Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
Issued by NWS Medford, OR
076
FWUS46 KMFR 170052
AVGMFR
AVALANCHE WEATHER GUIDANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
451 PM PST SUN NOV 16 2025
...MT. SHASTA SKI BOWL (7,850 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 100 90 95 85 90 60 55 60 50 45 50 35 40 45
TEMPERATURE 33 33 32 31 29 28 29 29 27 28 30 30 29 32 32 31
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 32 27 33
WIND DIR S S S S SE W SW E NE NE NE NE NE NE N NW
WIND (MPH) 17 20 20 16 12 5 3 4 4 6 12 20 17 14 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 100 90 90 90 80 60 30 20 20 10 10 5 5 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.56 0.81 0.46 0.11 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 3.3 6.2 4.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 9.5 5.0 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.5 7.2 6.6 6.2 5.6 5.5 5.6 5.4 5.2 5.2 5.5 5.3 5.4 6.0 6.1 6.2
...MT. SHASTA BUNNY FLAT (6,930 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC BK BK SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 100 90 95 85 90 55 50 60 55 45 50 35 40 45
TEMPERATURE 33 32 31 30 28 30 32 30 25 27 26 26 26 32 35 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 32 24 35
WIND DIR S S SE SE E SE S NE E NW N N N N NW N
WIND (MPH) 16 18 18 14 18 3 3 2 4 5 4 4 5 2 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 90 90 90 80 80 60 30 20 20 10 10 5 5 0 0 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.46 0.75 0.45 0.11 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 2.6 2.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 2.7 3.6 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.5 7.1 6.5 6.1 5.5 5.4 5.5 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.9 6.1 6.2
...MT. SHASTA GRAY BUTTE (7,790 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK SC SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 100 95 100 90 95 85 90 60 55 60 50 40 45 30 35 45
TEMPERATURE 33 33 33 32 31 28 30 29 28 29 30 30 29 31 32 31
MIN/MAX TEMP 28 32 27 33
WIND DIR S S S S SE W SW E NW N N NE NE NE N NW
WIND (MPH) 17 20 19 16 11 8 4 4 4 6 12 20 18 14 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 100 90 90 90 80 60 30 20 20 10 10 5 5 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.55 0.78 0.43 0.10 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 2.7 5.2 3.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 7.9 4.2 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.5 7.2 6.6 6.2 5.5 5.5 5.6 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.5 5.3 5.4 6.0 6.1 6.3
...MT. SHASTA HELEN LAKE (10,450 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 90 95 85 90 60 60 60 55 55 50 40 45 45
TEMPERATURE 24 24 23 22 22 20 21 20 18 20 21 21 20 23 24 23
MIN/MAX TEMP 20 24 18 24
WIND DIR S S S S SE SW W E NE NE NE NE NE NE NW NW
WIND (MPH) 26 29 29 25 20 8 4 3 9 12 17 23 18 12 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH) 44 50 54 43 37
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 100 90 90 80 80 60 30 20 20 10 10 5 5 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.52 0.81 0.47 0.12 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 4.5 7.7 4.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 12.2 5.8 0.2 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.6 7.2 6.7 6.3 5.6 5.6 5.7 5.5 5.2 5.2 5.5 5.2 5.4 6.1 6.1 6.2
...ASH CREEK BUTTE (7,500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 95 95 90 90 75 70 65 60 65 55 40 40 50
TEMPERATURE 35 34 33 31 31 29 30 30 30 29 30 30 30 31 33 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 29 32 29 34
WIND DIR S S S S S S SW NW NW NW NW N N N N N
WIND (MPH) 18 25 25 17 19 10 8 5 10 9 9 6 5 6 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 60 90 90 90 80 70 60 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.29 0.52 0.27 0.04 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.1 1.5 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.6 1.8 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.5 7.1 6.5 5.9 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.4 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.9 6.2 6.3
...CASTLE LAKE (5,440 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC SC SC SC SC SC SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 95 95 85 85 65 50 50 45 40 45 30 30 35
TEMPERATURE 40 40 39 37 36 36 36 35 34 34 34 34 34 37 40 38
MIN/MAX TEMP 35 37 32 41
WIND DIR S S S SE SE S S N N N NE NE NE N N N
WIND (MPH) 14 19 12 10 13 6 3 9 10 6 4 5 4 6 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 100 90 90 90 80 60 30 20 20 10 10 5 5 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.48 0.73 0.45 0.07 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.5 7.1 6.4 5.9 5.3 5.2 5.3 5.2 4.9 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.8 6.1 6.2
...MT. EDDY BOWL (6,500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK SC SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 95 95 85 85 75 55 60 65 60 70 50 45 35
TEMPERATURE 37 36 35 33 33 32 33 32 30 30 31 31 31 32 34 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 34 29 34
WIND DIR S S S S SE S E N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
WIND (MPH) 18 21 17 17 14 6 4 11 13 12 13 13 11 9 8 9
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 90 90 90 80 80 60 30 20 20 5 5 5 5 5 5 0
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.23 0.45 0.31 0.07 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 1.2 1.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 1.2 2.4 0.2 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.5 7.1 6.4 5.9 5.4 5.3 5.4 5.3 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.7 5.9 6.1
...WATCHMAN PEAK (7300 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 100 85 85 90 80 75 70 70 60 65 65 55 55 50
TEMPERATURE 37 36 35 33 32 32 33 33 31 30 30 29 28 32 34 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 34 27 35
WIND DIR S S S SE SE SE W W N NE NE E E E NW NW
WIND (MPH) 11 13 12 13 9 9 8 6 8 8 11 11 11 11 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 60 60 100 60 60 90 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.15 0.10 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.6 7.4 6.9 6.5 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.4 5.1 5.4 5.7 5.7
...GARFIELD PEAK (7500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK BK BK BK BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 90 90 90 85 70 70 65 60 60 65 55 55 50
TEMPERATURE 36 35 34 32 31 32 33 32 30 29 29 28 27 31 34 33
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 33 26 35
WIND DIR S S S S SE SE W NW N NE NE NE E E NW NW
WIND (MPH) 10 13 13 14 8 9 5 6 9 10 12 10 9 8 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 70 60 50 100 60 60 80 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 5
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.18 0.11 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.4 0.8 0.2 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.6 7.4 6.9 6.5 6.0 5.9 6.1 6.1 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.4 5.2 5.5 5.8 5.8
...BROWN MOUNTAIN (6000 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 85 95 95 85 75 85 80 75 70 75 75 60 60 55
TEMPERATURE 39 38 37 35 34 33 36 36 33 33 32 31 30 31 36 35
MIN/MAX TEMP 33 37 29 37
WIND DIR S S S SE E W W W W W W NW E NE NW NW
WIND (MPH) 11 9 8 5 8 9 8 6 8 5 4 3 5 8 5 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 40 60 70 80 80 70 40 30 30 20 20 20 20 30 30 5
PRECIP TYPE R R R S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.05 0.14 0.09 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.6 7.2 6.5 6.2 5.7 5.6 5.8 5.9 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.1 5.4 5.7 5.7
...MOUNT MCLOUGHLIN (7500 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK BK BK
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 95 80 90 90 80 80 90 80 70 80 70 60 60 50
TEMPERATURE 37 37 36 34 33 33 33 32 31 31 32 31 29 31 32 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 31 35 29 33
WIND DIR S S S S SE NW W NW N NE NE NE E E NW NW
WIND (MPH) 12 13 12 11 10 5 8 6 6 5 6 5 6 5 4 5
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 60 70 100 50 80 90 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S R S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.07 0.15 0.09 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.6 7.3 6.7 6.3 5.9 5.8 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.0 5.2 5.5 5.5
...MOUNT BAILEY (6800 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK OV OV BK BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 100 75 85 95 85 85 90 80 65 75 70 60 60 50
TEMPERATURE 37 37 36 34 33 33 33 33 32 31 32 31 29 31 33 32
MIN/MAX TEMP 32 35 29 33
WIND DIR S S S S SE N W NW N NE NE NE E E NW NW
WIND (MPH) 11 12 13 11 10 4 6 5 6 5 6 5 5 5 4 4
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 80 60 70 100 50 80 90 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 10
PRECIP TYPE S S S S S S S S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.08 0.16 0.09 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.5 7.3 6.8 6.3 6.1 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.2 5.0 5.1 5.5 5.4
...MOUNT ASHLAND/SISKIYOU PEAK (7000 FT)...
DATE MONDAY 11/17/25 TUESDAY 11/18/25
TIME (LT) 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16 19 22 01 04 07 10 13 16
4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P 7P 10P 1A 4A 7A 10A 1P 4P
CLOUD COVER OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV OV BK SC
CLOUD COVER (%) 95 95 85 95 90 85 85 80 85 85 80 85 80 70 60 50
TEMPERATURE 37 36 36 33 33 31 32 32 31 31 32 32 32 31 31 30
MIN/MAX TEMP 30 34 30 32
WIND DIR S S S S SE W NW NW NW NW NW N N NE NW NW
WIND (MPH) 16 21 18 16 13 11 10 10 10 9 9 6 4 3 6 8
WIND GUST (MPH)
PRECIP PROB (%) 40 70 70 70 80 70 60 20 30 30 5 5 10 10 10 10 0
PRECIP TYPE R S S S S S S S S
6 HOUR QPF 0.13 0.26 0.24 0.08 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00
6 HOUR SNOW 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
12 HOUR SNOW 0.3 2.0 0.3 0.0
SNOW LEVEL (KFT) 7.6 7.1 6.4 5.9 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.1 5.3 5.3
$$
--- PRECIP TYPE CODES ---
CODE TYPE
T THUNDERSTORMS
R RAIN
S SNOW
I SLEET
Z FREEZING RAIN