Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
893
FWUS46 KMFR 052221
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
221 PM PST WED NOV 5 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/06/25 FRIDAY 11/07/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 75 80 80 70 90 85 90 100 100 100 100 80 80 60 50 40
TEMPERATURE 33 32 32 33 33 32 32 34 33 35 36 39 38 37 37 37 36
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 35 35 38
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 33 26 20 21 20 16 17 20 35 25 24 20 27 18 18 16 14
WIND GUST (MPH) 54 43 55 44
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 60 70 70 50 40 50 80 100 100 90 90 30 30 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.29 0.29 0.11 0.15 0.41 0.17 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 2.2 2.3 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 4.5 1.2 0.4 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.0 6.8 6.7 6.8 6.8 6.9 7.2 7.5 8.0 8.3 8.4 8.3 7.5 7.0 6.8 7.4 7.6
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/06/25 FRIDAY 11/07/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 70 80 80 70 90 90 90 100 100 100 100 80 75 65 55 40
TEMPERATURE 33 31 31 32 32 31 34 35 33 35 35 36 36 36 40 40 36
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 35 35 40
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S SW W W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 24 19 14 16 14 11 13 16 27 18 18 16 20 12 13 11 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 60 70 70 50 40 50 80 100 100 90 90 30 30 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S R R R R S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.28 0.26 0.11 0.14 0.35 0.14 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.9 6.8 6.6 6.7 6.8 6.9 7.1 7.5 8.1 8.5 8.5 8.3 7.6 7.1 6.8 7.4 7.6
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/06/25 FRIDAY 11/07/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 75 80 80 70 90 85 90 100 100 100 100 80 80 60 55 40
TEMPERATURE 33 32 33 33 33 33 31 33 34 35 36 39 39 37 36 37 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 35 35 38
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 33 26 21 23 20 16 17 20 35 24 23 20 28 18 18 16 14
WIND GUST (MPH) 54 43 55
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 60 70 70 50 40 50 80 100 100 90 90 30 30 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.28 0.29 0.11 0.16 0.42 0.18 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 1.9 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 4.0 1.0 0.5 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.0 6.8 6.7 6.8 6.8 6.9 7.2 7.5 7.9 8.2 8.3 8.3 7.6 7.0 6.9 7.4 7.6
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/06/25 FRIDAY 11/07/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 70 80 80 65 90 85 85 100 100 100 100 80 75 55 50 40
TEMPERATURE 24 23 24 23 24 25 25 26 26 28 29 30 30 28 29 28 27
MIN/MAX TEMP 22 28 28 29
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW W W W SW W W W W W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 48 43 33 36 36 33 35 36 55 47 41 46 49 34 33 32 29
WIND GUST (MPH) 86 75 58 71 74 81 82 75 92 107 74 115 103 71 67 71 69
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 60 70 70 50 40 40 80 100 100 90 90 30 30 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.30 0.27 0.09 0.14 0.39 0.15 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 2.9 2.4 0.7 0.9 2.4 1.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 5.3 1.6 3.4 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.0 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.9 7.3 7.6 8.3 8.6 8.5 8.3 7.5 6.9 6.7 7.3 7.6
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/06/25 FRIDAY 11/07/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 70 80 75 75 90 90 90 100 100 100 100 85 75 65 50 40
TEMPERATURE 34 34 34 34 35 34 33 33 33 34 34 37 35 35 35 38 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 34 34 38
WIND DIR S S S S SW S S S S S S S SW SW W W NW
WIND (MPH) 25 21 18 19 16 14 18 19 27 20 18 16 19 14 14 11 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 50 70 70 40 40 40 80 100 100 100 100 40 40 10 10 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S R S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.17 0.19 0.08 0.12 0.34 0.16 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.0 6.8 6.7 6.8 6.7 6.8 7.1 7.5 7.7 8.3 8.2 8.1 7.7 7.2 7.0 7.3 7.5
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/06/25 FRIDAY 11/07/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 65 80 80 80 95 95 90 100 100 100 100 85 85 65 55 35
TEMPERATURE 39 39 41 41 40 41 40 40 39 40 42 42 42 42 43 45 44
MIN/MAX TEMP 38 41 40 46
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S SE S S S E E N
WIND (MPH) 16 11 10 9 8 6 9 11 12 9 6 5 4 4 4 3 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 50 70 70 50 40 60 80 100 100 90 90 30 30 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.17 0.15 0.08 0.14 0.30 0.08 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.8 6.6 6.6 6.6 6.7 6.7 7.1 7.4 8.2 8.8 8.7 8.4 7.8 7.3 7.0 7.5 7.8
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/06/25 FRIDAY 11/07/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 65 75 80 75 95 90 90 100 100 95 95 75 75 60 50 35
TEMPERATURE 37 35 34 35 35 37 36 36 36 37 39 41 39 40 40 41 40
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 38 37 41
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S SW W NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 24 19 14 16 14 11 13 18 27 18 19 17 20 12 13 11 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 50 60 70 40 30 60 80 100 100 80 80 30 30 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.15 0.09 0.06 0.08 0.32 0.05 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.8 6.7 6.5 6.6 6.7 6.8 7.2 7.6 8.5 9.0 8.7 8.3 7.7 7.1 7.0 7.4 7.7
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/06/25 FRIDAY 11/07/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 95 100 95 95 90 100 100 100 100 100 90 90 70 70 40
TEMPERATURE 34 33 32 32 33 32 34 35 35 36 37 38 35 34 33 34 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 36 34 35
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 27 26 24 25 23 20 19 23 32 27 21 24 19 16 14 12 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 80 90 80 70 20 70 100 100 100 100 100 60 60 20 20 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S R S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.43 0.22 0.05 0.20 0.39 0.19 0.02 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 2.4 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 3.9 0.5 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.5 6.3 6.2 6.2 6.4 6.5 7.0 7.1 7.3 7.9 7.4 6.9 6.3 5.7 5.6 5.8 6.0
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/06/25 FRIDAY 11/07/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 95 95 90 95 90 100 100 100 100 100 85 85 70 70 40
TEMPERATURE 34 32 32 32 33 32 34 35 35 36 37 37 36 34 34 35 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 36 34 35
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 27 26 24 25 24 19 18 21 32 27 21 23 20 16 14 12 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 80 90 70 60 20 60 100 100 100 90 90 60 60 20 20 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.41 0.20 0.06 0.18 0.40 0.14 0.01 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 2.5 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 3.9 0.4 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 6.3 6.1 6.2 6.4 6.5 7.0 7.2 7.3 7.8 7.4 7.0 6.4 5.8 5.7 5.9 6.0
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/06/25 FRIDAY 11/07/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 90 80 75 80 75 95 100 100 100 100 85 85 65 60 35
TEMPERATURE 37 36 37 37 37 36 38 39 39 40 41 41 40 39 37 40 39
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 41 38 41
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S SW SW W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 21 18 16 16 14 14 13 16 17 16 14 16 16 13 10 8 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 90 80 50 40 20 60 90 100 100 80 80 40 40 20 20 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S R R R R R R R R R S
6 HOUR QPF 0.11 0.14 0.01 0.19 0.43 0.10 0.02 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.6 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.4 6.5 7.0 7.4 8.0 8.2 7.7 7.3 6.7 6.3 6.0 6.2 6.4
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/06/25 FRIDAY 11/07/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 90 90 85 90 90 95 100 100 100 100 90 90 70 70 50
TEMPERATURE 34 33 33 34 34 34 34 35 36 37 38 39 37 35 34 35 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 37 34 35
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW SW W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 29 28 25 25 23 19 18 23 31 27 21 20 19 16 16 13 11
WIND GUST (MPH) 48 50
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 70 90 80 80 20 80 100 100 100 100 100 70 70 30 30 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.33 0.30 0.07 0.23 0.44 0.18 0.02 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 1.5 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 3.1 0.4 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.5 6.2 6.1 6.1 6.3 6.5 7.0 7.3 7.6 7.9 7.5 7.0 6.2 5.7 5.6 5.8 5.9
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/06/25 FRIDAY 11/07/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 95 90 90 95 95 100 100 100 100 100 95 95 75 75 55
TEMPERATURE 35 32 33 33 34 33 34 36 36 37 38 39 36 35 34 35 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 37 34 35
WIND DIR SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S SW SW SW W W W W W
WIND (MPH) 29 28 25 25 23 19 19 25 31 28 21 19 18 16 14 12 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 100 70 90 80 80 20 80 100 100 100 100 100 70 70 30 30 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S R R S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.43 0.35 0.10 0.23 0.42 0.22 0.01 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 2.1 2.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 4.2 0.4 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.5 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.3 6.4 6.9 7.2 7.5 7.8 7.3 6.8 6.0 5.5 5.4 5.6 5.7
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/06/25 FRIDAY 11/07/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 80 85 65 75 95 85 100 95 100 95 95 80 80 65 50 40
TEMPERATURE 35 34 35 35 35 35 35 36 36 37 39 40 37 38 36 38 36
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 38 36 38
WIND DIR S SW SW SW SW SW S S S SW SW SW W W W W NW
WIND (MPH) 27 23 20 21 17 16 18 20 28 24 17 16 18 13 14 12 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 70 80 50 30 40 60 90 90 90 70 70 30 30 10 10 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S R R R R R S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.06 0.02 0.09 0.23 0.05 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.5 6.6 7.3 7.7 8.8 8.5 7.8 7.4 6.8 6.5 6.3 6.5 6.7
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN