Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
785
FWUS46 KMFR 092301
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 PM PDT THU OCT 9 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 10/10/25 SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 100 95 95 85 95 90 90 90 80 65 65 55 55 40 55 55
TEMPERATURE 37 37 39 39 35 32 30 31 30 29 30 31 30 30 32 34 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 34 28 37
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S SW SW SW W NW NW NW NW W
WIND (MPH) 23 21 19 21 24 21 24 27 19 13 11 9 6 8 10 11 17
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 30 70 70 80 90 80 80 90 70 40 40 30 30 20 20 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.09 0.41 0.26 0.26 0.22 0.07 0.02 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.0 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 3.5 2.5 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.2 8.2 8.4 8.2 7.7 7.2 7.0 7.1 7.0 6.7 6.3 6.1 5.7 5.6 5.9 6.2 6.4
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 10/10/25 SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 100 95 90 85 90 90 90 90 80 65 65 50 50 40 55 55
TEMPERATURE 38 35 34 35 33 31 33 33 33 31 32 32 31 32 38 39 37
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 35 29 40
WIND DIR S SE S SE S S S S S S SW W N N NW NW W
WIND (MPH) 17 14 13 14 17 16 17 20 14 10 8 5 4 5 8 9 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 30 70 70 80 90 80 80 80 70 40 40 30 30 20 20 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S S S S R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.31 0.19 0.23 0.19 0.07 0.02 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.1 7.6 7.1 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.6 6.3 6.0 5.7 5.5 5.9 6.1 6.4
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 10/10/25 SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 100 95 95 90 95 90 90 90 85 65 65 55 55 40 55 55
TEMPERATURE 37 37 39 39 36 32 30 30 30 29 30 31 31 30 31 33 34
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 34 28 37
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S SW SW SW W NW NW NW NW W
WIND (MPH) 23 21 19 21 24 23 24 26 19 14 11 9 6 8 10 11 17
WIND GUST (MPH) 43
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 30 70 70 80 90 80 80 90 70 40 40 30 30 20 20 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.37 0.27 0.25 0.21 0.08 0.02 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.8 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 3.2 2.2 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.1 8.2 8.3 8.1 7.7 7.2 7.0 7.0 7.0 6.7 6.3 6.1 5.7 5.6 5.9 6.2 6.4
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 10/10/25 SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 100 95 90 85 90 85 90 90 80 60 60 50 50 40 60 60
TEMPERATURE 29 27 28 28 25 23 22 23 23 22 22 24 22 25 26 28 29
MIN/MAX TEMP 22 25 22 29
WIND DIR S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW W W NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 40 40 40 42 46 43 43 43 34 24 16 11 10 12 16 20 27
WIND GUST (MPH) 85 86 89 89 96 92 96 75 69 50 44 50
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 30 70 70 80 90 80 80 90 70 40 40 30 30 20 20 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.43 0.24 0.30 0.21 0.07 0.02 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.6 3.4 2.3 2.9 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 4.0 5.2 2.9 0.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.2 8.2 8.4 8.2 7.8 7.2 7.1 7.1 7.0 6.7 6.3 6.1 5.7 5.6 6.0 6.2 6.5
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 10/10/25 SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 95 95 95 90 85 90 90 90 85 60 60 60 60 60 60 60
TEMPERATURE 40 39 40 40 38 33 31 31 31 31 32 32 31 31 32 36 36
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 34 30 37
WIND DIR S S S S S S S S SW SW SW W N N NW W W
WIND (MPH) 18 17 14 16 18 18 18 20 14 11 10 8 5 6 8 9 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 5 20 50 70 80 80 70 80 90 80 40 40 40 40 40 40 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.23 0.17 0.17 0.16 0.06 0.02 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 1.0 1.2 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.1 8.0 8.0 8.1 7.7 7.1 6.9 7.0 6.9 6.7 6.4 6.1 5.7 5.6 5.9 6.1 6.3
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 10/10/25 SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 100 100 90 85 90 90 95 85 80 65 65 55 55 50 50 50
TEMPERATURE 45 43 44 43 41 42 39 39 38 36 37 36 35 38 41 43 43
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 42 34 46
WIND DIR SE SE S S S S S S S SE SW NW W NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 10 9 11 12 17 17 14 11 6 4 4 6 8 8 5 5 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 40 70 60 80 90 80 80 80 70 50 50 30 30 30 30 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R R R S S S S R R
6 HOUR QPF 0.12 0.21 0.16 0.22 0.12 0.05 0.01 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.2 8.2 8.3 7.9 7.4 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.5 6.2 5.9 5.6 5.4 5.7 6.2 6.4
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 10/10/25 SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 95 80 80 90 90 95 85 80 60 60 50 55 50 55 55
TEMPERATURE 41 39 39 39 37 37 33 34 33 32 32 32 32 35 36 38 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 37 31 40
WIND DIR S SE S SE S S S S S S SW NW N N NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 16 14 12 14 17 14 19 23 14 10 8 8 8 8 8 9 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 50 70 60 70 80 90 90 80 70 40 40 30 30 30 30 10
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.10 0.15 0.10 0.23 0.11 0.03 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.8 0.5 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.3 8.3 8.3 8.0 7.4 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.9 6.5 6.1 5.9 5.5 5.3 5.7 6.1 6.4
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 10/10/25 SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 100 100 80 75 90 100 100 85 85 85 65 80 80 90 90 85
TEMPERATURE 47 42 40 39 37 36 36 36 35 33 33 32 31 31 31 33 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 39 30 34
WIND DIR S S S S SE SE S W SW SW SW SW W W SW W W
WIND (MPH) 13 13 13 12 12 14 18 13 17 13 9 8 8 6 6 9 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 30 50 50 90 100 80 80 80 40 40 70 70 80 80 70
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.05 0.13 0.16 0.12 0.02 0.02 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.6 8.2 8.1 8.0 7.5 7.3 6.9 6.5 6.2 5.8 5.6 5.3 5.3 5.7 6.0 6.0
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 10/10/25 SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 90 95 100 85 80 90 95 100 85 80 75 65 80 80 85 85 85
TEMPERATURE 45 42 39 38 37 34 34 35 34 32 32 32 31 30 32 34 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 34 38 30 35
WIND DIR S S S S SE SE S SW SW SW SW W W W SW W W
WIND (MPH) 14 13 13 12 11 14 19 13 18 13 9 8 8 6 6 9 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 30 40 50 90 100 80 80 70 40 40 70 70 80 80 60
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.06 0.13 0.15 0.11 0.02 0.02 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.9 8.7 8.2 8.2 8.1 7.6 7.4 7.0 6.6 6.3 5.9 5.6 5.4 5.3 5.8 6.1 6.1
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 10/10/25 SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 100 100 75 70 85 95 95 80 80 60 60 75 75 75 75 80
TEMPERATURE 49 45 44 43 41 39 39 40 39 38 37 36 34 33 35 38 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 39 42 33 39
WIND DIR S SW S SE S S S SW S S SW SW SW SW W W W
WIND (MPH) 9 6 8 6 11 14 13 11 10 6 4 4 5 5 6 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 20 40 40 40 70 100 90 60 70 40 40 70 70 70 70 50
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R R R S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.04 0.07 0.16 0.16 0.01 0.02 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.7 8.2 8.0 8.1 7.7 7.3 7.2 6.9 6.6 6.3 5.9 5.7 5.4 5.4 5.7 6.0 6.0
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 10/10/25 SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 100 100 80 70 90 100 95 85 90 65 60 80 80 90 90 85
TEMPERATURE 45 41 41 40 38 37 36 35 34 32 33 32 31 31 31 33 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 39 30 35
WIND DIR S SW S SW SE S S W SW SW SW SW W W W W SW
WIND (MPH) 11 13 13 12 11 18 17 14 17 13 10 8 6 8 8 9 11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 30 60 60 90 100 70 80 80 40 40 80 80 90 90 80
PRECIP TYPE R S S R R S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.04 0.12 0.15 0.11 0.02 0.02 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.5 8.1 8.1 7.8 7.4 7.2 6.8 6.5 6.2 5.8 5.6 5.3 5.3 5.7 5.9 5.9
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 10/10/25 SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 100 100 85 75 90 100 95 85 90 65 60 85 85 95 95 90
TEMPERATURE 45 42 41 39 38 37 37 36 35 33 33 32 31 31 31 33 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 40 30 34
WIND DIR S SW S SW SE S S W SW SW SW SW W SW W W SW
WIND (MPH) 10 13 13 12 9 17 16 14 16 13 10 9 6 8 6 8 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 10 30 60 60 90 100 70 80 80 40 40 80 80 90 90 80
PRECIP TYPE R R R R S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.01 0.04 0.14 0.13 0.09 0.03 0.02 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.8 8.7 8.2 8.0 7.8 7.4 7.2 6.7 6.4 6.1 5.8 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.7 5.9 5.9
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE FRIDAY 10/10/25 SATURDAY 10/11/25
TIME (LT) 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17
5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV BK OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 100 95 75 60 90 90 90 70 80 55 55 70 70 65 70 70
TEMPERATURE 42 39 41 41 39 36 35 34 32 32 33 33 33 34 34 34 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 36 36 32 37
WIND DIR S S S S SE S S SW SW SW SW SW NW SW SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 13 11 10 12 16 16 19 16 16 11 6 6 6 8 8 9 12
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 20 60 80 60 40 80 90 80 60 70 30 30 60 60 50 50 50
PRECIP TYPE R R R R R S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.16 0.17 0.10 0.18 0.09 0.01 0.01 0.03
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 8.5 8.5 8.3 7.9 7.5 7.0 7.0 6.7 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.7 5.5 5.4 5.7 5.9 6.2
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN