Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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963
FWUS46 KMFR 042221
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
221 PM PST TUE NOV 4 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    90   85   90  100  100  100  100   95   95   95   90   90   75   90   80   90   95
TEMPERATURE        36   36   38   38   36   33   31   32   31   31   32   33   32   32   30   32   31
MIN/MAX TEMP                           32                  34                  31                  34
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S   SW    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW
WIND (MPH)         39   44   52   52   54   49   37   39   35   28   28   24   20   19   18   19   24
WIND GUST (MPH)    67   79   93   93   95   87   66   67   62   51   49   41                       41
PRECIP PROB (%)    40   40   70  100  100  100  100   90   90   90   80   80   60   60   60   60   80
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.17      1.18      1.54      0.30      0.30      0.17      0.07      0.11
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.1       2.5       7.9       2.0       2.2       1.3       0.4       0.4
12 HOUR SNOW                          2.6                 9.9                 3.5                 0.8
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.4  7.9  7.9  8.0  7.6  7.4  7.2  7.3  7.2  7.2  7.1  7.0  7.1  7.1  7.3  7.6  8.0


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    90   85   90  100  100  100  100   95   95   95   85   85   75   85   80   90   95
TEMPERATURE        37   35   36   37   35   34   35   35   33   33   33   33   34   33   34   34   33
MIN/MAX TEMP                           33                  35                  33                  34
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SW    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         28   34   40   41   41   36   28   29   26   21   21   18   16   14   13   14   18
WIND GUST (MPH)    47   57   66   67   67   61   47   49   43
PRECIP PROB (%)    40   40   70  100  100  100  100   90   90   90   80   80   60   60   60   60   90
PRECIP TYPE         R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.14      1.18      1.54      0.28      0.31      0.17      0.07      0.12
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.3       0.0       0.3       0.1       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.3                 0.4                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.4  7.9  7.8  8.0  7.5  7.4  7.2  7.2  7.2  7.2  7.0  7.0  7.0  7.0  7.3  7.6  8.0


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    90   85   90  100  100  100  100   95   95   95   90   90   80   90   85   90   95
TEMPERATURE        36   37   38   38   36   32   30   31   30   31   32   33   33   32   30   32   30
MIN/MAX TEMP                           32                  33                  31                  33
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S   SW    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW
WIND (MPH)         37   44   51   52   52   49   37   39   35   29   28   24   20   19   18   19   24
WIND GUST (MPH)    67   79   93   93   95   87   66   67   62   51   49   41                       41
PRECIP PROB (%)    40   40   70  100  100  100  100  100   90   90   80   80   60   60   60   60   80
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.17      1.12      1.49      0.29      0.28      0.16      0.07      0.11
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.1       2.2       6.6       1.9       1.9       1.2       0.4       0.4
12 HOUR SNOW                          2.3                 8.5                 3.1                 0.8
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.4  7.9  7.9  8.0  7.6  7.4  7.2  7.3  7.2  7.2  7.0  7.0  7.1  7.0  7.3  7.6  8.0


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    90   80   85  100  100  100  100   95   95   95   85   85   75   85   80   90   95
TEMPERATURE        29   28   30   30   28   27   25   26   24   24   24   25   25   24   24   24   23
MIN/MAX TEMP                           25                  28                  24                  26
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W    W   SW
WIND (MPH)         62   66   79   79   83   72   64   55   56   44   44   37   35   34   33   37   46
WIND GUST (MPH)   113  115  115  115  115  115  115  108  115   90   89   75   78   78   78   98  108
PRECIP PROB (%)    40   40   70  100  100  100  100   90   90   90   80   80   60   60   60   60   90
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.14      1.22      1.58      0.29      0.30      0.16      0.07      0.11
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.6       7.1      11.0       2.7       2.9       1.5       0.5       0.6
12 HOUR SNOW                          7.7                13.7                 4.4                 1.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.5  8.0  7.9  8.1  7.7  7.5  7.3  7.3  7.3  7.2  7.1  7.1  7.1  7.1  7.3  7.7  8.1


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    90   80   85   95  100  100  100   95   95   95   85   85   80   85   80   85   90
TEMPERATURE        37   38   39   40   37   34   32   33   32   33   33   34   34   33   31   32   31
MIN/MAX TEMP                           33                  35                  33                  34
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         28   35   44   47   42   42   31   29   27   23   24   19   14   14   17   18   19
WIND GUST (MPH)    47   58   78   84   70   70   52   51   46   40   41
PRECIP PROB (%)    30   40   60   90  100  100  100   90   90   90   80   80   50   50   60   60   80
PRECIP TYPE         R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.14      0.49      1.34      0.35      0.20      0.11      0.04      0.06
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       1.4       1.0       0.6       0.2       0.1       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 2.4                 0.8                 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.1  7.7  7.8  7.9  7.5  7.3  7.0  7.2  7.2  7.1  7.0  6.9  6.9  6.9  7.1  7.5  7.8


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    95   90   95  100  100  100  100   95   95   95   90   90   80   90   80   90   90
TEMPERATURE        42   42   43   42   41   40   39   39   37   38   38   38   39   39   38   39   38
MIN/MAX TEMP                           39                  40                  38                  40
WIND DIR           SE   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         16   19   26   26   26   19   19   19   16   12    9    8    6    8    9   11   11
WIND GUST (MPH)              46   46   46
PRECIP PROB (%)    40   40   70  100  100  100  100   90   90   90   80   80   60   60   60   60   80
PRECIP TYPE         R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.14      1.02      0.98      0.15      0.15      0.09      0.04      0.09
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.3  7.8  7.7  7.9  7.5  7.3  7.1  7.1  7.1  7.1  6.9  6.9  6.9  7.0  7.2  7.6  8.0


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    90   75   90  100  100  100  100   95   95   95   80   80   70   80   80   85   90
TEMPERATURE        40   39   39   39   36   37   35   35   34   34   34   35   35   36   35   35   33
MIN/MAX TEMP                           34                  37                  34                  36
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         29   36   41   42   41   34   29   31   26   21   21   18   16   14   13   14   21
WIND GUST (MPH)    49   61   67   70   67   57   49   51   43
PRECIP PROB (%)    40   40   60  100  100  100  100   90   90   90   70   70   50   50   70   70   80
PRECIP TYPE         R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.08      0.81      0.74      0.12      0.11      0.06      0.03      0.07
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.3       0.2       0.3       0.2       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.5                 0.5                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.4  7.8  7.6  7.8  7.5  7.2  7.1  7.1  7.0  7.0  6.9  6.8  6.9  7.0  7.2  7.6  8.0


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)   100   85   75  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100   90   85  100  100  100
TEMPERATURE        40   39   39   40   38   36   35   35   34   33   33   33   33   32   33   34   34
MIN/MAX TEMP                           35                  37                  32                  35
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW
WIND (MPH)         24   29   34   46   46   36   27   34   32   29   28   26   25   21   20   18   17
WIND GUST (MPH)         49   58   75   75   61   46   57   52   49   47   43
PRECIP PROB (%)   100   30   20   90  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100   80   80   90   90   90
PRECIP TYPE         R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.19      0.31      0.39      0.28      0.42      0.19      0.04      0.24
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.5       1.8       0.8       0.1       0.2
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.5                 2.6                 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.5  8.2  7.8  7.8  7.7  7.2  6.8  6.9  6.9  6.8  6.6  6.4  6.5  6.7  7.1  7.6  7.8


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)   100   90   85  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100   85   85  100  100  100
TEMPERATURE        39   38   38   39   38   35   34   35   34   32   32   32   32   31   33   34   33
MIN/MAX TEMP                           35                  37                  31                  35
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW
WIND (MPH)         24   29   32   46   46   36   27   33   31   29   28   26   25   21   19   17   16
WIND GUST (MPH)    41   49   55   75   75   61   46   55   52   49   47   43
PRECIP PROB (%)   100   30   20   90  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100   50   50   90   90   90
PRECIP TYPE         R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.19      0.26      0.35      0.21      0.37      0.15      0.03      0.20
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.1       0.3       1.3       0.9       0.2       0.3
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.4                 2.2                 0.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.5  8.2  7.8  7.9  7.8  7.2  6.9  7.0  7.0  6.9  6.7  6.5  6.6  6.8  7.2  7.7  7.9


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)   100   80   75   95  100   95   85   95  100  100   95   95   75   75   95   95  100
TEMPERATURE        42   42   43   43   42   39   37   40   39   37   38   38   37   36   37   39   38
MIN/MAX TEMP                           38                  41                  36                  40
WIND DIR           SE   SE   SE    S    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         17   17   19   26   28   20   21   20   19   19   17   16   14   13   13   13   14
WIND GUST (MPH)                   46   49
PRECIP PROB (%)    70   10   20   90  100  100   80   90  100  100   90   90   40   40   80   80   90
PRECIP TYPE         R         R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    S    R    R    S    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.06      0.29      0.47      0.07      0.16      0.08      0.01      0.18
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.5  7.9  7.6  7.7  7.6  7.1  6.9  7.0  7.0  6.9  6.7  6.5  6.6  6.8  7.1  7.7  7.9


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)   100   75   65   95  100  100   95   95  100  100  100  100   85   85   95   95  100
TEMPERATURE        40   40   41   42   41   37   35   35   33   33   33   33   33   33   33   34   33
MIN/MAX TEMP                           37                  38                  33                  36
WIND DIR            S   SE   SE    S    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW
WIND (MPH)         27   29   31   46   47   35   29   35   33   31   28   26   24   20   19   18   18
WIND GUST (MPH)    55   51   62   89   87   61   57   62   61   57   51   46   41   37
PRECIP PROB (%)   100   30   20   90  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100   80   80   90   90  100
PRECIP TYPE         R    R    S    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.12      0.22      0.36      0.20      0.28      0.26      0.04      0.21
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.1       0.1       0.7       1.4       0.2       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.2                 2.1                 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.4  8.2  7.7  7.7  7.7  7.1  6.8  6.8  6.9  6.8  6.5  6.3  6.5  6.7  7.1  7.6  7.7


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)   100   65   55   95  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100   90   90  100  100  100
TEMPERATURE        40   41   40   42   41   37   35   35   34   33   33   33   33   33   33   34   34
MIN/MAX TEMP                           37                  39                  33                  37
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW
WIND (MPH)         25   31   28   44   46   36   28   36   33   31   28   26   25   20   20   19   19
WIND GUST (MPH)         51   49   73   75   61   47   61   55   51   47   43
PRECIP PROB (%)   100   30   20   90  100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100   80   80   90   90  100
PRECIP TYPE         R    R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.14      0.22      0.33      0.27      0.32      0.33      0.05      0.21
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.8       2.0       0.2       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.1                 2.8                 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.3  8.3  7.7  7.7  7.7  7.1  6.7  6.8  6.8  6.7  6.5  6.3  6.4  6.6  7.0  7.5  7.7


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                                        WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16
                   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P

CLOUD COVER        OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    95   60   70  100  100   90   85   90   90   90   80   80   70   75   90   90  100
TEMPERATURE        40   39   39   41   39   38   36   36   35   35   35   36   36   35   34   34   34
MIN/MAX TEMP                           36                  38                  34                  37
WIND DIR            S   SE   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         29   33   41   43   43   29   28   29   31   26   24   19   17   18   19   17   20
WIND GUST (MPH)    49   55   67   72   72   49   47   49   51   43
PRECIP PROB (%)    70   10   40  100  100   90   80   90   80   80   70   70   40   40   70   70   90
PRECIP TYPE         R         R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.05      0.45      0.43      0.07      0.11      0.05      0.02      0.10
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  9.6  8.0  7.7  7.8  7.8  7.2  6.8  6.9  6.9  6.9  6.8  6.6  6.8  7.0  7.3  7.9  8.2

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN