Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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788
FWUS46 KMFR 051046
AVGMFR

AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
246 AM PST WED NOV 5 2025


...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)   100  100  100   95   95   95   90   90   75   90   80   90   95  100  100  100   80
TEMPERATURE        37   35   33   34   34   33   33   34   33   33   33   35   34   35   37   39   39
MAX/MIN TEMP                           37                  31                  36                  35
WIND DIR            S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW
WIND (MPH)         54   49   37   39   35   29   28   24   21   19   20   19   25   32   26   28   26
WIND GUST (MPH)    86   79   61   62   57   47                                      51        46   43
PRECIP PROB (%)   100  100  100   90   90   90   80   80   60   60   60   60   90   90  100  100   40
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 1.80      0.52      0.28      0.18      0.04      0.16      0.44      0.25
6 HOUR SNOW                11.1       2.7       2.1       1.5       0.3       0.3       0.3       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                         13.8                 3.6                 0.6                 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.7  7.4  7.3  7.3  7.2  7.0  6.9  6.8  6.7  6.8  7.2  7.6  8.2  8.4  8.5  8.2  7.7


...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)   100  100  100   95   95   95   85   85   75   85   80   90   95   95  100  100   80
TEMPERATURE        37   35   36   36   34   34   34   35   35   35   36   36   34   36   36   38   38
MAX/MIN TEMP                           36                  34                  36                  36
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
WIND (MPH)         41   36   28   29   26   23   21   18   16   14   14   14   19   24   19   21   19
WIND GUST (MPH)    62   55
PRECIP PROB (%)   100  100  100   90   90   90   80   80   60   60   60   60   90   90  100  100   40
PRECIP TYPE         R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 1.58      0.37      0.19      0.12      0.03      0.13      0.44      0.24
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.3       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.3                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.6  7.4  7.2  7.3  7.1  6.9  6.8  6.8  6.7  6.7  7.1  7.5  8.2  8.6  8.6  8.2  7.7


...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)   100  100  100   95   95   95   90   90   75   90   80   90   95  100  100  100   80
TEMPERATURE        37   36   33   34   34   33   33   34   34   33   32   34   34   36   38   40   39
MAX/MIN TEMP                           37                  31                  36                  36
WIND DIR            S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW
WIND (MPH)         52   49   37   39   35   29   28   24   21   19   20   19   24   32   26   28   26
WIND GUST (MPH)    86   79   61   62   57   47                                      51        46   43
PRECIP PROB (%)   100  100  100  100   90   90   80   80   60   60   60   60   90   90  100  100   50
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 1.73      0.52      0.31      0.18      0.04      0.16      0.42      0.23
6 HOUR SNOW                 8.9       2.6       2.0       1.3       0.3       0.3       0.3       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                         11.5                 3.3                 0.6                 0.3
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.7  7.4  7.3  7.3  7.2  7.0  6.9  6.8  6.7  6.8  7.2  7.5  8.2  8.3  8.5  8.2  7.7


...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)   100  100  100   95   95   95   85   85   70   85   75   90   95   95  100  100   75
TEMPERATURE        30   28   25   26   24   24   24   25   25   25   25   26   26   28   29   31   30
MAX/MIN TEMP                           28                  24                  28                  28
WIND DIR            S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W    W
WIND (MPH)         87   72   64   59   56   47   44   43   37   34   35   37   46   50   46   51   48
WIND GUST (MPH)   115  115  115   98  105   82   81   90   74   71   73   89   98   88   94  113   95
PRECIP PROB (%)   100  100  100   90   90   90   80   80   60   60   60   60   90   90  100  100   50
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 1.97      0.58      0.30      0.17      0.03      0.15      0.49      0.27
6 HOUR SNOW                17.0       5.6       3.0       1.6       0.2       1.0       3.0       1.5
12 HOUR SNOW                         22.6                 4.6                 1.2                 4.5
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.7  7.5  7.3  7.4  7.2  7.0  6.9  6.8  6.7  6.8  7.2  7.7  8.3  8.6  8.5  8.2  7.6


...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)   100  100  100   95   95   95   85   85   75   80   80   85   90   95  100  100   85
TEMPERATURE        37   35   33   35   33   33   32   32   32   31   31   34   34   35   37   38   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           37                  30                  37                  35
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SW   SW
WIND (MPH)         42   42   31   29   27   23   24   19   14   14   17   18   19   18   20   19   20
WIND GUST (MPH)    64   64   48   47
PRECIP PROB (%)   100  100  100   90   90   90   80   80   50   50   60   60   90   90  100  100   50
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    R    R    R    S
6 HOUR QPF                 1.75      0.53      0.28      0.15      0.04      0.13      0.32      0.18
6 HOUR SNOW                 2.4       0.9       0.9       0.7       0.2       0.2       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          3.3                 1.6                 0.4                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.7  7.4  7.2  7.2  7.1  7.0  6.8  6.7  6.7  6.8  7.1  7.5  8.1  8.3  8.5  8.2  7.6


...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)   100  100  100   95   95   95   90   90   80   90   85   90   90   95  100  100   85
TEMPERATURE        39   43   39   41   40   39   39   39   39   41   40   41   40   40   42   43   42
MAX/MIN TEMP                           43                  37                  42                  40
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SW
WIND (MPH)         26   19   19   19   16   12    9    8    6    8    9   11   11   12   12   11    9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)   100  100  100   90   90   90   80   80   60   60   60   60   90   90   90   90   40
PRECIP TYPE         R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 1.71      0.39      0.19      0.07      0.03      0.16      0.32      0.15
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.6  7.3  7.2  7.2  6.9  6.8  6.6  6.7  6.7  6.8  7.0  7.4  8.3  9.0  8.8  8.3  7.7


...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)   100  100  100   95   95   95   80   80   65   80   80   85   90   95   95   95   70
TEMPERATURE        37   40   36   38   36   36   35   35   35   37   36   37   37   38   39   40   39
MAX/MIN TEMP                           40                  34                  39                  37
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S   SW    S
WIND (MPH)         41   34   29   31   26   21   21   18   16   14   13   14   21   27   19   17   19
WIND GUST (MPH)    62   51                                                          46
PRECIP PROB (%)   100  100  100   90   90   90   70   70   50   50   70   70  100  100   90   90   40
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    R    R    R    R    S
6 HOUR QPF                 1.12      0.36      0.17      0.06      0.02      0.11      0.31      0.12
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.3       0.1       0.5       0.1       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.4                 0.6                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.5  7.3  7.1  7.1  6.9  6.8  6.6  6.6  6.6  6.8  7.1  7.6  8.5  9.0  8.8  8.2  7.6


...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)   100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100   95   95   90   90   95  100  100   95   90
TEMPERATURE        38   35   34   35   34   33   33   32   32   32   34   35   35   36   37   38   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           38                  31                  37                  34
WIND DIR            S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    S   SW   SW    W
WIND (MPH)         46   36   27   34   32   29   28   26   25   21   20   18   17   25   25   27   23
WIND GUST (MPH)    69   55        51
PRECIP PROB (%)   100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100   70   70   90   90   90   90   90   90   80
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.56      0.59      0.68      0.35      0.08      0.21      0.43      0.13
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.5       1.8       3.9       2.5       0.4       0.2       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          2.3                 6.4                 0.6                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.9  7.1  6.8  6.7  6.6  6.4  6.3  6.2  6.4  6.5  6.9  7.3  7.5  7.9  7.5  6.7  6.2


...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)   100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100   90   90   95   95   95  100   95   95   90
TEMPERATURE        38   35   34   35   33   32   33   33   33   33   34   35   35   36   37   38   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           37                  32                  36                  35
WIND DIR            S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    S   SW   SW    W
WIND (MPH)         46   36   27   33   31   29   28   26   25   21   19   17   16   25   26   27   23
WIND GUST (MPH)    69   55        50   48                                                43
PRECIP PROB (%)   100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100   50   50   90   90   90   90   90   90   80
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.52      0.53      0.63      0.29      0.05      0.22      0.43      0.11
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.5       1.5       3.8       1.9       0.2       0.2       0.1       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          2.0                 5.7                 0.4                 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.9  7.1  6.8  6.7  6.6  6.4  6.3  6.2  6.4  6.5  6.9  7.3  7.5  7.8  7.6  6.8  6.2


...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)   100   95   85   95  100  100   95   95   80   80   85   90   95  100  100  100   85
TEMPERATURE        41   38   37   39   38   36   36   35   36   34   36   38   39   40   40   41   39
MAX/MIN TEMP                           41                  34                  40                  38
WIND DIR            S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S   SW    W
WIND (MPH)         28   20   21   20   19   19   17   16   14   13   13   13   14   13   14   13   11
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%)   100  100   80   90  100  100   90   90   40   40   80   80   90   90  100  100   80
PRECIP TYPE         R    R    R    R    S    S    S    S    S    S    R    R    R    R    R    R    R
6 HOUR QPF                 0.56      0.14      0.16      0.06      0.01      0.20      0.48      0.12
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.6  7.1  6.8  6.8  6.8  6.4  6.3  6.3  6.4  6.5  6.9  7.5  8.0  8.2  7.8  7.2  6.6


...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)   100  100   95   95  100  100  100  100   90   85   90   95  100  100  100   95   90
TEMPERATURE        40   37   35   35   34   33   33   33   33   33   33   35   35   37   38   39   38
MAX/MIN TEMP                           39                  32                  38                  34
WIND DIR            S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    S   SW   SW    W
WIND (MPH)         47   35   29   35   33   31   28   26   24   20   19   18   18   24   23   27   23
WIND GUST (MPH)    79   55   51   57   55   51   46                                 41   41        40
PRECIP PROB (%)   100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100   80   80   90   90  100  100  100  100   90
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    R    S    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.61      0.47      0.47      0.34      0.08      0.23      0.40      0.12
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.2       0.8       2.1       2.1       0.4       0.1       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          1.0                 4.2                 0.5                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.7  7.1  6.7  6.7  6.6  6.3  6.3  6.2  6.3  6.5  6.9  7.4  7.6  8.0  7.4  6.7  6.2


...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)   100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100   95   90   95   95  100  100  100   95   95
TEMPERATURE        39   37   35   35   34   33   33   33   33   33   33   35   35   37   38   39   37
MAX/MIN TEMP                           39                  32                  37                  34
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW    S   SW   SW    W
WIND (MPH)         46   36   28   36   33   31   28   26   25   20   20   19   19   24   24   28   21
WIND GUST (MPH)    69   55        55   50
PRECIP PROB (%)   100  100  100  100  100  100  100  100   80   80   90   90  100  100  100  100   90
PRECIP TYPE         R    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    R    R    R    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.70      0.61      0.59      0.46      0.11      0.23      0.33      0.13
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.1       1.1       2.9       2.9       0.5       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          1.2                 5.8                 0.5                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.8  7.1  6.6  6.6  6.6  6.3  6.2  6.1  6.3  6.5  6.8  7.4  7.4  7.8  7.3  6.5  6.0


...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...

DATE                    WEDNESDAY 11/05/25                      THURSDAY 11/06/25
TIME (LT)          04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04   07   10   13   16   19   22   01   04
                   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A   7A   10A  1P   4P   7P   10P  1A   4A

CLOUD COVER        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   BK   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   OV
CLOUD COVER (%)   100   90   85   90   90   90   80   80   60   75   85   90   95  100  100   90   80
TEMPERATURE        38   37   35   37   35   33   33   34   33   32   34   37   37   37   40   40   38
MAX/MIN TEMP                           38                  32                  40                  36
WIND DIR            S    S    S    S    S    S   SW   SW   SW    S    S    S    S    S    S   SW    W
WIND (MPH)         43   29   28   29   31   26   24   19   17   18   19   17   20   19   20   20   21
WIND GUST (MPH)    65
PRECIP PROB (%)   100   90   80   90   90   90   70   70   40   40   70   70  100  100   90   90   70
PRECIP TYPE         S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    S    R    R    R    R    R    S
6 HOUR QPF                 0.87      0.34      0.14      0.04      0.02      0.17      0.35      0.08
6 HOUR SNOW                 0.5       0.2       0.4       0.2       0.1       0.1       0.0       0.0
12 HOUR SNOW                          0.7                 0.6                 0.2                 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT)  7.4  7.1  6.7  6.7  6.6  6.4  6.4  6.4  6.5  6.7  7.1  7.8  8.5  8.5  8.0  7.3  6.8

$$

--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     THUNDERSTORMS
 R     RAIN
 S     SNOW
 I     SLEET
 Z     FREEZING RAIN