35   33   33   34   39   40   40   35   34   34   33
MAX/MIN TEMP                           48                  32                  42                  32
WIND DIR           NW    W   SW    W    W   SW    S    S    E   NE    E    S    S    W    W    W   SW
WIND (MPH)          6    5    5    8    8   10   11   11   10   10    5    4    4    5    5    5    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   20   20   20   30   50   40   20   20    0    0    5
PRECIP TYPE                                       S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.06      0.01      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.2       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.2                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.9  8.9  9.3 10.0 10.6 10.3  9.9  9.7  9.4  9.2  9.4  9.7  9.8  9.8  9.5  9.4  9.2


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                    TUESDAY 09/15/26                        WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   CL   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   BK   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)     0    0    5    5   35   25   35   30   40   30   60   60   55   55   10   25   10
TEMPERATURE        45   46   56   61   59   52   47   45   43   42   47   53   52   47   45   44   42
MAX/MIN TEMP                           61                  42                  54                  42
WIND DIR           SE    S    S   SW   SW   NW   NW    N   NW   NE    E   SE    S   NW    W    W   SW
WIND (MPH)          6    5    3    8    9    8   11   10   11   10    8    5    4    6    6    6    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   20   10   20    5   40   40   30   30    5    5    5
PRECIP TYPE                                       R         R         R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.9  8.9  9.1 10.1 10.5 10.2  9.9  9.7  9.5  9.2  9.5  9.7  9.9  9.8  9.5  9.4  9.1


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                    TUESDAY 09/15/26                        WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   CL   CL   FW   FW   CL   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   CL   CL   CL
CLOUD COVER (%)     5    0    0    5   20   10    5   15   15   10   40   30   30   30    5    5    5
TEMPERATURE        52   55   67   70   69   57   53   50   49   51   59   63   62   53   51   49   49
MAX/MIN TEMP                           72                  48                  65                  47
WIND DIR           NW   NW    E    S    S    N    N    N   NW    N    E    S    S   NW   NW    W    N
WIND (MPH)          3    2    1    4    4    6    6    6    3    3    3    3    2    3    2    1    0
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5    5    5    5    0   20   20   20   20    0    0    5
PRECIP TYPE                                                           R    T    T    T
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.0  8.9  9.0 10.1 10.5 10.2  9.8  9.6  9.4  9.2  9.3  9.5  9.8  9.7  9.5  9.3  9.1


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                    TUESDAY 09/15/26                        WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   CL   FW   FW   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   CL   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)     5    0    5    5   25   15   15   15   15   10   50   35   40   40    5    5   10
TEMPERATURE        46   50   59   64   63   51   48   45   43   45   51   56   56   47   46   45   44
MAX/MIN TEMP                           65                  42                  57                  42
WIND DIR            W    W   NW   NE    N    N   NW   NW   SW   NE    E   SE    S   SW   SW   SW    S
WIND (MPH)          3    2    3    4    4    6    6    6    4    4    4    3    2    3    3    2    2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5   10    5    5    5   30   20   20   20    0    0    5
PRECIP TYPE                                                           R    T    T    T
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.0  8.9  9.1 10.2 10.5 10.2  9.6  9.5  9.3  9.1  9.3  9.5  9.8  9.8  9.5  9.3  9.1


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                    TUESDAY 09/15/26                        WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   SC   FW   SC   SC   OV   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)     5   45   10   30   45   80   45   30   30   45   15   25   30   25   15   10   20
TEMPERATURE        40   43   56   57   54   45   41   38   38   39   48   54   54   48   44   41   40
MAX/MIN TEMP                           58                  37                  55                  39
WIND DIR           SW    W    W    W   NW    N   NE    E    E    E    E    E    E   NE   NE   NE   NE
WIND (MPH)          2    2    5   11   10    4    6   11   18   19   17   11   10   10   17   11    8
WIND GUST (MPH)                                       28   42   47   37                  34
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0   10    5   10   10   10    5    0   10    5    5    5    5    5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.5  8.4  8.6  9.2  9.4  9.1  8.9  8.9  8.9  9.1  9.5  9.8 10.0  9.8  9.7  9.2  9.0


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                    TUESDAY 09/15/26                        WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   SC   FW   SC   SC   OV   SC   SC   SC   BK   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)     5   40   20   35   45   80   45   40   35   50   20   25   30   25   15   10   20
TEMPERATURE        40   41   55   57   54   45   41   38   37   38   47   53   53   47   43   40   38
MAX/MIN TEMP                           57                  36                  54                  38
WIND DIR           SW    W    W    W    W    N   NE   NE   NE   NE    E    E    E   NE   NE   NE   NE
WIND (MPH)          2    3    4   10   11    5    5   13   18   19   17   12   10    9   17   11    6
WIND GUST (MPH)                                            42   43   34                  34
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0   10    5   10   10   10    5    0   10   10   10    5    5   10
PRECIP TYPE                                                 R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.5  8.4  8.7  9.3  9.4  9.2  8.9  9.0  8.9  9.1  9.5  9.9 10.0  9.9  9.8  9.2  9.0


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                    TUESDAY 09/15/26                        WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   FW   FW   FW   FW   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   CL   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)     0   20   10   20   20   65   45   30   35   25    0   25   45   40   10   10   30
TEMPERATURE        42   43   58   62   59   51   45   41   40   41   51   59   59   53   47   43   42
MAX/MIN TEMP                           62                  39                  60                  41
WIND DIR            E    W    W    W   NW   NW    N   NE   NE   NE   NE   NE   NE    N   NE   NE   NE
WIND (MPH)          3    2    3    5    6    4    3    5    8    8    5    4    3    3    9    8    6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5   10   10   10   10    0    0   10   20   20    5    5    5
PRECIP TYPE                                                                     T    T
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.7  8.6  8.7  8.9  9.1  9.0  9.0  9.0  9.0  9.1  9.4  9.8  9.9  9.8  9.6  9.2  9.1


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                    TUESDAY 09/15/26                        WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   SC   FW   SC   BK   OV   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)     5   40   15   30   55   70   40   40   30   20   15   30   35   25   10   15   20
TEMPERATURE        42   44   54   55   52   45   42   41   40   41   48   53   54   48   44   43   42
MAX/MIN TEMP                           56                  40                  54                  41
WIND DIR           SW    W    W   NW   NW    N   NE    E    E    E    E    E    E   NE    E    E    E
WIND (MPH)          4    2    4    9    9    4    5   10   13   17   12    8    6    8   16   13   10
WIND GUST (MPH)                                       28   43   52   41             25   39   31
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0   10    5   10   10    5    0    0    0    5    5    5    5    5
PRECIP TYPE                                                                     T    T
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.6  8.4  8.7  9.0  9.2  9.0  8.9  8.9  8.9  9.1  9.4  9.8 10.0  9.7  9.6  9.2  9.1


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                    TUESDAY 09/15/26                        WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        FW   SC   FW   SC   OV   OV   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)    10   45   20   35   70   80   45   45   30   15   25   35   30   20   15   15   25
TEMPERATURE        42   45   54   54   52   45   42   41   40   41   47   53   54   48   44   43   41
MAX/MIN TEMP                           55                  40                  54                  41
WIND DIR            W    W    W   NW   NW    N   NE    E    E    E    E    E    E   NE    E    E    E
WIND (MPH)          4    2    4    9    8    3    6   11   16   20   16    9    8    9   17   12   10
WIND GUST (MPH)                                       28   43   52   41                  39   31
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0   10    5   10    5    5    0    0    0    5    5    5    5    5
PRECIP TYPE
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.5  8.3  8.7  9.0  9.2  9.1  8.8  8.8  8.8  9.1  9.5  9.8 10.0  9.7  9.7  9.2  9.1


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                    TUESDAY 09/15/26                        WEDNESDAY 09/16/26
TIME (LT)          05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05
                   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A   8A   11A  2P   5P   8P   11P  2A   5A

CLOUD COVER        CL   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   CL   FW   FW
CLOUD COVER (%)     0   15   10   25   20   45   30   20   15   15   10   40   40   40    5   10   10
TEMPERATURE        44   45   54   58   55   47   45   43   42   43   49   55   54   49   48   47   46
MAX/MIN TEMP                           58                  42                  55                  45
WIND DIR           SW    W    W   NW   NW   NW   NW   NE    E    E    E   NE    N   NW    W   SW    S
WIND (MPH)          4    3    1    5   13    8    9   11    9    5    4    4    4    3    3    5    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    5    5    5    5    5    0    5   20   20   20    5    5    5
PRECIP TYPE                                                                T    T    T
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.7  8.7  8.7  9.4  9.4  9.3  9.0  8.8  8.8  9.0  9.3 10.0  9.9  9.9  9.6  9.2  9.1

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN