Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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204
FWUS46 KMFR 121022
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
221 AM PST WED NOV 12 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        SC   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    35   75   85   80   75   95   95   95  100  100   95   95   90   90   80   75   65
TEMPERATURE        38   38   39   38   37   36   39   40   40   38   37   36   33   33   32   33   32
MAX/MIN TEMP                           40                  36                  40                  30
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         24   28   29   32   33   36   42   44   48   49   49   36   41   34   32   26   21
WIND GUST (MPH)              48   51   54   58   67   72   78   79   79   58   67   55   51   43
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    5    5    5   20   50   80   90  100  100  100  100   80   80   50   50   30
PRECIP TYPE                             S    S    S    S    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.08      0.73      1.73      1.09      0.44      0.09
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.2       2.3       3.5       0.9
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.1                 2.5                 4.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.6  8.4  8.4  8.1  7.9  7.9  8.4  8.7  8.9  8.8  8.2  7.8  7.2  6.5  6.1  5.9  5.7


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        SC   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    35   75   85   80   70   90   95   95  100  100   95   95   90   85   75   75   65
TEMPERATURE        36   36   41   40   37   37   39   39   39   39   39   38   34   33   32   32   30
MAX/MIN TEMP                           41                  37                  39                  28
WIND DIR            S   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE    S   SE   SE
WIND (MPH)         18   21   23   24   25   27   32   34   37   39   37   26   31   25   24   20   16
WIND GUST (MPH)                                       51   57   58   57
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5    5   20   50   80   90  100  100   90   90   70   70   50   50   30
PRECIP TYPE                             R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.06      0.66      1.62      0.91      0.33      0.07
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       1.1       0.5
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 1.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.5  8.3  8.3  8.0  7.8  7.8  8.4  8.7  8.9  8.8  8.2  7.8  7.1  6.5  6.1  5.9  5.7


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        SC   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    35   75   85   80   75   95   95   95  100  100   95   95   90   90   80   80   65
TEMPERATURE        37   39   37   38   36   36   40   40   40   39   37   36   34   33   33   34   32
MAX/MIN TEMP                           40                  36                  40                  29
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         24   28   31   32   33   36   42   44   48   50   49   36   42   34   32   27   21
WIND GUST (MPH)              48   51   54   58   67   72   78   79   79   58   67   55   51
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    5    5    5   20   50   70   90  100  100  100  100   80   80   50   50   30
PRECIP TYPE                             S    S    S    S    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.08      0.72      1.66      1.05      0.41      0.10
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.2       2.1       2.8       0.8
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.1                 2.3                 3.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.6  8.4  8.3  8.0  7.9  7.9  8.4  8.7  9.0  8.8  8.2  7.8  7.2  6.5  6.1  5.9  5.7


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        SC   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    40   75   85   80   75   85   90   95  100  100   95   95   90   85   75   75   65
TEMPERATURE        29   29   30   29   28   29   31   32   32   31   29   28   24   24   24   25   24
MAX/MIN TEMP                           31                  29                  31                  23
WIND DIR           SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SW    S
WIND (MPH)         39   41   42   46   47   52   65   72   75   77   78   69   74   60   54   49   37
WIND GUST (MPH)    67   69   74   79   81   89  107  115  115  115  115  115  115  115  105   74   58
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    5    5    5   20   50   80   90  100  100  100  100   80   80   50   50   30
PRECIP TYPE                             S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.12      0.91      2.20      1.29      0.50      0.10
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.9       5.4      14.6      12.2       4.8       1.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 6.3                26.8                 5.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.6  8.4  8.4  8.1  7.9  7.9  8.4  8.8  9.0  8.9  8.2  7.9  7.2  6.5  6.0  5.9  5.7


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    60   75   90   80   80   85   90   90  100  100  100  100   85   85   75   75   70
TEMPERATURE        39   39   39   39   39   36   39   40   39   39   38   36   34   35   34   35   33
MAX/MIN TEMP                           41                  36                  40                  32
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE   SE    S   SE   SE
WIND (MPH)         20   21   23   25   26   27   33   36   39   40   40   28   33   29   26   21   16
WIND GUST (MPH)                                       55   61   61   61        50
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    5    5    5   10   40   60   80   90   90  100  100   70   70   50   50   30
PRECIP TYPE                                  S    R    R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.07      0.41      1.26      0.86      0.26      0.04
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.2       0.1       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.2                 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.5  8.3  8.3  8.0  7.8  7.8  8.2  8.5  8.9  9.0  8.2  7.7  7.3  6.6  6.2  5.9  5.7


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        SC   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    30   80   90   80   75   95   95   95  100  100  100  100   90   85   80   80   75
TEMPERATURE        43   44   45   45   43   43   46   45   45   46   44   44   40   40   39   36   36
MAX/MIN TEMP                           46                  43                  46                  36
WIND DIR            S   SE   SE    S   SE   SE   SE    S   SE   SE    S   SE   SE    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          6    6    9   12   12   16   19   21   20   17   14   19   14   11   11   10    9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5   10   10    5   20   50   80   90  100  100  100  100   80   80   60   60   30
PRECIP TYPE                             R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.16      0.95      2.12      0.96      0.31      0.11
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.4  8.2  8.1  7.7  7.5  7.7  8.4  8.7  9.0  8.8  8.2  7.7  7.0  6.5  6.1  5.9  5.7


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        SC   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    40   80   80   70   70   85   85   95  100  100   95   95   85   80   70   70   65
TEMPERATURE        40   41   42   41   39   39   41   41   41   43   41   39   36   35   35   35   34
MAX/MIN TEMP                           42                  38                  43                  32
WIND DIR            S   SE    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SE    S
WIND (MPH)         17   20   21   24   25   28   32   35   39   39   34   27   23   21   23   17   13
WIND GUST (MPH)                                  51   55   64   65   58        40
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    5   10    5   20   50   70   90  100  100   90   90   70   70   50   50   30
PRECIP TYPE                             S    S    R    R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.09      0.62      1.50      0.62      0.23      0.06
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1       0.6       0.3
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.1                 0.9
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.4  8.2  8.2  7.9  7.7  7.8  8.4  8.8  9.0  8.8  8.1  7.7  7.1  6.5  6.1  5.9  5.7


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   BK   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    70   75   65   60   55   55   85   65   90   85   95   95   90   90   80   80   80
TEMPERATURE        39   39   44   46   44   40   39   39   40   39   40   39   36   36   37   36   35
MAX/MIN TEMP                           47                  38                  42                  34
WIND DIR           SE   SE   SE    S   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE    S   SW    S
WIND (MPH)         17   17   19   23   21   24   27   31   32   27   35   28   19   19   14   16   16
WIND GUST (MPH)                                            50        54
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    5    5   10   20   30   40   70   70   90   90   70   70   50   50   70
PRECIP TYPE                                  S    R    R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.01      0.04      0.08      0.10      0.10      0.07
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.1
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.5  8.3  8.0  8.2  8.0  7.8  8.5  8.9  9.2  9.0  8.5  7.9  7.5  6.9  6.4  5.8  5.5


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   BK   BK   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    70   80   70   55   55   65   85   75   95   95   95   95   90   90   80   80   75
TEMPERATURE        37   37   41   44   43   39   38   38   39   38   39   38   37   36   36   35   34
MAX/MIN TEMP                           45                  38                  40                  33
WIND DIR           SE   SE   SE    S   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE    S   SW    S
WIND (MPH)         17   17   19   21   20   21   26   28   29   27   34   29   20   19   14   16   16
WIND GUST (MPH)                                            47        51
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5    5    5   10   20   30   40   60   60   90   90   70   70   50   50   60
PRECIP TYPE                                  S    S    R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.01      0.02      0.08      0.12      0.10      0.06
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.2
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.5  8.3  8.0  8.2  8.1  7.9  8.2  8.6  9.0  8.9  8.4  7.9  7.6  6.9  6.4  5.8  5.5


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    85   85   90   90   85   85   65   75   90   90   95   95   90   90   75   75   70
TEMPERATURE        41   41   44   47   47   43   43   43   43   43   43   44   41   36   37   38   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           49                  42                  46                  36
WIND DIR           SE    S    S   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE    S   SW   SW    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)          9   10   12   12   11   14   19   20   23   20   17   16   13   11   11   11   10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5   10   10    5   10   20   30   70   70   90   90   70   70   50   50   50
PRECIP TYPE                                       R    R    R    R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.16      0.10      0.06      0.02
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.5  8.1  8.0  8.1  7.8  7.8  8.4  8.7  9.1  9.0  8.3  7.8  7.4  6.7  6.3  5.8  5.5


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        BK   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    65   70   65   70   70   70   65   70   90   90  100  100   95   95   80   80   80
TEMPERATURE        41   41   45   46   45   42   41   41   42   41   41   41   38   37   38   38   36
MAX/MIN TEMP                           47                  40                  43                  35
WIND DIR           SE   SE   SE    S   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE    E   SE    S   SE
WIND (MPH)         17   16   18   21   20   21   26   31   28   28   35   29   19   19   14   14   16
WIND GUST (MPH)              36        37        44   48   48   48   64   51   40
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5   10   10   10   10   30   30   70   70   90   90   70   70   60   60   70
PRECIP TYPE                                       R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.09      0.08      0.09      0.06
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.5  8.2  8.0  8.1  7.9  7.8  8.5  8.8  9.2  9.1  8.4  7.8  7.5  6.8  6.5  5.7  5.5


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)    55   65   60   65   60   60   60   65   90   90  100  100   95   95   85   85   80
TEMPERATURE        41   41   46   47   46   42   41   41   41   41   41   42   39   37   38   38   36
MAX/MIN TEMP                           49                  40                  43                  35
WIND DIR           SE   SE   SE    S   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE    E    S   SW    S
WIND (MPH)         17   16   17   21   20   21   26   32   28   28   35   29   17   19   14   14   18
WIND GUST (MPH)                                                      54
PRECIP PROB (%)     5    5   10   10   10   10   30   30   70   70   90   90   70   70   60   60   70
PRECIP TYPE                                       R    R    R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.01      0.08      0.08      0.09      0.07
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.5  8.3  8.0  8.1  8.0  7.8  8.5  8.9  9.2  9.1  8.5  7.8  7.5  6.9  6.6  5.7  5.4


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/12/25                      THURSDAY 11/13/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   BK   BK
CLOUD COVER (%)    80   80   80   70   75   65   80   80   95   95   90   90   85   85   65   65   60
TEMPERATURE        42   43   43   44   43   40   41   42   42   41   41   36   37   37   37   37   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           45                  40                  42                  36
WIND DIR           SE   SE   SE    S   SE   SE    S   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE   SE    N    S   NE
WIND (MPH)         16   17   20   23   25   28   35   39   39   39   35   32   24   19   21   17   13
WIND GUST (MPH)                                  54   58   58   58   54
PRECIP PROB (%)     0    0    5    5   10   10   20   50   80   80   80   80   60   60   40   40   40
PRECIP TYPE                                       R    R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.00      0.00      0.01      0.05      0.41      0.26      0.08      0.02
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  8.4  8.0  7.9  8.0  7.8  7.8  8.4  8.8  9.3  8.8  7.9  7.5  7.1  6.4  6.0  5.7  5.5

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN