Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
655
FWUS46 KMFR 142211
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
211 PM PST FRI NOV 14 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW SC FW FW FW FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 25 20 25 15 10 15 25 45 60 60 65 80 85 80 85 95
TEMPERATURE 34 32 32 34 35 34 42 44 42 39 39 39 37 34 33 33 30
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 45 32 36
WIND DIR S S SE NE N N NE NE NE N N SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 3 3 5 5 6 6 4 4 3 5 5 8 11 12 11 12 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 30 30 40 40 70 70 90
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.16 0.22
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.8 6.8 6.5 6.6 6.9 7.1 7.8 8.4 8.4 8.8 9.1 8.7 8.3 7.8 7.5 7.3 7.2
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW SC FW FW FW SC SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 15 15 25 15 10 15 25 45 55 55 65 80 85 85 85 90
TEMPERATURE 34 30 30 30 30 30 43 46 42 36 36 35 33 32 35 35 31
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 47 31 35
WIND DIR SE SE SE E E E E E E N NE SE S SW SW S S
WIND (MPH) 3 3 5 5 5 5 4 4 3 4 5 5 9 10 10 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 20 20 40 40 70 70 90
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.15 0.20
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.8 6.8 6.5 6.7 6.9 7.1 7.8 8.4 8.4 8.8 9.1 8.7 8.3 7.8 7.5 7.3 7.2
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW SC FW FW FW SC SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 25 20 30 15 10 15 25 45 60 60 65 80 85 85 90 95
TEMPERATURE 34 32 32 34 35 35 41 43 42 40 40 40 37 34 32 33 31
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 45 32 36
WIND DIR SW SW E NE NW N NE NE NE N N SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 3 3 5 5 6 8 4 4 3 5 5 8 11 12 11 12 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 30 30 40 40 70 70 90
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.16 0.21
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.8 6.8 6.5 6.7 6.9 7.2 7.8 8.4 8.4 8.9 9.1 8.8 8.3 7.8 7.5 7.3 7.2
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW SC FW FW FW SC SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 20 20 25 15 10 15 30 45 55 60 65 80 80 80 85 95
TEMPERATURE 26 24 24 24 26 26 34 35 33 30 31 30 28 25 25 24 21
MIN/MAX TEMP 23 36 24 28
WIND DIR S S SE SE S S S NE NE NW NW W W W SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 5 5 8 8 8 9 6 5 4 5 6 10 14 17 17 16 14
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 30 30 40 40 70 70 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.16 0.22
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.8 6.8 6.4 6.6 6.8 7.1 7.9 8.5 8.3 8.7 9.1 8.7 8.3 7.8 7.5 7.3 7.2
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW SC FW FW FW FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 25 25 30 20 10 15 25 45 55 55 65 80 85 85 85 95
TEMPERATURE 35 32 33 34 34 34 40 44 43 40 39 39 36 34 33 34 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 45 33 36
WIND DIR S S S S S SE E E E N W SW SW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 5 4 5 5 9 13 14 13 13 13
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 30 30 40 40 70 70 90
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.09 0.10
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.9 6.9 6.7 6.9 7.1 7.5 8.0 8.4 8.5 8.9 9.1 8.9 8.4 7.8 7.5 7.3 7.2
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW FW FW FW FW SC SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 15 15 25 15 15 15 25 40 50 55 65 80 90 85 90 95
TEMPERATURE 41 37 38 39 39 40 47 51 48 45 46 44 42 41 40 40 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 52 40 42
WIND DIR S S S SE NW N NE NE N NW NW S S S S S S
WIND (MPH) 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 4 4 5 6 8 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 30 30 40 40 80 80 90
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.12 0.18
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.7 7.0 7.2 7.8 8.3 8.4 8.9 9.1 8.6 8.2 7.7 7.4 7.3 7.2
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW SC FW FW FW FW SC BK BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 15 20 25 25 15 15 25 40 55 55 65 75 85 80 80 95
TEMPERATURE 37 35 35 35 36 38 44 46 44 41 41 39 38 39 37 37 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 47 36 41
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S NW W S S SW S S S
WIND (MPH) 2 3 5 5 4 4 4 3 2 3 4 6 10 11 10 10 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 5 20 20 40 40 70 70 90
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 0.11
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.9 7.0 7.8 8.3 8.3 8.8 9.0 8.6 8.2 7.7 7.5 7.3 7.2
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW BK BK OV SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 45 20 25 55 60 70 40 25 30 40 40 40 50 60 80 80 95
TEMPERATURE 38 34 33 34 34 34 42 45 44 38 38 37 36 34 37 38 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 46 34 39
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW S SE SE SE E E NE NW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 4 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 6 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 30 30 70 70 90
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 6.4 6.5 6.7 6.8 6.7 7.1 7.6 8.1 8.0 8.3 8.2 8.0 7.6 7.5 7.5 7.1
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC FW FW BK BK OV SC FW SC SC SC SC BK BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 15 15 50 60 75 40 25 30 35 40 45 50 60 80 80 90
TEMPERATURE 38 33 32 32 33 32 40 44 43 37 36 35 34 32 37 38 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 45 32 39
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW S SE SE SE NE NE N NW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 4 2 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 6 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 70 70 90
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.8 6.4 6.4 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.9 7.6 8.0 8.1 8.4 8.2 8.1 7.6 7.5 7.5 7.2
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW SC BK BK SC FW SC SC SC SC BK BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 15 10 25 55 55 25 25 30 30 40 40 55 65 80 80 95
TEMPERATURE 42 36 35 34 34 33 40 48 46 39 38 38 36 34 39 40 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 49 34 42
WIND DIR SW SW S S SE E E E NE NE NE NE N W W W SW
WIND (MPH) 2 2 3 4 4 4 3 2 2 2 4 4 4 4 5 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 30 30 70 70 90
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.7 6.7 6.5 7.1 7.8 7.9 8.2 8.7 8.3 8.1 7.6 7.5 7.4 7.2
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC SC FW SC BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 30 25 40 60 65 40 30 30 35 35 30 55 60 80 80 95
TEMPERATURE 38 35 34 35 36 36 41 45 43 39 38 39 38 36 38 38 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 45 36 39
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW S SE SE SE E E SE W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 3 3 5 5 5 4 3 2 2 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 0 10 5 0 0 0 5 5 10 10 30 30 70 70 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 6.4 6.5 6.7 6.7 6.7 7.0 7.6 8.1 8.0 8.4 8.2 8.0 7.6 7.5 7.4 7.1
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC BK OV SC SC SC SC SC SC BK BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 35 35 45 65 75 45 35 30 40 35 30 55 60 85 85 95
TEMPERATURE 38 35 34 35 36 36 41 46 44 39 38 38 37 36 38 38 36
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 46 36 39
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SE SE SE E SE SE SW W W W W
WIND (MPH) 3 2 4 4 4 4 2 2 1 2 5 4 5 5 5 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 5 5 10 5 0 0 0 5 5 10 10 30 30 70 70 90
PRECIP TYPE R R S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.7 6.8 6.8 7.1 7.5 8.2 7.9 8.2 8.2 8.0 7.6 7.5 7.4 7.1
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 11/15/25 SUNDAY 11/16/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER FW FW FW SC BK SC SC FW SC SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 20 10 15 35 60 50 25 20 35 40 45 40 50 60 75 75 90
TEMPERATURE 39 35 35 36 37 36 42 45 43 39 40 41 39 37 38 37 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 45 37 38
WIND DIR SW S S S SW S SE SE SE NW W W W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 2 2 5 8 6 6 3 2 2 2 5 5 6 9 6 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 70 70 90
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 6.5 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.5 7.1 7.7 8.1 8.0 8.6 8.2 7.8 7.5 7.4 7.4 7.0
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN