Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
220
FWUS46 KMFR 111101
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
401 AM PDT SAT OCT 11 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW SC FW SC SC BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 30 50 40 40 25 15 5 30 25 25 45 70 75 75 75 100
TEMPERATURE 27 27 30 31 33 29 31 32 33 34 39 41 38 34 33 33 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 28 42 27
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N NW NW W NW NW SW S
WIND (MPH) 8 6 8 9 10 11 12 11 16 14 12 14 14 9 9 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 10 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 5.2 6.0 6.3 6.5 6.3 6.1 5.8 5.4 5.3 6.0 6.2 6.2 5.9 5.7 5.3 5.1
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK SC SC FW FW FW SC FW FW SC BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 30 50 45 40 25 20 5 30 25 25 45 70 75 75 75 100
TEMPERATURE 27 28 34 35 33 29 29 29 28 29 40 42 39 31 31 30 28
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 27 44 26
WIND DIR NW N NW NW NW NW NW N N N N NW NW NW NW SW S
WIND (MPH) 5 4 5 8 9 8 9 9 12 11 9 11 11 6 6 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 10 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 5.2 5.9 6.3 6.4 6.3 6.1 5.8 5.4 5.3 5.9 6.1 6.1 5.9 5.6 5.3 5.1
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC SC FW FW CL SC FW SC SC BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 30 45 40 40 20 15 5 30 25 25 45 65 75 75 75 100
TEMPERATURE 28 27 29 31 32 30 30 31 32 31 37 40 38 34 33 33 31
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 28 42 26
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N NW NW W NW NW SW S
WIND (MPH) 8 6 8 9 10 11 12 11 16 14 12 14 14 9 9 10 10
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 10 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.2 5.3 6.0 6.3 6.5 6.3 6.1 5.8 5.4 5.3 6.0 6.2 6.2 5.9 5.7 5.3 5.1
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK SC SC SC FW FW SC SC SC SC OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 30 55 50 45 30 25 5 30 25 25 45 70 75 75 75 100
TEMPERATURE 16 16 20 21 23 22 25 26 28 29 35 33 27 19 25 24 21
MAX/MIN TEMP 24 22 36 18
WIND DIR W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W SW
WIND (MPH) 13 12 13 17 21 23 26 23 26 25 23 27 31 19 17 18 16
WIND GUST (MPH) 40 51 52 65 49 46 43 48 58 66 46 39 40 33
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 10 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 5.2 6.0 6.3 6.5 6.4 6.1 5.7 5.4 5.4 6.0 6.1 6.2 5.9 5.7 5.3 5.1
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC FW SC SC BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 30 50 50 45 35 40 30 35 25 25 40 70 75 75 80 100
TEMPERATURE 29 28 30 34 34 32 31 32 30 30 36 42 39 35 33 34 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 36 30 43 28
WIND DIR NW NW NW W NW NW NW NW N N N NW NW NW W SW S
WIND (MPH) 5 5 6 6 5 8 9 9 12 12 9 11 10 8 6 8 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 20 20 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 50 50 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.2 5.3 5.9 6.3 6.4 6.1 6.1 5.8 5.4 5.1 5.8 6.2 6.0 5.7 5.5 5.3 5.1
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC SC SC SC FW FW FW SC FW FW SC BK BK OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 30 40 40 35 10 15 5 25 20 25 40 65 65 70 70 100
TEMPERATURE 35 36 40 42 42 37 36 35 35 36 43 47 45 39 38 36 35
MAX/MIN TEMP 45 33 50 33
WIND DIR NW NW NE NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N NW NW NW W
WIND (MPH) 5 2 3 3 4 6 8 8 6 6 9 10 9 9 6 4 3
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 10 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 5.1 5.8 6.3 6.5 6.3 6.2 5.9 5.5 5.3 5.6 6.1 6.3 6.0 5.6 5.4 5.1
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER SC SC BK SC BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC BK OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 30 30 55 50 55 45 45 45 45 35 30 45 65 70 70 75 100
TEMPERATURE 31 34 34 36 37 33 33 33 34 36 39 43 40 33 34 35 32
MAX/MIN TEMP 37 30 44 29
WIND DIR NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N NW NW NW NW SW S
WIND (MPH) 5 5 6 6 8 9 10 10 12 11 10 11 12 8 8 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 10 10 10 10 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 40 40 80
PRECIP TYPE S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 5.1 5.9 6.3 6.5 6.4 6.2 6.0 5.6 5.2 5.6 6.0 6.2 5.9 5.6 5.3 5.1
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 85 85 80 90 90 95 90 85 80 80 70 80 85 95 100 100 100
TEMPERATURE 29 29 31 32 32 33 34 34 31 29 31 33 33 31 31 31 29
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 28 35 28
WIND DIR W W W W W W W W W W W W W SW SW S S
WIND (MPH) 9 11 10 10 12 13 13 17 16 13 12 14 10 9 10 10 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 40 60 50 60 60 50 50 10 10 30 30 50 50 90 90 100
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.19 0.11 0.06 0.00 0.02 0.05 0.14
6 HOUR SNOW 0.6 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3
12 HOUR SNOW 2.0 1.2 0.2 1.7
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 5.2 5.6 5.9 6.1 6.2 6.1 5.6 5.1 4.9 5.2 5.5 5.6 5.4 5.2 4.9 4.7
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 80 80 80 85 85 90 85 80 75 70 70 80 80 95 100 100 100
TEMPERATURE 29 29 31 32 31 32 32 33 30 28 30 34 34 32 31 31 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 33 27 35 27
WIND DIR SW W W W W W W W W W W W W SW SW S SE
WIND (MPH) 9 10 9 11 12 12 16 17 16 13 11 14 10 9 10 10 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 40 50 50 50 50 40 40 10 10 20 20 40 40 80 80 100
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.13 0.07 0.03 0.00 0.02 0.03 0.13
6 HOUR SNOW 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2
12 HOUR SNOW 1.4 0.7 0.1 1.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 5.2 5.7 6.0 6.2 6.3 6.2 5.7 5.1 4.9 5.3 5.6 5.6 5.4 5.3 5.0 4.8
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 80 80 85 80 85 90 90 80 60 70 70 80 85 95 95 100
TEMPERATURE 31 30 33 35 37 36 36 36 34 32 34 39 39 36 36 35 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 38 32 41 31
WIND DIR SW S SW W W W W W W W W W W W SW SW S
WIND (MPH) 4 5 6 8 6 8 9 9 6 5 5 6 6 5 4 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 40 40 40 30 40 20 20 5 5 10 10 30 30 80 80 100
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.04 0.16 0.10 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09
6 HOUR SNOW 0.2 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.0 5.2 5.6 6.0 6.2 6.3 6.2 5.8 5.3 4.9 5.3 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.1 4.7
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 80 85 90 90 90 90 90 85 80 75 85 95 95 100 100 100
TEMPERATURE 29 29 29 31 32 32 34 34 32 30 31 33 32 30 32 32 30
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 29 35 28
WIND DIR W W W SW W W W W W W W W W SW SW SW W
WIND (MPH) 9 11 10 9 11 12 13 17 17 13 12 13 10 10 10 6 6
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 50 70 70 70 70 60 60 20 20 50 50 80 80 90 90 100
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.15 0.10 0.05 0.01 0.02 0.05 0.12
6 HOUR SNOW 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9
12 HOUR SNOW 1.5 0.8 0.3 1.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 5.2 5.6 5.8 6.1 6.2 6.1 5.6 5.0 4.9 5.2 5.4 5.5 5.3 5.2 4.9 4.6
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 75 85 85 90 90 95 95 90 85 90 80 90 100 100 100 100 100
TEMPERATURE 29 29 29 31 32 33 34 34 31 30 30 33 32 31 31 31 29
MAX/MIN TEMP 34 29 34 28
WIND DIR W W W SW W W W W W W W W W SW S SW W
WIND (MPH) 10 11 10 9 11 12 13 18 17 13 13 13 10 10 11 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 50 50 70 70 70 70 60 60 20 20 50 50 80 80 90 90 100
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.06 0.13 0.09 0.04 0.01 0.03 0.07 0.14
6 HOUR SNOW 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.4 0.8 0.3 1.6
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.1 5.2 5.5 5.8 6.0 6.2 6.1 5.5 5.0 4.9 5.1 5.3 5.5 5.3 5.1 4.8 4.6
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE SATURDAY 10/11/25 SUNDAY 10/12/25
TIME (LT) 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05 08 11 14 17 20 23 02 05
5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A 8A 11A 2P 5P 8P 11P 2A 5A
CLOUD COVER BK BK OV OV BK OV OV BK OV BK BK OV OV OV OV OV OV
CLOUD COVER (%) 50 60 80 70 70 70 75 65 75 65 60 70 75 85 90 90 100
TEMPERATURE 29 30 31 34 34 33 34 34 34 32 34 37 34 29 34 36 33
MAX/MIN TEMP 35 32 39 29
WIND DIR SW SW S W NW NW W W NW NW NW NW NW W SW SW SW
WIND (MPH) 9 8 9 9 10 10 11 14 14 12 11 13 11 9 8 9 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 30 30 30 30 30 30 10 10 0 0 10 10 30 30 70 70 90
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.02 0.08 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12 HOUR SNOW 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.4
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 5.2 5.2 5.6 6.2 6.4 6.5 6.3 5.9 5.3 5.0 5.2 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.1 4.8
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN