Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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868
FWUS46 KMFR 141021
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
221 AM PST FRI NOV 14 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   BK   BK   BK   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    75   65   35   25   40   25   20   25   15   10   15   25   45   60   60   65   80
TEMPERATURE        32   30   32   34   34   32   32   34   35   34   42   44   42   39   39   39   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           36                  31                  45                  32
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE   SE   SE   SE    E    E   SE   SE   SW
WIND (MPH)         21   23   19   25   19   14   19   18   12   10    6   14   17   16   11   12   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   30   30   40
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.3  5.9  6.0  6.4  6.8  6.8  6.5  6.6  6.9  7.1  7.8  8.4  8.4  8.8  9.1  8.7  8.3


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   BK   SC   FW   SC   FW   FW   SC   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    75   60   35   20   35   15   15   25   15   10   15   25   45   55   55   65   80
TEMPERATURE        31   29   35   36   34   30   30   30   30   30   43   46   42   36   36   35   33
MAX/MIN TEMP                           38                  28                  47                  31
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S   SE   SE   SE    E    E    E    E   NE   NE    E   SE    S
WIND (MPH)         17   17   13   18   13   11   14   14   12   10    4    3   16   20   17    9   11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   20   20   40
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.3  5.9  6.0  6.4  6.8  6.8  6.5  6.7  6.9  7.1  7.8  8.4  8.4  8.8  9.1  8.7  8.3


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   SC   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    80   70   35   30   40   25   20   30   15   10   15   25   45   60   60   65   80
TEMPERATURE        32   30   31   33   34   32   32   34   35   35   41   43   42   40   40   40   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           36                  31                  45                  32
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE    E    E   SE   SE   SW
WIND (MPH)         21   23   19   26   19   14   19   18   11    8    6   14   14   12    9   12   14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   30   30   40
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.3  5.9  6.0  6.4  6.8  6.8  6.5  6.7  6.9  7.2  7.8  8.4  8.4  8.9  9.1  8.8  8.3


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   BK   SC   FW   SC   FW   FW   SC   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    70   55   30   20   35   20   20   25   15   10   15   30   45   55   60   65   80
TEMPERATURE        23   22   26   26   26   24   24   24   26   26   34   35   33   30   31   30   28
MAX/MIN TEMP                           28                  23                  36                  24
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    E    E   SE    S   SW
WIND (MPH)         40   37   29   34   33   31   31   24   17   14   13   12   14   17   13   14   19
WIND GUST (MPH)    88   77   56   61   63   72   58   44             31
PRECIP PROB (%)    10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   20   20   40
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.3  5.8  6.1  6.5  6.8  6.8  6.4  6.6  6.8  7.1  7.9  8.5  8.3  8.7  9.1  8.7  8.3


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   BK   BK   BK   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    80   70   45   25   40   25   25   30   20   10   15   25   45   55   55   65   80
TEMPERATURE        33   31   31   35   35   32   33   34   34   34   40   44   43   40   39   39   36
MAX/MIN TEMP                           36                  32                  45                  33
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE    E    E    E    E   NE    E    S   SW
WIND (MPH)         21   20   18   21   14   11   13   12    8    5    8    6    5   10   11   13   18
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   30   30   40
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.2  5.9  6.2  6.5  6.9  6.9  6.7  6.9  7.1  7.5  8.0  8.4  8.5  8.9  9.1  8.9  8.4


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   BK   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    85   75   50   25   20   15   15   25   15   15   15   25   40   50   55   65   80
TEMPERATURE        39   38   39   41   41   37   38   39   39   40   47   51   48   45   46   44   42
MAX/MIN TEMP                           43                  37                  52                  40
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S   SW    S    S   SE   SE    E    E    E   SE   SE    S    S
WIND (MPH)         12   10   10    9    5    4    3    5    4    3    4    6    5    5    5    5    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    20    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   30   30   50
PRECIP TYPE         R                                                                     R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.2  5.9  6.0  6.2  6.7  6.7  6.6  6.7  7.0  7.2  7.8  8.3  8.4  8.9  9.1  8.6  8.2


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   BK   BK   BK   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    70   60   40   20   20   15   20   25   25   15   15   25   40   55   55   65   75
TEMPERATURE        35   34   35   38   37   35   35   35   36   38   44   46   44   41   41   39   38
MAX/MIN TEMP                           39                  34                  47                  36
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S   SE   SE   SE   SE    E   NE   NE    N    N    E   SE    S
WIND (MPH)         18   17   14   16   13   11   14   13    8    6    8    8   10   10    8   10   12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)    10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   20   20   40
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.2  5.9  6.0  6.4  6.6  6.6  6.6  6.6  6.9  7.0  7.8  8.3  8.3  8.8  9.0  8.6  8.2


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        BK   SC   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW   BK   BK   OV   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   35   25   30   45   20   25   55   60   70   40   25   30   40   40   40   50
TEMPERATURE        34   32   36   39   38   34   33   34   34   34   42   45   44   38   38   37   36
MAX/MIN TEMP                           40                  32                  46                  34
WIND DIR            S    S    S   SW    W    W   SW    S   SW    W   SE   SE   SE    E    E   SE   SW
WIND (MPH)         12   17   17   16   14   14   16   16   11    5    9   10   10   11    9    6    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    0    0    0    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5    5   10   10   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                                                         R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.5  6.0  6.1  6.5  6.6  6.4  6.5  6.7  6.8  6.7  7.1  7.6  8.1  8.0  8.3  8.2  8.0


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   BK   BK   OV   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    60   55   35   45   40   15   15   50   60   75   40   25   30   35   40   45   50
TEMPERATURE        33   31   34   39   38   33   32   32   33   32   40   44   43   37   36   35   34
MAX/MIN TEMP                           40                  31                  45                  32
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S   SW    W   SW   SW   SW   NW   SE   SE    E    E    E   NE    W
WIND (MPH)         12   17   17   16   14   16   16   16   11    6    9   11   10   11   10    6    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    0    0    0    0    5    5    5    0    0    5    5    5    5   10   10   20
PRECIP TYPE                                                                                         S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.5  6.0  6.1  6.7  6.8  6.4  6.4  6.7  6.7  6.7  6.9  7.6  8.0  8.1  8.4  8.2  8.1


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   BK   BK   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   45   25   25   25   15   10   25   55   55   25   25   30   30   40   40   55
TEMPERATURE        36   34   38   43   42   36   35   34   34   33   40   48   46   39   38   38   36
MAX/MIN TEMP                           44                  33                  49                  34
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S   SW    W   SE    E    E    E    E    E    E    E    E    N   NW
WIND (MPH)         11   10    9    8    5    4    4    5    5    6    8    8    8    6    6    4    5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5   10   10   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                                                         R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.3  5.9  6.1  6.4  6.5  6.6  6.7  6.7  6.7  6.5  7.1  7.8  7.9  8.2  8.7  8.3  8.1


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   40   15   35   30   30   25   40   60   65   40   30   30   35   35   30   55
TEMPERATURE        35   33   36   39   38   35   34   35   36   36   41   45   43   39   38   39   38
MAX/MIN TEMP                           40                  34                  45                  36
WIND DIR            S    S    S   SW    W    W    S    S   SW   SE   SE    S   NE    E    E   SE    S
WIND (MPH)         14   17   16   16   13   14   16   14   11    6    9    9    9   10   10    8    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    0    0    5   10   10   10   10    5    5    5    5    5    5   20   20   40
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    R    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.4  5.9  6.1  6.3  6.4  6.4  6.5  6.7  6.7  6.7  7.0  7.6  8.1  8.0  8.4  8.2  8.0


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   OV   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    45   40   15   40   35   35   35   45   65   75   45   35   30   40   35   30   55
TEMPERATURE        35   34   37   39   38   35   34   35   36   36   41   46   44   39   38   38   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           40                  34                  46                  36
WIND DIR            S    S    S   SW    W    W   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S   NE    E    E   SE    S
WIND (MPH)         13   16   16   16   14   14   16   16   11    6    9    9    9   10   11    6    8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    0    0    5   10   10   10   10    5    5    5    5    5    5   20   20   40
PRECIP TYPE                                                                               R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.5  5.9  6.1  6.3  6.3  6.3  6.4  6.7  6.8  6.8  7.1  7.5  8.2  7.9  8.2  8.2  8.0


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                    FRIDAY 11/14/25                         SATURDAY 11/15/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        SC   SC   FW   SC   FW   FW   FW   SC   BK   SC   SC   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC
CLOUD COVER (%)    30   45   25   30   20   10   15   35   60   50   25   20   35   40   45   40   50
TEMPERATURE        34   34   36   39   39   35   35   36   37   36   42   45   43   39   40   41   39
MAX/MIN TEMP                           40                  35                  45                  37
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S   SW    N   SE    S    S   SE    E    E   NE   NE    E    E    W
WIND (MPH)         20   19   16   11   12   13   12   12    9    9   11   13   12    9   11   10   11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10   30
PRECIP TYPE                                                                                         R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  6.1  5.8  5.8  6.4  6.6  6.5  6.7  6.6  6.5  6.5  7.1  7.7  8.1  8.0  8.6  8.2  7.8

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN