Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
769
FWUS46 KMFR 152136
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
236 PM PDT TUE SEP 15 2026
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC FW SC SC SC FW SC BK SC FW FW SC FW FW SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 20 50 30 40 20 35 55 45 20 15 30 20 20 50 50 25
TEMPERATURE 58 48 45 43 40 40 47 51 52 46 43 43 40 39 46 49 51
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 54 39 52
WIND DIR W NW S SE E E E SE SE NE NE NE N SW SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 10 12 9 11 12 13 8 10 4 3 3 3 2 2 4 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 20 20 10 10 20 20 20 10 0 5 10 10 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R T T R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.4 10.1 10.0 9.7 9.5 9.2 9.3 9.6 9.7 9.7 9.5 9.2 9.0 8.8 9.1 9.6 9.8
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER FW FW SC SC FW FW SC BK SC FW FW FW FW FW SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 20 50 30 20 10 35 50 45 20 15 25 15 20 45 45 30
TEMPERATURE 59 47 43 41 38 39 49 53 52 44 41 40 38 39 48 52 53
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 57 37 55
WIND DIR W N E E E E SE SE SE NE E E E S SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 8 10 8 9 10 10 6 9 5 4 4 3 2 3 4 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 10 10 5 10 20 20 20 10 0 5 10 10 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R T T R T R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.4 10.1 9.9 9.6 9.5 9.2 9.2 9.6 9.6 9.7 9.5 9.2 9.0 8.9 9.1 9.6 9.8
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC FW SC SC SC FW SC BK SC FW FW SC FW FW SC SC FW
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 25 50 35 45 20 35 55 45 20 15 35 20 20 50 50 25
TEMPERATURE 58 49 45 43 40 40 45 49 51 46 42 42 40 39 44 48 50
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 54 39 52
WIND DIR SW NW W SE E NE E SE S N N NE NW SW SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 10 12 8 12 12 13 8 10 3 3 3 3 2 2 3 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 20 20 10 10 20 20 20 10 0 5 10 10 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE R R R T T R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.4 10.1 10.0 9.7 9.6 9.2 9.3 9.6 9.7 9.7 9.6 9.2 9.0 8.9 9.1 9.6 9.8
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC FW SC SC SC SC SC BK SC SC FW SC FW FW BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 20 50 35 45 40 35 60 45 30 15 25 20 20 50 50 30
TEMPERATURE 46 37 35 33 32 33 38 40 39 35 33 33 32 33 37 39 40
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 42 32 41
WIND DIR W SW S S SE SE SE SE E E E E SW SW SW W W
WIND (MPH) 11 13 10 14 16 17 11 12 8 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 20 20 10 10 20 20 20 10 0 5 10 10 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE S S S T T S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.3 10.1 10.0 9.7 9.5 9.2 9.3 9.5 9.6 9.7 9.5 9.1 9.0 8.8 9.2 9.6 9.8
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC SC FW SC BK SC FW FW SC SC FW BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 40 35 50 50 40 20 35 55 45 15 10 35 25 25 60 60 35
TEMPERATURE 59 51 46 43 41 41 46 52 53 49 43 42 40 41 46 50 52
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 55 40 53
WIND DIR W NW NW E E E E SE SW NW NW W SW SW SW W W
WIND (MPH) 12 12 9 13 13 17 11 10 5 5 4 4 4 5 3 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 20 20 10 10 20 20 20 10 0 5 10 10 40 40 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R T T R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.3 10.1 9.9 9.8 9.6 9.4 9.2 9.6 9.8 9.8 9.5 9.2 9.2 9.0 9.1 9.6 9.9
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC FW SC FW FW FW SC SC SC FW FW CL SC FW SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 25 10 30 25 10 5 35 35 40 15 15 5 30 20 35 35 30
TEMPERATURE 68 56 52 47 46 49 57 62 63 54 49 46 46 47 55 59 61
MIN/MAX TEMP 46 65 45 63
WIND DIR S N N N N NE E SE S NW NW SW N N S S SW
WIND (MPH) 8 11 10 9 8 8 6 6 5 2 1 1 0 0 2 3 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 5 0 20 20 20 10 0 5 5 5 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R T T R T R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.4 10.1 9.9 9.6 9.4 9.2 9.2 9.4 9.6 9.5 9.5 9.2 9.0 8.8 9.0 9.6 9.8
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC FW SC FW FW FW SC SC SC FW FW FW SC FW SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 20 50 25 20 5 35 40 40 20 15 5 40 20 40 40 35
TEMPERATURE 63 50 46 44 41 44 49 55 56 48 44 44 42 45 50 54 56
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 57 41 56
WIND DIR N N NW NW SW E E SE SE NW SW S S S S W W
WIND (MPH) 6 9 9 8 8 8 5 8 5 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 5 10 20 20 20 10 5 5 10 10 20 20 20
PRECIP TYPE R T T R T R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 10.3 10.1 9.8 9.5 9.4 9.2 9.1 9.4 9.5 9.6 9.5 9.2 9.1 8.9 9.1 9.6 9.8
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV SC SC BK SC SC SC SC SC FW SC OV SC BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 80 25 35 60 35 40 35 40 45 25 40 100 45 65 65 55
TEMPERATURE 53 44 40 38 38 38 45 53 54 49 43 41 40 41 51 53 52
MIN/MAX TEMP 37 55 39 55
WIND DIR NW N NE E E E E E E E E E E NE W W W
WIND (MPH) 12 6 8 17 21 21 23 16 12 14 16 10 8 5 3 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH) 39 39 35 35
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 5 10 20 10 20 20 20 20 5 10 20 20 50 50 30
PRECIP TYPE R R T T T T R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.1 8.9 8.9 8.8 9.0 9.2 9.5 9.9 9.8 9.8 9.6 9.5 9.2 9.4 10.0 10.1
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV SC SC BK SC SC SC SC BK FW SC OV BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 95 35 40 65 30 40 40 45 55 20 40 100 50 65 65 60
TEMPERATURE 52 44 40 38 37 37 43 52 52 47 42 40 39 40 49 53 51
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 54 38 55
WIND DIR NW N NE NE NE E E E E NE NE NE NE N W W W
WIND (MPH) 13 8 6 17 21 21 21 17 12 13 16 10 8 5 3 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH) 39 33 34
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 10 10 20 10 20 20 20 20 5 10 30 30 50 50 30
PRECIP TYPE R R T T T T R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.2 9.1 8.9 8.9 8.8 9.0 9.2 9.6 9.9 9.9 9.8 9.6 9.5 9.1 9.5 10.1 10.2
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC OV SC FW SC SC SC SC BK BK FW SC OV SC BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 75 45 20 30 30 35 45 65 60 20 45 70 45 60 60 55
TEMPERATURE 57 49 45 42 41 41 48 57 58 52 47 44 42 43 52 57 57
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 61 42 60
WIND DIR NW NW NW NE NE NE NE E NE NE NE NE NE E SW W W
WIND (MPH) 8 5 3 8 10 11 9 6 5 4 9 6 5 4 2 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 10 5 5 10 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 20 20 40 40 30
PRECIP TYPE T T T T T R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.0 9.2 8.9 8.9 8.9 9.1 9.2 9.6 9.9 9.9 9.7 9.5 9.3 9.4 9.3 9.9 9.9
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV SC FW SC FW SC SC SC BK SC SC OV SC BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 55 75 30 25 30 25 40 35 45 50 35 40 75 40 60 60 55
TEMPERATURE 51 43 41 40 40 40 45 52 52 48 44 43 42 43 50 53 52
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 55 42 54
WIND DIR NW NW NE E E E E E E E E E E SE W W W
WIND (MPH) 11 6 5 13 16 19 20 12 10 12 16 12 10 9 2 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH) 39 40 40 32
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 5 5 10 5 20 20 10 20 5 5 20 20 40 40 30
PRECIP TYPE T T T T T T R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.1 9.0 8.8 8.8 8.8 8.9 9.2 9.6 9.9 9.8 9.7 9.6 9.4 9.4 9.5 9.9 9.9
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER BK OV FW FW SC FW SC SC SC SC SC SC OV SC BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 70 75 20 25 30 20 40 35 35 50 40 35 75 35 60 60 50
TEMPERATURE 50 43 41 40 40 40 45 51 52 48 44 43 42 43 50 53 52
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 54 42 54
WIND DIR NW N NE E E E E E E E E E E SE W W W
WIND (MPH) 11 5 6 14 19 21 24 14 11 14 16 12 10 9 2 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH) 40 40 32
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 5 5 10 5 20 20 10 20 5 5 20 20 40 40 30
PRECIP TYPE T T T R R R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.1 9.0 8.8 8.8 8.7 8.9 9.2 9.6 9.9 9.7 9.7 9.7 9.5 9.4 9.6 9.9 10.0
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE WEDNESDAY 09/16/26 THURSDAY 09/17/26
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER SC OV SC SC SC FW SC SC BK OV BK SC BK SC BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 35 75 35 35 35 20 35 40 65 75 60 35 50 30 55 55 45
TEMPERATURE 53 45 43 41 40 41 46 54 54 48 46 46 45 45 51 55 54
MIN/MAX TEMP 40 56 45 56
WIND DIR NW NW NW NE E E E E NE NW SE S S SW W NW NW
WIND (MPH) 17 12 9 14 13 12 10 9 6 3 4 5 9 10 2 2 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 5 5 5 5 10 20 20 20 20 5 10 10 10 30 30 20
PRECIP TYPE T T T T R R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 9.4 9.2 8.8 8.7 8.8 9.0 9.3 9.6 9.9 9.8 9.7 9.5 9.3 9.2 9.3 9.7 9.8
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN