Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
571
FWUS46 KMFR 131021
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
221 AM PST THU NOV 13 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 100 100 95 95 95 95 90 65 60 60 50 45 35 20 20 15
TEMPERATURE 37 37 37 38 36 34 33 33 33 31 32 33 33 31 32 34 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 39 30 34 31
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S SE S S S S NW E SE SE
WIND (MPH) 32 33 29 32 41 27 20 19 23 11 9 8 6 3 8 8 8
WIND GUST (MPH) 50 67 44
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 100 100 90 80 70 50 30 30 30 20 20 5 5 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 1.71 1.82 0.67 0.11 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 3.1 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 4.1 0.4 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.3 9.4 9.2 8.3 7.4 7.0 6.7 6.4 6.3 6.5 7.1 6.6 6.6 6.9 7.7 7.8
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 100 100 90 95 90 90 85 65 60 60 45 40 30 15 15 15
TEMPERATURE 39 40 40 40 38 34 33 32 32 31 34 35 33 28 29 30 29
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 30 36 27
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE S S SE SE E S SE S S NE NE NE N
WIND (MPH) 34 34 31 32 31 21 19 17 17 10 8 8 5 3 5 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH) 51 51
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 100 100 90 80 70 50 30 30 30 20 20 5 5 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 1.51 1.49 0.52 0.09 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.6 0.3 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.3 9.4 9.1 8.3 7.3 6.9 6.7 6.4 6.2 6.5 7.1 6.6 6.7 6.9 7.7 7.8
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 100 100 95 95 95 95 90 70 65 60 55 45 35 20 20 15
TEMPERATURE 37 37 37 38 37 35 34 34 34 31 32 33 33 31 32 34 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 40 29 34 31
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S SE S S S S NW E SE SE
WIND (MPH) 27 29 27 31 42 27 20 18 24 10 9 8 6 3 8 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 48 44 48 67 44
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 100 100 90 80 70 50 30 30 30 20 20 5 5 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 1.65 1.72 0.65 0.12 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 2.6 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 3.5 0.4 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.3 9.4 9.2 8.3 7.4 7.0 6.7 6.4 6.3 6.5 7.1 6.6 6.7 6.9 7.7 7.8
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 100 100 95 90 95 85 80 60 55 60 50 45 30 20 20 15
TEMPERATURE 29 30 31 32 29 27 25 25 23 24 24 25 24 23 24 25 25
MAX/MIN TEMP 32 22 26 23
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S S S S S SW W S S S
WIND (MPH) 48 48 44 44 74 54 46 33 44 23 14 12 13 4 10 9 10
WIND GUST (MPH) 85 82 75 75 115 115 113 67 104 55 34
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 100 100 90 80 60 50 20 30 30 20 20 5 5 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 2.58 2.20 0.74 0.09 0.06 0.00 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 12.8 12.8 7.3 1.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 25.6 8.3 0.6 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.4 9.4 9.2 8.4 7.5 7.0 6.7 6.5 6.3 6.5 7.1 6.5 6.6 6.8 7.7 7.8
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 100 95 90 95 85 85 85 80 60 50 40 30 15 15 20
TEMPERATURE 39 38 38 40 38 37 35 35 34 32 32 34 34 32 32 33 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 32 34 32
WIND DIR S S S S SE S S S SE S S S S W N E N
WIND (MPH) 36 35 31 29 33 25 20 18 23 12 10 9 8 4 6 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH) 57 57 48 47 50
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 90 100 90 80 60 40 20 30 30 20 20 5 5 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S S S S S R
6 HOUR QPF 1.16 1.36 0.62 0.08 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.1 9.4 9.4 9.3 8.5 7.4 7.0 6.6 6.4 6.2 6.6 7.2 6.8 6.7 6.9 7.6 7.7
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 100 100 95 95 95 95 95 85 75 60 50 40 20 15 15 20
TEMPERATURE 45 45 45 47 43 41 42 40 40 39 38 40 40 37 38 38 39
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 37 42 37
WIND DIR SE SE S SE SE S S S S S S S S N N N N
WIND (MPH) 23 23 21 24 14 12 11 9 8 5 5 4 4 2 3 3 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 100 100 90 90 70 60 30 30 30 20 20 5 5 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 2.24 1.70 0.51 0.15 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.3 9.3 9.0 8.2 7.3 6.8 6.6 6.4 6.2 6.4 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.9 7.7 7.8
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC FW FW FW FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 90 90 85 85 85 75 70 60 45 35 25 15 20 20
TEMPERATURE 40 41 41 41 39 37 36 36 35 36 35 36 37 34 34 34 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 33 38 33
WIND DIR S S S S S S S SE SE S S S S S N NE N
WIND (MPH) 36 36 34 33 23 18 18 16 14 11 9 8 6 3 5 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH) 57 57 54 50 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 90 100 100 90 80 60 50 20 30 30 20 20 5 5 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 1.26 0.98 0.38 0.13 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.3 9.4 9.0 8.2 7.3 6.8 6.7 6.4 6.2 6.4 7.0 6.9 6.7 6.9 7.7 7.7
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 75 75 85 90 90 70 60 60 60 65 65 40 45 45 30 45
TEMPERATURE 40 40 41 42 41 38 37 36 34 32 36 38 36 34 33 32 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 43 32 38 31
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE S SE SW SW S S SW W W S NE SE
WIND (MPH) 28 29 29 26 19 16 16 12 11 10 10 9 9 3 5 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH) 47 47
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 50 60 80 80 30 40 10 40 40 50 50 20 20 10 10 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.12 0.16 0.01 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.6 9.4 9.3 8.7 8.1 7.4 6.8 6.5 6.3 6.6 7.0 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.9 8.0
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 75 85 95 95 80 70 60 60 65 65 45 40 40 30 45
TEMPERATURE 38 39 39 41 40 38 37 35 33 31 34 37 36 32 32 31 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 41 30 38 30
WIND DIR SE SE SE S SE S SE SW S S S SW W W SW NW SE
WIND (MPH) 26 26 27 25 20 16 14 12 11 11 10 9 8 3 4 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 50 60 70 80 30 40 10 40 40 40 40 10 10 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.20 0.19 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.5 9.3 9.2 8.8 8.1 7.5 6.8 6.5 6.3 6.5 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.1 7.8 7.9
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK BK BK BK SC SC SC FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 90 75 75 80 80 60 45 55 55 60 60 45 30 30 20 30
TEMPERATURE 45 45 44 47 45 42 40 38 36 34 37 42 41 36 35 33 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 47 33 43 31
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SW S S S S SE S S SW W SE E E
WIND (MPH) 24 21 21 19 13 11 8 9 9 8 6 5 4 3 2 3 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 60 60 60 70 30 30 20 30 30 40 40 10 10 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R S S S S R
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.20 0.11 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.5 9.4 9.2 8.7 7.9 7.1 6.7 6.4 6.2 6.5 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.7 7.9
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK BK BK BK SC SC SC FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 80 75 80 85 80 70 50 65 65 65 65 45 45 40 25 40
TEMPERATURE 42 42 43 43 41 40 38 37 35 34 36 38 37 35 34 34 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 33 38 33
WIND DIR SE SE SE SE SE S SE S W W SW SW W W SE SE SE
WIND (MPH) 27 25 25 23 19 14 14 12 12 11 10 9 8 3 8 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH) 48 43 40
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 50 60 80 80 30 50 20 50 50 50 50 30 30 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R S S S S S S S S S R
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.12 0.18 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.3 9.6 9.4 9.2 8.7 8.1 7.3 6.8 6.4 6.2 6.5 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.9 8.0
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV SC BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 80 75 85 90 85 75 50 65 65 65 65 50 50 40 30 45
TEMPERATURE 42 42 43 44 42 40 38 37 35 34 36 38 37 35 33 34 34
MAX/MIN TEMP 44 33 38 33
WIND DIR S S S S SE S SE SW NW W W W W SW S SE SE
WIND (MPH) 27 26 26 25 17 14 16 12 12 11 10 9 9 3 9 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 50 60 80 80 30 50 20 50 50 50 50 30 30 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R S S S S S S S S S R
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.11 0.22 0.02 0.03 0.01 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.6 9.4 9.2 8.8 8.1 7.4 6.9 6.4 6.2 6.5 6.9 6.9 7.1 7.2 7.9 8.1
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE THURSDAY 11/13/25 FRIDAY 11/14/25
TIME (LT) 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04
4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK BK SC SC SC SC SC FW SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 75 70 75 85 70 60 40 55 55 35 35 30 35 35 20 30
TEMPERATURE 40 40 41 42 40 38 36 36 35 34 36 38 38 35 35 35 36
MAX/MIN TEMP 42 34 39 35
WIND DIR S S S S SE E S S SE S S S NW W SE NE SE
WIND (MPH) 39 39 34 28 24 17 19 14 13 11 10 6 4 2 4 4 6
WIND GUST (MPH) 58 58 51
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 60 40 70 60 10 30 20 30 30 20 20 10 10 5 5 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.25 0.42 0.21 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.5 9.6 9.4 9.0 8.4 7.3 6.7 6.5 6.3 6.2 6.3 6.7 6.9 7.1 7.2 7.8 7.9
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN